Today · 2026-08-31

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-30. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.2% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Hunter Goodman (R)	74	-5.8	●	BAL Bullpen Proxy BAL @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	36	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%16.4% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffOrlando Ribalta Exit Velo108.8 mph Angle25.0° Distance435 ft StadiumNationals Park	●●○○○	1.0×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.09 FIP4.15 IP1225.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+25 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ³	70	-9.7	●	Kyle Harrison (LHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	38	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-30 OffEmilio Pagán Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle33.0° Distance431 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○●●	0.0×	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.01 FIP3.57 IP1172.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+44 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+44 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note86°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Kyle Schwarber (L)	72	-10.0	●	AZ Bullpen Proxy PHI @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	40	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%17.4% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffBryan Woo Exit Velo104.8 mph Angle27.0° Distance425 ft StadiumT-Mobile Park	○●○○○	0.8×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.15 FIP4.36 IP1186.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+23 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind9 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 39 HR Note96°F, wind 9 mph SE (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Munetaka Murakami (L) ³	68	-9.2	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	13d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle39.0° Distance406 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○○	3.7×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.66 IP1220.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+23 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind10 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Pete Alonso (R) ⁵	67	-17.5	●	Tanner Gordon (RHP) BAL @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	32	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffMichael McGreevy Exit Velo102.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance369 ft StadiumBusch Stadium	●○○○○	1.3×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.38 FIP4.85 IP1197.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ⁴	66	-11.0	●	Anthony Kay (LHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV94.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.11 FIP4.23 IP1164.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind10 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ⁴	65	-8.1	●	Ian Seymour (LHP) NYM @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls4 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.21 FIP4.04 IP1170.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
8	Pro pick (L) ⁴	64	-9.2	●	Anthony Molina (RHP) SF @ ATL · Truist Park	6:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.97 FIP4.20 IP1235.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-4 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind6 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note91°F, wind 6 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R) ⁴	64	-10.9	●	Robert Stock (RHP) NYM @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.12 FIP4.15 IP1313.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
10	Pro pick (R) ⁴	63	-6.9	●	Michael King (RHP) SD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.16 IP1158.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind4 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note86°F, wind 4 mph NW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R) ⁴	63	-6.9	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.66 IP1220.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind10 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ⁴	62	-11.1	●	Bryce Elder (RHP) SF @ ATL · Truist Park	6:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.13 FIP4.18 IP1159.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-9 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind6 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note91°F, wind 6 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ⁴	62	-7.2	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.32 FIP4.66 IP1220.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind10 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ⁴	61	-6.3	●	Clay Holmes (RHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.4% HR/91.57 FIP4.82 IP1028.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+49 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+49 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note86°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R) ⁴	61	-6.3	●	Brady Singer (RHP) SD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.32 FIP4.79 IP1173.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind4 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note86°F, wind 4 mph NW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R) ⁴	61	-9.3	●	Tanner Gordon (RHP) BAL @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.38 FIP4.85 IP1197.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	-12.6	●	Brady Singer (RHP) SD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.32 FIP4.79 IP1173.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind4 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note86°F, wind 4 mph NW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R) ⁴	60	-6.2	●	Anthony Kay (LHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.11 FIP4.23 IP1164.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind10 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	-7.8	●	Ryan Gusto (RHP) MIA @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.04 FIP4.10 IP1206.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-7 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind4 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (S) ⁴	58	·	●	Kyle Harrison (LHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.01 FIP3.57 IP1172.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+48 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+48 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note86°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R) ⁴	58	-3.7	●	Anthony Kay (LHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%7.2% Avg EV88.3 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.11 FIP4.23 IP1164.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind10 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ⁴	58	·	●	Gage Jump (LHP) ATH @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.93 IP1229.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-2 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp99°F Wind7 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note99°F, wind 7 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R) ⁴	57	-13.8	●	Will Dion (LHP) MIA @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.42 FIP4.85 IP1213.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-4 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind4 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R) ⁴	57	-9.6	●	Kyle Harrison (LHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV88.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.01 FIP3.57 IP1172.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+56 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+56 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note86°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (S) ⁴	57	·	●	Michael King (RHP) SD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.16 IP1158.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+10 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind4 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note86°F, wind 4 mph NW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	-3.9	●	BAL Bullpen Proxy BAL @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.09 FIP4.15 IP1225.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-10 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ⁴	56	-9.0	●	Bryce Elder (RHP) SF @ ATL · Truist Park	6:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.13 FIP4.18 IP1159.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind6 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note91°F, wind 6 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R) ⁴	56	-7.7	●	Clay Holmes (RHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.4% HR/91.57 FIP4.82 IP1028.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+55 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+55 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note86°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R) ⁴	56	-3.5	●	Anthony Kay (LHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.11 FIP4.23 IP1164.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind10 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R) ⁴	56	-9.9	●	Brady Singer (RHP) SD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.32 FIP4.79 IP1173.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind4 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note86°F, wind 4 mph NW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.4%

▲ +0.9 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 16.0% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-30

31 HRs

32%

10 caught / 31 HRs

in top 50

#4 Coby Mayo

41.9%

🔵

#5 Pete Crow-Armstrong

33.6%

🔵

#8 Sal Stewart

31.3%

🔵

#9 Junior Caminero

20.2%

🔵

#19 Brian Serven

29.8%

🔵

#24 Juan Soto

24.6%

🟠

#31 Esmerlyn Valdez

21.6%

🟠

#36 Kazuma Okamoto

25.3%

🟠

#37 Gunnar Henderson

16.5%

🟠

#39 Tyler Stephenson

17.6%

🟠

Missed

Joc Pederson Paul Goldschmidt Francisco Lindor Jeremy Peña Nathaniel Lowe +16 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Sal Stewart ×3 Daylen Lile ×2 Coby Mayo ×2 Heriberto Hernández ×2 Hunter Goodman ×2

❄️ Cold

CJ Abrams 0 of 7d Munetaka Murakami 0 of 6d Miguel Vargas 0 of 6d Shohei Ohtani 0 of 6d Mickey Moniak 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.1%

C+ 17.0%

C 13.6%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-31

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.