Today · 2026-08-12

Share Slate 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Variance Card

207 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…

1:40p

2:15p

3:05p

🔥

3:40p

3:45p

4:10p

6:40p

6:45p

7:05p

7:07p

🔥

7:15p

7:40p

🔥

10:10p

🔥

10:10p

Locks 0/1

Daily Routine ready Routine

Prime Card 0/6 not saved

‹

⭐ Today's Slate

›

Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#3 Hunter Goodman vs Merrill Kelly FIP 5.71 HR/FB 22.9% #5 Pro pick vs Eric Lauer FIP 6.12 HR/FB 25.0% #7 Pro pick vs Zebby Matthews FIP 5.13 HR/FB 32.1% #11 Pro pick vs Merrill Kelly FIP 5.71 HR/FB 23.6%

📦 STACK Merrill Kelly FIP 5.71 HR/FB 22.9% → #3 Hunter Goodman, #11 Pro pick

📦 STACK Rhett Lowder FIP 4.56 HR/FB 14.9% → #4 Munetaka Murakami, #12 Pro pick

📦 STACK Luis Castillo FIP 4.65 HR/FB 16.7% → #13 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-11. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.9% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Junior Caminero (R) ³	75	-14.7	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) TB @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	3:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	35	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffMason Barnett Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance412 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○●●	0.0×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.54 FIP4.98 IP1067.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+47 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 34 HR Note72°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Matt Olson (L)	73	-8.6	●	Zac Thornton (LHP) NYM @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	35	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffChayce McDermott Exit Velo109.3 mph Angle29.0° Distance423 ft StadiumTruist Park	●○●○●	0.0×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.10 FIP4.09 IP1088.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Truist Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind10 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 34 HR Note77°F, wind 10 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Hunter Goodman (R) ⁵	71	-4.2	●	Merrill Kelly (RHP) COL @ AZ · Chase Field	3:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	34	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%14.1% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-09 OffGeorge Soriano Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle36.0° Distance394 ft StadiumBusch Stadium	○○●○○	0.7×	1	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.16 FIP4.38 IP1037.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note93°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Munetaka Murakami (L) ⁴	71	-12.6	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	26	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-08 OffGavin Williams Exit Velo101.1 mph Angle28.0° Distance347 ft StadiumRate Field	○●●○○	0.7×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.27 FIP4.74 IP1006.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR NoteUnknown stadium
5	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	74	-8.3	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy CHC @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	27	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffJake Irvin Exit Velo111.5 mph Angle28.0° Distance437 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.82 IP1046.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+13 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind4 mph S Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note82°F, wind 4 mph S (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ²	69	-6.7	●	Eric Lauer (LHP) KC @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.28 FIP4.21 IP1058.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note74°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (R) ²	63	-8.7	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) BAL @ MIN · Target Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.14 FIP4.31 IP1035.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+7 Weather · Target Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind3 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note81°F, wind 3 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ²	63	-14.5	●	Bryce Miller (RHP) SEA @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.12 FIP3.80 IP1032.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ²	63	-3.0	●	David Peterson (LHP) CHC @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.7% HR/91.49 FIP4.67 IP956.8000000000001 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+18 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind4 mph S Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note82°F, wind 4 mph S (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ²	63	-4.3	●	Merrill Kelly (RHP) COL @ AZ · Chase Field	3:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.16 FIP4.38 IP1037.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+22 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note93°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ²	62	-13.9	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) PHI @ STL · Busch Stadium	2:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%13.4% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.01 FIP4.16 IP1042.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+56 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier7 Spray/Wind+56 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 34 HR Note91°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +7 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R) ²	62	-8.7	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.27 FIP4.74 IP1006.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR NoteUnknown stadium
13	Pro pick (R) ²	61	-6.1	●	Luis Castillo (RHP) CIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.08 FIP4.21 IP1014.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR NoteUnknown stadium
14	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-15.6	●	Daniel Lynch IV (LHP) KC @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.32 FIP4.76 IP1023.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note74°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R) ²	61	-2.9	●	Foster Griffin (LHP) CLE @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.15 FIP3.94 IP1037.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind5 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (S) ²	64	-5.6	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy CHC @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	SHH vs ?HP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.82 IP1046.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+19 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind4 mph S Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note82°F, wind 4 mph S (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-13.9	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.27 FIP4.74 IP1006.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR NoteUnknown stadium
18	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-3.2	●	Eric Lauer (LHP) KC @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.28 FIP4.21 IP1058.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note74°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (S) ²	60	-10.8	●	Luis Castillo (RHP) CIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV93.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.08 FIP4.21 IP1014.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR NoteUnknown stadium
20	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-5.8	●	Drew Rasmussen (RHP) TB @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	3:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.19 FIP4.04 IP1035.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+41 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note72°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-13.5	●	George Klassen (RHP) TEX @ LAA · Angel Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.40 IP1040.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note76°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-10.6	●	SF Bullpen Proxy HOU @ SF · Oracle Park	3:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%17.7% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/90.97 FIP4.23 IP1048.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+66 Weather · Oracle Park mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67°F Wind9 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+66 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note67°F, wind 9 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R) ²	61	-8.5	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy CHC @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.82 IP1046.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+26 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind4 mph S Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note82°F, wind 4 mph S (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L) ²	57	-6.1	●	Robbie Ray (LHP) MIL @ SD · Petco Park	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.13 FIP4.24 IP1037.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Petco Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind10 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note78°F, wind 10 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L) ²	57	-8.7	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) COL @ AZ · Chase Field	3:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.42 FIP4.87 IP1032.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+16 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note93°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L) ²	56	-10.8	●	Will Warren (RHP) SEA @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.00 FIP3.71 IP1054.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (R) ²	56	-4.3	●	José Soriano (RHP) BOS @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.02 FIP3.89 IP1001.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74°F Wind5 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L) ²	59	·	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy CHC @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.82 IP1046.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+19 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind4 mph S Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note82°F, wind 4 mph S (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L) ²	55	-11.9	●	Luis Castillo (RHP) CIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.08 FIP4.21 IP1014.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR NoteUnknown stadium
30	Pro pick (L) ²	55	-7.6	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) PHI @ STL · Busch Stadium	2:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.01 FIP4.16 IP1042.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+60 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier7 Spray/Wind+60 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note91°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +7 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Tonight's full board — all 207 ranked matchups plus the conviction tools — is Pro. Check the public track record first: every board graded next morning, hits and misses included.

