11
HRs allowed
8.4%
HR rate (pool)
13.2%
Overall HR/FB
3.05
FIP
3.31
xFIP
-0.26
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
56
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 56th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
63.1%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.8 EV · 409 ft
max EV allowed 112.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 4 HR ↑
15D · 5 HR ↑
30D · 6 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Michael Soroka.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Slurve Breaking
32.9%
81.1
10.9°
0
-1.4
Fastball Hard
32.1%
81.4
32.1°
2
-1.0
Changeup Offspeed
12.3%
80.9
12.4°
2
+0.9
Cutter Hard
11.6%
82.3
17.2°
4
+1.6
Sinker Hard
10.4%
85.3
6.5°
0
-2.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups131
HRs allowed (pool)11
Pool HR rate8.4%
Pool HR/game day0.73
Top-15 matchups5
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB13.2% 56
HR/9—
FIP3.05 16
xFIP3.31
FIP − xFIP-0.26 32
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed63.1%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Slurve
Breaking · 32.9% usage
-1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.1 mph
Avg launch angle10.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches444
Fastball
Hard · 32.1% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.4 mph
Avg launch angle32.1°
HRs allowed2
Pitches434
Changeup
Offspeed · 12.3% usage
+0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.9 mph
Avg launch angle12.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches166
Cutter
Hard · 11.6% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle17.2°
HRs allowed4
Pitches157
Sinker
Hard · 10.4% usage
-2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.3 mph
Avg launch angle6.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches141
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Michael Soroka.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
11 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.8 EV · 409 ft
6 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-19
9
3
107.1
2026-06-13
8
1
108.5
2026-06-07
8
1
112.0
2026-06-02
7
1
108.4
2026-05-27
9
0
108.1
2026-05-22
9
0
101.0
2026-05-17
9
0
109.8
2026-05-11
9
0
110.1
2026-05-06
9
1
106.9
2026-04-30
9
2
106.6
2026-04-23
9
1
105.2
2026-04-17
9
0
105.1
2026-04-10
9
1
106.8
2026-04-04
9
0
108.7
2026-03-30
9
0
107.6
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Michael Soroka isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.