Today · 2026-08-11

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Junior Caminero vs Mason Barnett FIP 5.79 HR/FB 25.0% #11 Pro pick vs Ryan Johnson FIP 6.69 HR/FB 21.2% #12 Pro pick vs Mitch Bratt FIP 5.6 HR/FB 22.2%

📦 STACK Nick Lodolo FIP 5.16 HR/FB 14.3% → #3 Munetaka Murakami, #13 Pro pick

📦 STACK Michael Wacha FIP 4.11 HR/FB 10.1% → #4 Shohei Ohtani, #15 Pro pick

📦 STACK Mitch Bratt FIP 5.6 HR/FB 11.1% → #6 Pro pick, #12 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-09. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.7% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Junior Caminero (R) ³	75	-11.9	●	Mason Barnett (RHP) TB @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	34	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-08-05 OffTomoyuki Sugano Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle38.0° Distance449 ft StadiumCoors Field	○●○○○	1.0×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.55 FIP4.99 IP1058.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+70 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind13 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+70 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note85°F, wind 13 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Matt Olson (L) ⁵	72	-5.7	●	Nolan McLean (RHP) NYM @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	34	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-09 OffCam Schlittler Exit Velo110.7 mph Angle19.0° Distance393 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○●●○●	0.0×	1	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.11 FIP4.10 IP1075.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+16 Weather · Truist Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind9 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 34 HR Note80°F, wind 9 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Munetaka Murakami (L) ⁴	70	-5.9	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) CIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	26	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-08 OffGavin Williams Exit Velo101.1 mph Angle28.0° Distance347 ft StadiumRate Field	○○●●○	0.3×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.27 FIP4.73 IP1006.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR NoteUnknown stadium
4	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	72	-6.5	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy CHC @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	26	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-08-05 OffEric Lauer Exit Velo104.4 mph Angle37.0° Distance405 ft StadiumWrigley Field	●○○○○	1.0×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.83 IP1042.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+18 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind4 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁵	66	-17.5	●	Michael Wacha (RHP) KC @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	26	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-08-05 OffRyan Zeferjahn Exit Velo100.6 mph Angle23.0° Distance367 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○●○○○	1.0×	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.6% HR/91.33 FIP4.77 IP1016.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note79°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (R) ⁴	64	-8.4	●	Mitch Bratt (LHP) COL @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.17 FIP4.39 IP1033.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp100°F Wind11 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note100°F, wind 11 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ⁴	64	-2.3	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) CHC @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.8% HR/91.49 FIP4.68 IP952.8000000000001 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+21 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind4 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ⁴	66	-1.3	●	LAD Bullpen Proxy KC @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%14.5% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.28 FIP4.20 IP1054.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note79°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ⁴	62	-11.9	●	Bryan Woo (RHP) SEA @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.12 FIP3.80 IP1032.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind9 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note79°F, wind 9 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (R) ⁴	62	-5.6	●	Tanner Bibee (RHP) CLE @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.15 FIP3.94 IP1037.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind5 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note76°F, wind 5 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (S) ⁴	64	-5.2	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy CHC @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	SHH vs ?HP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.83 IP1042.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+20 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind4 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	-16.9	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) TEX @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:38p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.15 FIP4.42 IP1028.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+49 Weather · Angel Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind11 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+49 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note82°F, wind 11 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	·	●	Mitch Bratt (LHP) COL @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.17 FIP4.39 IP1033.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp100°F Wind11 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note100°F, wind 11 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	-5.2	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) CIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.27 FIP4.73 IP1006.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR NoteUnknown stadium
15	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	-10.4	●	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.19 FIP4.04 IP1033.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+59 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind13 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+59 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note85°F, wind 13 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	-12.9	●	Michael Wacha (RHP) KC @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.6% HR/91.33 FIP4.77 IP1016.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note79°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R) ⁴	60	-7.8	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) CIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.27 FIP4.73 IP1006.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR NoteUnknown stadium
18	Pro pick (L) ⁴	58	-7.4	●	Walker Buehler (RHP) MIL @ SD · Petco Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.13 FIP4.24 IP1035.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+1 Weather · Petco Park warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind8 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note79°F, wind 8 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ⁴	58	-7.0	●	Ryan Weathers (LHP) SEA @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.00 FIP3.71 IP1054.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind9 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note79°F, wind 9 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R) ⁴	58	-13.1	●	Bailey Ober (RHP) BAL @ MIN · Target Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.14 FIP4.32 IP1030.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+5 Weather · Target Field hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind6 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R) ⁴	58	-5.8	●	Walker Buehler (RHP) MIL @ SD · Petco Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.13 FIP4.24 IP1035.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Petco Park warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind8 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note79°F, wind 8 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ⁴	61	-8.5	●	SF Bullpen Proxy HOU @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%17.7% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/90.97 FIP4.23 IP1038.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+47 Weather · Oracle Park mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp69°F Wind12 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note69°F, wind 12 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ⁴	57	-13.8	●	Andre Pallante (RHP) PHI @ STL · Busch Stadium	7:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.02 FIP4.18 IP1033.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 34 HR Note92°F, wind 6 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R) ⁴	57	-7.3	●	Sean Burke (RHP) CIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.08 FIP4.21 IP1014.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR NoteUnknown stadium
25	Pro pick (L) ⁴	57	-10.5	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.42 FIP4.86 IP1025.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-4 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp100°F Wind11 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note100°F, wind 11 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R) ⁴	60	-6.4	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy CHC @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.83 IP1042.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+24 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind4 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ⁴	56	-3.5	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) CHC @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV88.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.8% HR/91.49 FIP4.68 IP952.8000000000001 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+20 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind4 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L) ⁴	59	-4.2	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy CHC @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.83 IP1042.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+22 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind4 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (S) ⁴	55	-7.6	●	Sean Burke (RHP) CIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV93.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.08 FIP4.21 IP1014.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR NoteUnknown stadium
30	Pro pick (L) ⁴	55	-10.5	●	Mason Barnett (RHP) TB @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.55 FIP4.99 IP1058.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+46 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind13 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+46 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note85°F, wind 13 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)

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Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

13.7%

▼ -1.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 14.6% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-10

scoring

⏳

Results scoring in progress

Catch-rate and HR totals for 2026-08-10 update once the night's games finish and the model collects results. Usually live by mid-morning.

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Dillon Dingler ×3 Matt Olson ×3 Bryce Harper ×2 Elly De La Cruz ×2 Daylen Lile ×2

❄️ Cold

Christian Walker 0 of 6d Dominic Canzone 0 of 6d Kazuma Okamoto 0 of 6d Manny Machado 0 of 6d Miguel Vargas 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 19.8%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.3%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-11

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.