2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Matt Olson 8 HRs · 2 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 3 Ceddanne Rafaela 4 HRs · 4 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 5 Francisco Lindor 4 HRs · 6 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs · 7 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 8 Jackson Chourio 4 HRs · 9 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 10 Bryce Harper 4 HRs · 11 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Matt Olson 8 HRs · 2 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 3 Ceddanne Rafaela 4 HRs · 4 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 5 Francisco Lindor 4 HRs · 6 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs · 7 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 8 Jackson Chourio 4 HRs · 9 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 10 Bryce Harper 4 HRs · 11 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOS · LHB
Wilyer Abreu

Wilyer Abreu

LHB
BOS · 112 appearances tracked
17 HRs
15.2% HR Rate
13.1% Avg HR/FB
90.0 Avg EV
0.179 ISO
#5 Best Rank
as of 2026-08-10
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
79
0.205
Avg EV
68
90.1
Barrel%
96
13.4%
HR/FB vs RHP
70
16.5%
Avg HR Dist
87
408
Match%
95
24.2%
Season HR%
15.9%
14D Pace
33.3%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
79
68
96
70
87
95
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 37 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-11
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 60.8%
12.0%
11
19.8%
Breaking 24.3%
16.2%
6
22.5%
Offspeed 14.9%
11.8%
3
21.0%
All 100% 12.9% 20 20.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Jameson Taillon · RHP · BOS
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
AVG
SLG
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Jameson Taillon in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers 3 of 4 active
Rogers Centre Neutral Pitcher form Cold Platoon Edge Weather +1
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 13.4 vs
13.4
HR/FB 16.5 vs 26.3 ▼ risk
16.5
26.3
K% 20.7 vs
20.7
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 17 this season · avg 417 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Mar 29 Rhett Lowder · Great American Ball Park 98.0 385.0
Apr 24 Brandon Young · Camden Yards 105.4 403.0
Jun 23 @ COL · Sean Sullivan 103.0 443
Jul 30 @ ATH · Luis Medina 102.6 422
Aug 2 @ LAD · Emmet Sheehan 109.1 431
HR by month
1
1
1
Jun Jul Aug
All Appearances 112 tracked · 17 HR · 26 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Aug 10 @ TOR · Jameson Taillon 3 82.9 3 BIP
Aug 9 vs ATH · J.T. Ginn 3 102.8 3 BIP
Aug 7 vs ATH · Jack Perkins 2 102.3 2 BIP
Aug 6 vs CWS · Luis Castillo 4 105.3 4 BIP
Aug 5 vs CWS · Sean Burke 3 109.3 HR 3 BIP
Aug 4 vs CWS · Davis Martin 4 106.8 HR 4 BIP
Aug 2 @ LAD · Emmet Sheehan 4 109.1 HR 4 BIP
Aug 1 @ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3 106.3 3 BIP
