Today · 2026-09-01

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

#3 Miguel Vargas vs Ronel Blanco FIP 7.06 HR/FB 42.9%

📦 STACK Ronel Blanco FIP 7.06 HR/FB 19.1% → #1 Munetaka Murakami, #3 Miguel Vargas, #5 Colson Montgomery

📦 STACK Matthew Boyd FIP 4.78 HR/FB 8.3% → #9 Pro pick, #14 Pro pick

📦 STACK Michael McGreevy FIP 4.44 HR/FB 16.1% → #11 Pro pick, #13 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-31. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.3% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Munetaka Murakami (L) ⁴	75	-7.9	●	Ronel Blanco (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%14.1% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	14d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle39.0° Distance406 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○○	4.0×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.67 IP1229.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp88°F Wind6 mph N Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph N (in) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ⁴	73	-8.6	●	Robert Gasser (LHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	38	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-30 OffEmilio Pagán Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle33.0° Distance431 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○●●○	0.3×	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.01 FIP3.57 IP1177.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+41 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind8 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Matt Olson (L) ⁴	73	-12.6	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) ATL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	37	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo110.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance400 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○○	1.7×	2	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.42 FIP4.85 IP1221.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+16 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind5 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note86°F, wind 5 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Miguel Vargas (R) ³	71	-5.2	●	Ronel Blanco (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	29	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-08-21 OffSean Manaea Exit Velo104.9 mph Angle27.0° Distance405 ft StadiumRate Field	○○○○○	1.8×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.67 IP1229.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp88°F Wind6 mph N Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph N (in) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Colson Montgomery (L) ⁴	70	-5.5	●	Ronel Blanco (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-31 OffBennett Sousa Exit Velo115.4 mph Angle19.0° Distance378 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○●○○●	0.0×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.67 IP1229.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp88°F Wind6 mph N Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph N (in) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (R) ³	68	-9.6	●	Kyle Bradish (RHP) BAL @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.09 FIP4.14 IP1235.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+7 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind7 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note74°F, wind 7 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (R) ³	67	-9.5	●	Eric Lauer (LHP) STL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.19 FIP4.04 IP1201.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note73°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ³	67	-1.7	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.6% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP1036.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+41 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind8 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R) ³	67	-12.3	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) NYM @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.12 FIP4.15 IP1322.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
10	Pro pick (L) ³	66	-6.9	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) STL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP4.10 IP1217.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note73°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R) ³	65	-6.3	●	Randy Vásquez (RHP) SD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.17 IP1163.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note89°F, wind 4 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ³	65	-14.3	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) STL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP4.10 IP1217.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note73°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R) ³	64	-9.2	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.6% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP1036.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+43 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind8 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ³	64	-9.2	●	Freddy Peralta (RHP) NYM @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls6 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.21 FIP4.03 IP1178.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
15	Pro pick (L) ³	63	-12.1	●	Sean Burke (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.23 IP1172.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp88°F Wind6 mph N Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph N (in) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ³	63	-8.2	●	Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) PHI @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.15 FIP4.36 IP1186.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+14 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 39 HR Note94°F, wind 7 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ³	62	-10.3	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) ATL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.42 FIP4.85 IP1221.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+18 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind5 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note86°F, wind 5 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R) ³	61	-3.6	●	Gavin Williams (RHP) TOR @ CLE · Progressive Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP3.93 IP1179.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Progressive Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind9 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note84°F, wind 9 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R) ³	61	-13.6	●	Gabriel Hughes (RHP) BAL @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.37 FIP4.84 IP1212.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind7 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note74°F, wind 7 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (S) ³	61	·	●	Robert Gasser (LHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.01 FIP3.57 IP1177.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+39 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind8 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R) ³	61	-2.9	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) SD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.32 FIP4.78 IP1182.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+16 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note89°F, wind 4 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ³	60	+3.4	●	Ronel Blanco (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%7.6% Avg EV87.4 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.67 IP1229.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp88°F Wind6 mph N Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph N (in) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ³	60	-5.2	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) SD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.32 FIP4.78 IP1182.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note89°F, wind 4 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L) ³	60	-10.4	●	AJ Smith-Shawver (RHP) ATL @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.13 FIP4.16 IP1165.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+16 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind5 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note86°F, wind 5 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R) ³	59	-11.5	●	Robert Gasser (LHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.01 FIP3.57 IP1177.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+39 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind8 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L) ³	59	-11.5	●	Grayson Rodriguez (RHP) NYY @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:38p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.08 FIP4.29 IP1258.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+49 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+49 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 34 HR Note77°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ³	58	-6.8	●	Kyle Bradish (RHP) BAL @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.09 FIP4.14 IP1235.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+21 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind7 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note74°F, wind 7 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L) ³	58	-4.5	●	Brady Basso (LHP) ATH @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.51 FIP4.93 IP1239.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+10 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp92°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note92°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L) ³	58	-4.5	●	Ronel Blanco (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.67 IP1229.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp88°F Wind6 mph N Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph N (in) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (S) ³	58	-10.2	●	Randy Vásquez (RHP) SD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.17 IP1163.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+16 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note89°F, wind 4 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.3%

▲ +4.0 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 14.3% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-31

22 HRs

40%

9 caught / 22 HRs

in top 50

#13 Rafael Devers

30.0%

🔵

#14 Colson Montgomery

26.8%

🔵

#25 Jonah Cox

32.3%

🟠

#27 Seiya Suzuki

25.2%

🟠

#31 Nelson Velázquez

20.4%

🟠

#41 Michael Harris II

14.0%

🟠

#43 Justin Foscue

27.8%

🟠

#47 Kody Clemens

14.6%

🟠

#50 Daylen Lile

20.1%

🟠

Missed

Mark Vientos Alex Bregman Cal Raleigh Ryan Jeffers Mickey Gasper +8 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Sal Stewart ×3 Rafael Devers ×3 Coby Mayo ×2 Heriberto Hernández ×2 Hunter Goodman ×2

❄️ Cold

CJ Abrams 0 of 7d Munetaka Murakami 0 of 6d Shohei Ohtani 0 of 6d Miguel Vargas 0 of 6d Mickey Moniak 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.0%

C+ 17.0%

C 13.7%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-01

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.