Morning Wizard

2026-09-23 · 236 matchups scored

1 of 9 steps done

Step 1 of 9 15 candidates · 0 locked from this step

Park + Weather

Today's most HR-friendly environments — parks and weather conditions that favor the long ball.

LAA

ATH

LAA @ ATH Wind in 1.356

Sutter Health Park Park × 1.23 warm air · light wind in · roof open

1.23× 81°F 1 mph open

#13 Zach Neto 2nd signal park · pitcher · ·

NYM

TEX

NYM @ TEX Crosswind 1.219

Globe Life Field Park × 1.02 hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof

1.02× 89°F 8 mph retractable

· #62 Jake Burger 2nd signal park · barrels ·

LAD

SD @ LAD Wind out 1.176

Dodger Stadium Park × 1.07 hot air · light wind out · roof open

1.07× 82°F 3 mph open

· · #47 Jackson Merrill

MIL

PHI

MIL @ PHI Crosswind 1.104

Citizens Bank Park Park × 1.10 cool air · steady crosswind · roof open

1.10× 62°F 10 mph open

#4 Kyle Schwarber 2nd signal park · top · ·

CIN

ATL

CIN @ ATL Crosswind 1.062

Truist Park Park × 1.06 warm air · light crosswind · roof open

1.06× 72°F 7 mph open

· #18 Elly De La Cruz ·

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Step 2 of 9 2 candidates · 0 locked from this step

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Susceptible Pitchers

Pitchers on today's slate with the highest HR-susceptibility scores — they give up dingers at elevated rates.

Jeffrey Springs ⚠️ High

33 HRs · 0.243 HR/IP · 18.9% HR/FB · 6.02 ERA

FIP 6.02 · xFIP 4.88 · Gap +1.14

Aaron Nola ⚠️ High

34 HRs · 0.206 HR/IP · 20.5% HR/FB · 4.87 ERA

FIP 4.87 · xFIP 3.76 · Gap +1.11

View full report →

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The Wizard has more to show you

Steps 3–9 include FIP-xFIP gap risk, splits edges, arsenal matchups, hot/cold streaks, unlucky barrels, and your final picks summary.

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Morning Wizard

Park + Weather

Susceptible Pitchers

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