Jul 31 @ LAD · Edgardo Henriquez 2 88.8 2 BIP
Jul 30 @ ATH · Mason Barnett 2 102.6 HR 2 BIP
Jul 29 @ ATH · Jacob Lopez 3 89.5 3 BIP
Jul 28 @ ATH · Gage Jump 4 97.9 4 BIP
Jul 27 @ ATH · Jack Perkins 3 102.8 3 BIP
Jul 26 vs TOR · Kevin Gausman 2 101.8 2 BIP
Jul 25 vs TOR · Dylan Cease 2 90.2 2 BIP
Jul 24 vs TOR · Trey Yesavage 2 84.3 2 BIP
Jul 22 vs BAL · Dean Kremer 6 104.5 6 BIP
Jul 21 vs BAL · Kyle Bradish 0
Jul 20 vs BAL · Shane Baz 3 97.5 3 BIP
Jul 19 vs TB · Shane McClanahan 3 104.6 3 BIP
Jul 18 vs TB · Ian Seymour 3 108.5 HR 3 BIP
Jul 17 vs TB · Griffin Jax 6 106.6 HR 6 BIP
Jul 12 @ NYM · Zach Thornton 4 101.3 4 BIP
Jul 11 @ NYM · Freddy Peralta 2 103.5 2 BIP
Jul 10 @ NYM · Nolan McLean 3 111.0 HR 3 BIP
Jul 9 @ CWS · Anthony Kay 4 108.6 4 BIP
Jul 8 @ CWS · Davis Martin 2 100.3 2 BIP
Jul 7 @ CWS · Noah Schultz 2 90.3 2 BIP
Jul 5 @ LAA · Ryan Johnson 3 100.3 3 BIP
Jul 4 @ LAA · Sam Aldegheri 3 106.4 3 BIP
Jul 3 @ LAA · Reid Detmers 2 90.5 2 BIP
Jul 1 vs WSH · Brad Lord 2 90.2 2 BIP
Jun 30 vs WSH · Cade Cavalli 1 68.8 1 BIP
Jun 29 vs WSH · Miles Mikolas 4 107.3 4 BIP
Jun 28 vs NYY · Carlos Rodón 2 97.4 2 BIP
Jun 27 vs NYY · Gerrit Cole 2 90.5 2 BIP
Jun 26 vs NYY · Will Warren 3 105.8 3 BIP
Jun 25 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 2 94.4 2 BIP
Jun 24 @ COL · Kyle Freeland 3 91.1 3 BIP
Jun 23 @ COL · Sean Sullivan 4 105.6 HR 4 BIP
Jun 22 @ COL · Ryan Feltner 2 74.0 2 BIP
Jun 20 @ SEA · Emerson Hancock 3 106.3 HR 3 BIP
Jun 19 @ SEA · Bryce Miller 4 97.2 4 BIP
Jun 18 vs TOR · Trey Yesavage 3 97.6 3 BIP
Jun 17 vs TOR · Braydon Fisher 4 90.8 4 BIP
Jun 16 vs TOR · Dylan Cease 1 74.4 1 BIP
Jun 14 vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 4 99.2 4 BIP
Jun 13 vs TEX · Jacob deGrom 3 97.8 3 BIP
Jun 12 vs TEX · Jack Leiter 5 106.1 HR 5 BIP
Jun 10 @ TB · Drew Rasmussen 1 85.7 1 BIP
Jun 9 @ TB · Nick Martinez 4 101.7 4 BIP
Jun 8 @ TB · Ian Seymour 2 106.3 2 BIP
Jun 7 @ NYY · Cam Schlittler 3 99.9 3 BIP
Jun 6 @ NYY · Will Warren 0
Jun 5 @ NYY · Ryan Weathers 3 101.1 3 BIP
Jun 4 vs BAL · Trevor Rogers 3 100.2 3 BIP
Jun 3 vs BAL · Chris Bassitt 4 106.7 HR 4 BIP
Jun 2 vs BAL · Shane Baz 3 96.4 3 BIP
May 31 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 4 100.0 4 BIP
May 30 @ CLE · Parker Messick 3 101.7 3 BIP
May 29 @ CLE · Slade Cecconi 3 94.7 3 BIP
May 28 vs ATL · Chris Sale 3 104.5 3 BIP
May 27 vs ATL · Bryce Elder 5 101.9 5 BIP
May 26 vs ATL · Spencer Strider 3 92.9 3 BIP
May 24 vs MIN · Bailey Ober 3 100.6 3 BIP
May 23 vs MIN · Taj Bradley 2 89.3 2 BIP
May 22 vs MIN · Connor Prielipp 5 102.0 5 BIP
May 20 @ KC · Michael Wacha 2 101.1 2 BIP
May 19 @ KC · Bailey Falter 5 97.2 5 BIP
May 18 @ KC · Seth Lugo 3 97.8 3 BIP
May 17 @ ATL · Grant Holmes 4 111.3 4 BIP
May 16 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 3 90.4 3 BIP
May 15 @ ATL · Spencer Strider 3 99.9 3 BIP
May 14 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 4 93.1 4 BIP
May 13 vs PHI · Andrew Painter 4 103.5 4 BIP
