15
HRs allowed
9.6%
HR rate (pool)
12.8%
Overall HR/FB
3.03
FIP
3.39
xFIP
-0.35
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
48
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 48th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
21.2%
Hard-Hit% allowed
62.2%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.7 EV · 409 ft
max EV allowed 115.2
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 4 HR ↑
15D · 4 HR ↑
30D · 4 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Michael Soroka.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Slurve Breaking
32.3%
80.4
11.5°
0
-1.1
Fastball Hard
31.8%
81.8
31.0°
2
-0.7
Changeup Offspeed
12.3%
82.0
11.0°
2
+1.6
Cutter Hard
12.1%
81.6
18.1°
4
+1.0
Sinker Hard
10.8%
85.2
9.7°
0
-3.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups156
HRs allowed (pool)15
Pool HR rate9.6%
Pool HR/game day0.83
Top-15 matchups8
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB12.8% 48
HR/9—
FIP3.03 14
xFIP3.39
FIP − xFIP-0.35 24
Barrel% allowed21.2%
Hard-Hit% allowed62.2%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-31
Slurve
Breaking · 32.3% usage
-1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.4 mph
Avg launch angle11.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches511
Fastball
Hard · 31.8% usage
-0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.8 mph
Avg launch angle31.0°
HRs allowed2
Pitches503
Changeup
Offspeed · 12.3% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.0 mph
Avg launch angle11.0°
HRs allowed2
Pitches194
Cutter
Hard · 12.1% usage
+1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.6 mph
Avg launch angle18.1°
HRs allowed4
Pitches191
Sinker
Hard · 10.8% usage
-3.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.2 mph
Avg launch angle9.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches171
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Michael Soroka.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
15 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.7 EV · 409 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-22
7
3
115.2
2026-08-16
9
1
109.7
2026-08-10
9
0
104.5
2026-06-19
9
3
107.1
2026-06-13
8
1
108.5
2026-06-07
8
1
112.0
2026-06-02
7
1
108.4
2026-05-27
9
0
108.1
2026-05-22
9
0
101.0
2026-05-17
9
0
109.8
2026-05-11
9
0
110.1
2026-05-06
9
1
106.9
2026-04-30
9
2
106.6
2026-04-23
9
1
105.2
2026-04-17
9
0
105.1
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Michael Soroka isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Michael Soroka isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
94
10
11%
9
2
22%
9
1
11%
9
1
11%
8
1
12%
9
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 8. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Michael Soroka
How many home runs has Michael Soroka allowed this season?
Michael Soroka has allowed 15 home runs across 18 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Michael Soroka?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Michael Soroka include Andres Gimenez (1), Andrew Benintendi (1), Brandon Lowe (1) and 29 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.