Create a free account — no card required Try Pro free for 3 days — then $10/mo Already have an account? Sign in

No card to sign up. Yesterday's graded board and the daily top-5 preview are free.

202 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Lock one pick tonight

Free accounts lock 1 pick a night from the preview — graded on your own record the next morning. No card required.

Create a free account →

Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

14.4%

▲ +2.0 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 13.4% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-11

32 HRs

34%

11 caught / 32 HRs

in top 50

#1 Junior Caminero

45.3%

🟡

#2 Matt Olson

35.1%

🟡

#4 Pete Crow-Armstrong

32.9%

🔵

#8 CJ Abrams

21.3%

🔵

#12 Joc Pederson

28.3%

🔵

#16 Miguel Vargas

21.8%

🔵

#21 Pete Alonso

23.4%

🟠

#23 Seiya Suzuki

17.2%

🟠

#27 Corbin Carroll

14.1%

🟠

#33 Yandy Díaz

13.8%

🟠

#39 Ketel Marte

11.8%

🟠

Missed

Dylan Crews Eugenio Suárez Wilyer Abreu Randy Arozarena Christian Encarnacion-Strand +16 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Matt Olson ×4 Junior Caminero ×3 Dillon Dingler ×2 Francisco Lindor ×2 Elly De La Cruz ×2

❄️ Cold

Dominic Canzone 0 of 6d Manny Machado 0 of 5d Mickey Moniak 0 of 5d Coby Mayo 0 of 4d Christian Walker 0 of 4d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.0%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.3%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-12

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.