May 12 vs PHI · Zack Wheeler 3 109.3 3 BIP
May 10 vs TB · Nick Martinez 3 78.7 3 BIP
May 9 vs TB · Nick Martinez 0
May 8 vs TB · Jesse Scholtens 2 106.9 HR 2 BIP
May 7 vs TB · Griffin Jax 4 98.8 4 BIP
May 6 @ DET · Jack Flaherty 2 99.2 2 BIP
May 5 @ DET · Framber Valdez 3 109.1 HR 3 BIP
May 4 @ DET · Tarik Skubal 2 88.5 2 BIP
May 3 vs HOU · Cody Bolton 0
May 2 vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti 3 96.7 3 BIP
May 1 vs HOU · Mike Burrows 4 94.1 4 BIP
Apr 29 @ TOR · Eric Lauer 3 82.5 3 BIP
Apr 27 @ TOR · Dylan Cease 4 107.4 4 BIP
Apr 26 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 3 104.7 3 BIP
Apr 25 @ BAL · Trevor Rogers 6 98.6 6 BIP
Apr 24 @ BAL · Brandon Young 3 105.4 HR 3 BIP
Apr 23 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 2 96.1 2 BIP
Apr 22 vs NYY · Max Fried 4 103.0 4 BIP
Apr 21 vs NYY · Luis Gil 4 98.8 4 BIP
Apr 20 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 3 100.3 3 BIP
Apr 19 vs DET · Framber Valdez 3 99.9 3 BIP
Apr 18 vs DET · Tarik Skubal 3 105.9 3 BIP
Apr 17 vs DET · Casey Mize 2 94.3 2 BIP
Apr 12 @ STL · Andre Pallante 3 99.1 3 BIP
Apr 11 @ STL · Kyle Leahy 4 106.4 4 BIP
Apr 10 @ STL · Dustin May 4 107.4 4 BIP
Apr 8 vs MIL · Shane Drohan 3 88.6 3 BIP
Apr 7 vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski 1 94.2 1 BIP
Apr 6 vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff 3 98.0 3 BIP
Apr 5 vs SD · Walker Buehler 4 106.6 4 BIP
Apr 4 vs SD · Randy Vásquez 2 103.9 2 BIP
Apr 1 @ HOU · Mike Burrows 3 103.5 HR 3 BIP
Mar 31 @ HOU · Hunter Brown 3 101.5 3 BIP
Mar 30 @ HOU · Lance McCullers Jr. 2 111.9 2 BIP
Mar 29 @ CIN · Rhett Lowder 4 107.8 HR 4 BIP
Mar 28 @ CIN · Brady Singer 5 106.0 HR 5 BIP
Mar 26 @ CIN · Andrew Abbott 3 80.5 3 BIP
Ballpark Rogers Centre · open-air
Park Factor 0.972 Wind 8 mph from W Temp 81°F Roof Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
7:07p 8 81° -1
8:07p 7 80° -3
9:07p 6 78° -4
10:07p 6 75° -5
11:07p 5 73° -5
-4
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
6 mph 0% 0% 35% 45% 20% OPPO PULL Rogers Centre
Game-window avg wind · blowing in from pull (from WNW)

Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.

Score Breakdown Base 64 → 64
ISO (Power)
+20.3
Barrel Matchup
+18.7
Pitcher FIP
+6.9
Park Factor
+4.7
season hr rate
+4.4
HR/FB Matchup
+3.8
recent hr density 14d
+3.7
Exit Velocity
+1.1
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Wilyer Abreu

Will Wilyer Abreu hit a home run today?

Wilyer Abreu is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #5 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Jameson Taillon at Rogers Centre. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Wilyer Abreu hit home runs?

Across 112 scored games this season, Wilyer Abreu has 17 home runs — one every 6.6 games, or about 15% of his scored games.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.157 · build 663

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