Willson Contreras
RHB
BOS
· 107 appearances tracked
21
HRs
19.6%
HR Rate
29.0%
Avg HR/FB
90.7
Avg EV
0.221
ISO
#4
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.248
Avg EV90.8
Barrel%14.1%
HR/FB vs RHP31.4%
Avg HR Dist406
Match%26.8%
Season HR%
19.6%
14D Pace
9.1%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-11
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
55.3%
13
Breaking
29.3%
4
Offspeed
15.4%
5
All
100%
14.0%
22
25.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Jameson Taillon · RHP · BOS
SMALL SAMPLE · 12 PA · since 2022
.182
AVG
.182
SLG
0
HR
2-for-11 and 1 walk across 12 plate appearances since 2022. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
Rogers Centre Neutral
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Even
Weather +1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
14.1
vs
—
HR/FB
31.4
vs
30.9 ▲ edge
K%
25.6
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
21 this season · avg 409 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Apr 25
Trevor Rogers · Camden Yards
—
104.2
418.0
Apr 26
Kyle Bradish · Camden Yards
—
108.6
406.0
Apr 29
Eric Lauer · Rogers Centre
—
103.9
406.0
May 16
Bryce Elder · Truist Park
—
106.1
426.0
Jun 4
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
—
100.2
403
Jun 5
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
—
112.8
419
Jun 12
vs TEX · Jack Leiter
—
104.3
379
Jun 14
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
—
101.5
392
Jun 29
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
—
104.5
421
Jul 4
@ LAA · Sam Aldegheri
—
108.9
421
Jul 5
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
—
112.2
446
Jul 17
vs TB · Mason Englert
—
107.6
367
Jul 19
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
—
106.8
414
Jul 30
@ ATH · Luis Medina
—
104.8
414
HR by month
May
Jun
Jul
All Appearances
107 tracked · 21 HR · 61 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 10
@ TOR · Jameson Taillon
2
64.1
2 BIP
Aug 9
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
1
103.3
1 BIP
Aug 8
vs ATH · Gage Jump
2
100.0
2 BIP
Aug 5
vs CWS · Sean Burke
1
86.2
1 BIP
Aug 4
vs CWS · Davis Martin
3
114.9
3 BIP
Aug 2
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
3
94.2
3 BIP
Aug 1
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
0
—
—
Jul 31
@ LAD · Edgardo Henriquez
0
—
—
Jul 30
@ ATH · Mason Barnett
3
104.8
HR
3 BIP
Jul 29
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
1
108.8
1 BIP
Jul 28
@ ATH · Gage Jump
1
71.9
1 BIP
Jul 27
@ ATH · Jack Perkins
1
91.7
1 BIP
Jul 26
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
2
95.9
2 BIP
Jul 25
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
0
—
—
Jul 24
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
2
87.7
2 BIP
Jul 22
vs BAL · Dean Kremer
5
108.8
5 BIP
Jul 21
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
0
—
—
Jul 20
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
111.0
3 BIP
Jul 19
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
3
106.8
HR
3 BIP
Jul 18
vs TB · Ian Seymour
2
100.9
2 BIP
Jul 17
vs TB · Mason Englert
1
107.6
HR
1 BIP
Jul 8
@ CWS · Davis Martin
2
107.5
2 BIP
Jul 7
@ CWS · Noah Schultz
3
100.2
3 BIP
Jul 5
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
112.2
HR
3 BIP
Jul 4
@ LAA · Sam Aldegheri
5
108.9
HR
5 BIP
Jul 3
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
4
111.2
4 BIP
Jul 1
vs WSH · Brad Lord
4
113.4
4 BIP
Jun 30
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
1
96.0
1 BIP
Jun 29
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
1
104.5
HR
1 BIP
Jun 28
vs NYY · Carlos Rodón
2
96.0
2 BIP
Jun 27
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
3
114.4
3 BIP
Jun 26
vs NYY · Will Warren
2
111.9
HR
2 BIP
Jun 25
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
112.8
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
3
102.2
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ COL · Sean Sullivan
4
100.2
4 BIP
Jun 22
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
4
98.3
4 BIP
Jun 21
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
96.8
1 BIP
Jun 20
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
1
97.0
1 BIP
Jun 19
@ SEA · Bryce Miller
3
99.5
3 BIP
Jun 18
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
3
92.0
3 BIP
Jun 17
vs TOR · Braydon Fisher
2
102.8
2 BIP
Jun 16
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
0
—
—
Jun 14
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
3
101.5
HR
3 BIP
Jun 13
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
4
104.0
4 BIP
Jun 12
vs TEX · Jack Leiter
