5
HRs allowed
20.8%
HR rate (pool)
11.1%
Overall HR/FB
3.14
FIP
2.97
xFIP
+0.16
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
35
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 35th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
79.2%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.9 EV · 399 ft
max EV allowed 110.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 4 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Hunter Dobbins.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
34.8%
82.4
28.4°
0
+0.7
Slider Breaking
19.2%
83.5
8.6°
1
+0.3
Sinker Hard
13.5%
87.3
7.8°
0
-6.5
Sweeper Breaking
13.0%
90.3
24.9°
1
+2.5
Splitter Offspeed
10.9%
81.4
2.1°
1
-0.2
Curveball Breaking
8.6%
82.8
25.7°
0
+0.7
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups24
HRs allowed (pool)5
Pool HR rate20.8%
Pool HR/game day1.67
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB11.1% 35
HR/9—
FIP3.14 18
xFIP2.97
FIP − xFIP+0.16 57
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed79.2%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Fastball
Hard · 34.8% usage
+0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.4 mph
Avg launch angle28.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches134
Slider
Breaking · 19.2% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.5 mph
Avg launch angle8.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches74
Sinker
Hard · 13.5% usage
-6.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.3 mph
Avg launch angle7.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches52
Sweeper
Breaking · 13.0% usage
+2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against90.3 mph
Avg launch angle24.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches50
Splitter
Offspeed · 10.9% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.4 mph
Avg launch angle2.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches42
Curveball
Breaking · 8.6% usage
+0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.8 mph
Avg launch angle25.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches33
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Hunter Dobbins.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
5 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.9 EV · 399 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 3 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-07
8
1
108.3
2026-06-11
7
3
108.9
2026-04-30
9
1
110.0
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Hunter Dobbins isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.