Today · 2026-08-10

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 5 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#4 Willson Contreras vs Jameson Taillon FIP 6.77 HR/FB 30.9% #5 Wilyer Abreu vs Jameson Taillon FIP 6.77 HR/FB 26.3% #10 Pro pick vs Dean Kremer FIP 6.02 HR/FB 25.0% #13 Pro pick vs Dean Kremer FIP 6.02 HR/FB 25.0% #15 Pro pick vs Jameson Taillon FIP 6.77 HR/FB 26.3%

📦 STACK Noah Cameron FIP 3.79 HR/FB 17.4% → #3 Shohei Ohtani, #7 Pro pick

📦 STACK Jameson Taillon FIP 6.77 HR/FB 30.9% → #4 Willson Contreras, #5 Wilyer Abreu, #15 Pro pick

📦 STACK Michael Soroka FIP 2.98 HR/FB 8.7% → #8 Pro pick, #12 Pro pick

📦 STACK Dean Kremer FIP 6.02 HR/FB 25.0% → #10 Pro pick, #13 Pro pick

📦 STACK Hunter Dobbins FIP 4.42 HR/FB 11.8% → #11 Pro pick, #14 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-09. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.7% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Junior Caminero (R) ⁴	72	-15.8	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) TB @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	33	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-08-05 OffTomoyuki Sugano Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle38.0° Distance449 ft StadiumCoors Field	○●○○○	1.0×	1	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.56 FIP5.00 IP1049.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+72 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind13 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+72 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note87°F, wind 13 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Matt Olson (L) ⁴	71	-9.3	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	34	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-09 OffCam Schlittler Exit Velo110.7 mph Angle19.0° Distance393 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○●●○●	0.0×	1	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.11 FIP4.11 IP1064.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind7 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note79°F, wind 7 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁵	68	-15.0	●	Noah Cameron (LHP) KC @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	26	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-08-05 OffRyan Zeferjahn Exit Velo100.6 mph Angle23.0° Distance367 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○●○○○	1.0×	1	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.32 FIP4.76 IP1008.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note80°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Willson Contreras (R) ⁴	67	-6.9	●	Jameson Taillon (RHP) BOS @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	23	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%14.2% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-07-30 OffLuis Medina Exit Velo104.8 mph Angle33.0° Distance414 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	1.8×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.01 FIP3.85 IP985.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79°F Wind8 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note79°F, wind 8 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Wilyer Abreu (L) ⁴	64	-11.7	●	Jameson Taillon (RHP) BOS @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-08-05 OffSean Burke Exit Velo109.3 mph Angle22.0° Distance390 ft StadiumFenway Park	●●○○○	1.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.01 FIP3.85 IP985.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79°F Wind8 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note79°F, wind 8 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ²	63	-8.2	●	Freddy Peralta (RHP) TB @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%7.3% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.20 FIP4.05 IP1024.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+60 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind13 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+60 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note87°F, wind 13 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ²	62	·	●	Noah Cameron (LHP) KC @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.32 FIP4.76 IP1008.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note80°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R) ²	60	-9.6	●	Michael Soroka (RHP) COL @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.18 FIP4.41 IP1024.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+8 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp101°F Wind11 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note101°F, wind 11 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-3.5	●	Tarik Skubal (LHP) KC @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.28 FIP4.20 IP1046.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note80°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (R) ²	58	-11.0	●	Dean Kremer (RHP) BAL @ MIN · Target Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.13 FIP4.31 IP1024.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-2 Weather · Target Field hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind1 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note86°F, wind 1 mph W (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-16.0	●	Hunter Dobbins (RHP) PHI @ STL · Busch Stadium	7:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.01 FIP4.16 IP1024.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note91°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ²	56	-5.1	●	Michael Soroka (RHP) COL @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.18 FIP4.41 IP1024.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp101°F Wind11 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note101°F, wind 11 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R) ²	56	·	●	Dean Kremer (RHP) BAL @ MIN · Target Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.13 FIP4.31 IP1024.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-8 Weather · Target Field hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind1 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note86°F, wind 1 mph W (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ²	55	-6.7	●	Hunter Dobbins (RHP) PHI @ STL · Busch Stadium	7:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.01 FIP4.16 IP1024.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+41 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note91°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ²	55	-5.4	●	Jameson Taillon (RHP) BOS @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.01 FIP3.85 IP985.