3
104.3
HR
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
1
58.2
1 BIP
Jun 9
@ TB · Nick Martinez
3
69.9
3 BIP
Jun 8
@ TB · Ian Seymour
2
96.9
2 BIP
Jun 7
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
110.0
3 BIP
Jun 6
@ NYY · Will Warren
0
—
—
Jun 5
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
3
112.8
HR
3 BIP
Jun 4
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
105.5
HR
3 BIP
Jun 3
vs BAL · Chris Bassitt
4
109.8
4 BIP
Jun 2
vs BAL · Shane Baz
1
94.4
1 BIP
May 30
@ CLE · Parker Messick
2
105.8
2 BIP
May 29
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
3
112.1
3 BIP
May 28
vs ATL · Chris Sale
2
93.9
2 BIP
May 27
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
3
103.7
3 BIP
May 26
vs ATL · Spencer Strider
4
107.6
4 BIP
May 24
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
3
105.6
HR
3 BIP
May 23
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
3
101.2
3 BIP
May 22
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
3
102.2
3 BIP
May 20
@ KC · Michael Wacha
4
99.1
4 BIP
May 19
@ KC · Bailey Falter
4
97.3
4 BIP
May 18
@ KC · Seth Lugo
4
110.0
HR
4 BIP
May 17
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
3
101.0
3 BIP
May 16
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
3
113.0
HR
3 BIP
May 15
@ ATL · Spencer Strider
2
82.1
2 BIP
May 14
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
4
97.9
4 BIP
May 13
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
3
105.0
3 BIP
May 12
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
2
102.6
2 BIP
May 10
vs TB · Nick Martinez
1
68.5
1 BIP
May 9
vs TB · Nick Martinez
5
108.5
5 BIP
May 8
vs TB · Jesse Scholtens
1
60.5
1 BIP
May 7
vs TB · Griffin Jax
3
111.9
3 BIP
May 6
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
1
76.2
1 BIP
May 5
@ DET · Framber Valdez
3
111.9
HR
3 BIP
May 4
@ DET · Tarik Skubal
2
79.4
2 BIP
May 3
vs HOU · Cody Bolton
3
110.5
3 BIP
May 2
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
5
109.5
5 BIP
May 1
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
1
91.2
1 BIP
Apr 29
@ TOR · Eric Lauer
4
108.0
HR
4 BIP
Apr 27
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
3
96.8
3 BIP
Apr 26
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
108.6
HR
2 BIP
Apr 25
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
4
106.4
HR
4 BIP
Apr 24
@ BAL · Brandon Young
4
100.9
4 BIP
Apr 23
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
100.2
2 BIP
Apr 22
vs NYY · Max Fried
2
71.5
2 BIP
Apr 21
vs NYY · Luis Gil
4
113.2
4 BIP
Apr 20
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
4
108.9
4 BIP
Apr 19
vs DET · Framber Valdez
3
109.4
HR
3 BIP
Apr 18
vs DET · Tarik Skubal
1
100.8
1 BIP
Apr 17
vs DET · Casey Mize
2
102.9
2 BIP
Apr 13
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
1
76.6
1 BIP
Apr 12
@ STL · Andre Pallante
5
106.2
HR
5 BIP
Apr 11
@ STL · Ranger Suarez
2
112.8
2 BIP
Apr 10
@ STL · Dustin May
2
106.9
2 BIP
Apr 8
vs STL · Miles Mikolas
3
108.6
3 BIP
Apr 7
vs STL · Cade Cavalli
1
94.4
1 BIP
Apr 6
vs STL · Zack Littell
3
105.3
HR
3 BIP
Apr 5
vs STL · Keider Montero
2
91.5
2 BIP
Apr 4
vs STL · Jack Flaherty
3
104.2
3 BIP
Apr 1
vs NYM · Freddy Peralta
2
103.6
2 BIP
Mar 31
vs NYM · Kodai Senga
4
100.8
4 BIP
Mar 30
vs NYM · Clay Holmes
2
101.2
2 BIP
Mar 29
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
3
110.3
3 BIP
Mar 26
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
3
87.7
3 BIP
Ballpark
Rogers Centre · open-air
Park Factor
0.972
Wind
8 mph from W
Temp
81°F
Roof
Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
7:07p
8 ↙
81°
-1
8:07p
7 ↙
80°
-3
9:07p
6 ↙
78°
-4
10:07p
6 ↙
75°
-5
11:07p
5 ↙
73°
-5
-4
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing in from oppo (from WNW)
Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.
Score Breakdown
Base 67 → 67
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Pitcher FIP
season hr rate
Park Factor
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Willson Contreras
Will Willson Contreras hit a home run today?
Willson Contreras is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #4 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Jameson Taillon at Rogers Centre. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Willson Contreras hit home runs?
Across 107 scored games this season, Willson Contreras has 21 home runs — one every 5.1 games, or about 20% of his scored games.
Has Willson Contreras homered off Jameson Taillon before?
Not yet — Willson Contreras has faced Jameson Taillon 12 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.