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79°F Wind8 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note79°F, wind 8 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ²	54	·	●	Reid Detmers (LHP) TEX @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:38p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.14 FIP4.41 IP1021.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+46 Weather · Angel Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+46 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note83°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R) ²	54	-4.4	●	Jameson Taillon (RHP) BOS @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV86.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.01 FIP3.85 IP985.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79°F Wind8 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note79°F, wind 8 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (S) ²	53	-9.8	●	Bryce Elder (RHP) NYM @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%7.7% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.19 FIP4.23 IP1015.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind7 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note79°F, wind 7 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ²	52	-0.8	●	Tarik Skubal (LHP) KC @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.28 FIP4.20 IP1046.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note80°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R) ²	52	-0.8	●	Jameson Taillon (RHP) BOS @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.01 FIP3.85 IP985.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79°F Wind8 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 6 HR Note79°F, wind 8 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ²	52	-6.2	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) TB @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%7.4% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.56 FIP5.00 IP1049.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+47 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind13 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note87°F, wind 13 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ²	51	-8.7	●	Casey Mize (RHP) MIL @ SD · Petco Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.13 FIP4.25 IP1026.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+8 Weather · Petco Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind7 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note80°F, wind 7 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ²	51	-9.3	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.11 FIP4.11 IP1064.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind7 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note79°F, wind 7 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R) ²	51	-8.7	●	Andrew Painter (RHP) PHI @ STL · Busch Stadium	7:45p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.8% HR/91.24 FIP3.87 IP1013.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+48 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+48 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note91°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R) ²	51	-9.3	●	Noah Cameron (LHP) KC @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.32 FIP4.76 IP1008.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+22 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note80°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L) ²	50	-15.6	●	Blade Tidwell (RHP) HOU @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/90.98 FIP4.25 IP1026.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+56 Weather · Oracle Park mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp69°F Wind13 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+56 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note69°F, wind 13 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (R) ²	50	-6.7	●	Trevor Rogers (LHP) BAL @ MIN · Target Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.11 IP1023.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-9 Weather · Target Field hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind1 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note86°F, wind 1 mph W (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L) ²	50	-6.7	●	Andrew Painter (RHP) PHI @ STL · Busch Stadium	7:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.8% HR/91.24 FIP3.87 IP1013.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+24 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note91°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (S) ²	50	-5.9	●	Freddy Peralta (RHP) TB @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%6.3% Avg EV87.4 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.20 FIP4.05 IP1024.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+55 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind13 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+55 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note87°F, wind 13 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L) ²	50	-5.1	●	Trevor Rogers (LHP) BAL @ MIN · Target Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.11 IP1023.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+3 Weather · Target Field hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind1 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note86°F, wind 1 mph W (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

13.7%

▼ -1.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 14.6% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-09

25 HRs

36%

9 caught / 25 HRs

in top 50

#1 Kyle Schwarber

22.9%

🟡

#4 Matt Olson

30.6%

🔵

#14 Hunter Goodman

28.3%

🔵

#21 Pete Alonso

20.0%

🟠

#24 Griffin Conine

30.5%

🟠

#27 Colson Montgomery

15.5%

🟠

#32 Jake Bauers

17.6%

🟠

#39 Jackson Chourio

22.8%

🟠

#43 Brandon Nimmo

18.0%

🟠

Missed

Tyler O'Neill Trent Grisham Alec Burleson Ian Happ Francisco Alvarez +11 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Dillon Dingler ×3 Matt Olson ×3 Bryce Harper ×2 Elly De La Cruz ×2 Daylen Lile ×2

❄️ Cold

Christian Walker 0 of 6d Dominic Canzone 0 of 6d Kazuma Okamoto 0 of 6d Manny Machado 0 of 6d Miguel Vargas 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 19.8%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.3%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-10

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.