Today · 2026-08-09

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

#5 Cj Abrams vs Brady Singer FIP 5.1 HR/FB 21.9%

📦 STACK Shane Bieber FIP 5.72 HR/FB 16.7% → #1 Kyle Schwarber, #2 Bryce Harper

📦 STACK Joey Cantillo FIP 4.1 HR/FB 11.5% → #6 Pro pick, #13 Pro pick

📦 STACK Brad Lord FIP 4.25 HR/FB 26.3% → #10 Pro pick, #11 Pro pick, #12 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-08. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.7% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁵	72	-15.8	●	Shane Bieber (RHP) TOR @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	33	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	22d Last HR · 2026-07-18 OffSean Manaea Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle41.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	5.7×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.01 FIP3.84 IP974.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+19 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind9 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Bryce Harper (L) ³	71	-5.2	●	Shane Bieber (RHP) TOR @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-08 OffMax Scherzer Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle23.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.01 FIP3.84 IP974.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind9 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Ben Rice (L) ²	70	-10.7	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	32	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-08 OffDanny Young Exit Velo105.2 mph Angle35.0° Distance431 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○●	0.0×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.18 FIP4.22 IP1007.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+49 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88°F Wind8 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+49 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note88°F, wind 8 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Matt Olson (L) ³	69	-11.7	●	Cam Schlittler (RHP) ATL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	33	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-07 OffTim Hill Exit Velo109.8 mph Angle19.0° Distance407 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○●●○	0.3×	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.00 FIP3.75 IP1032.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+48 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88°F Wind8 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+48 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note88°F, wind 8 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Cj Abrams (L) ⁴	68	-8.3	●	Brady Singer (RHP) CIN @ WSH · Nationals Park	12:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	28	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	19d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffMichael Lorenzen Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle35.0° Distance434 ft StadiumCoors Field	○●●○○	0.4×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.28 FIP4.75 IP993.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind6 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ²	68	-8.3	●	Joey Cantillo (LHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.17 FIP3.94 IP1019.3000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR NoteUnknown stadium
7	Pro pick (S) ²	66	-4.7	●	Brad Lord (RHP) CIN @ WSH · Nationals Park	12:15p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.43 FIP4.85 IP1029.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind6 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R) ²	66	-7.4	●	Brad Lord (RHP) CIN @ WSH · Nationals Park	12:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.43 FIP4.85 IP1029.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+5 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind6 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ²	65	·	●	Cade Povich (LHP) BAL @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.12 IP1013.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+8 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp99°F Wind7 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note99°F, wind 7 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (R) ²	65	·	●	Emerson Hancock (RHP) TB @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.13 FIP3.80 IP1014.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-4 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp76°F Wind2 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note76°F, wind 2 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ²	62	-8.2	●	Brad Lord (RHP) CIN @ WSH · Nationals Park	12:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.43 FIP4.85 IP1029.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+19 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind6 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R) ²	61	-6.1	●	Joey Cantillo (LHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.17 FIP3.94 IP1019.3000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR NoteUnknown stadium
13	Pro pick (R) ²	61	-13.6	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) COL @ STL · Busch Stadium	2:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.00 FIP4.14 IP1015.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+48 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp93°F Wind10 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+48 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note93°F, wind 10 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-11.0	●	Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) LAD @ AZ · Chase Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.18 FIP4.41 IP1014.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-4 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp110°F Wind6 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note110°F, wind 6 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ²	63	-16.0	●	SD Bullpen Proxy HOU @ SD · Petco Park	8:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%18.0% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.25 IP1014.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+22 Weather · Petco Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-13.2	●	Randy Dobnak (RHP) CHC @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.32 FIP4.77 IP1000.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+49 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · strong wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp96°F Wind16 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier9 Spray/Wind+49 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note96°F, wind 16 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +9 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-8.1	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) NYM @ PIT · PNC Park	1:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.11 FIP4.09 IP1048.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · PNC Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind5 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note82°F, wind 5 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L) ²	62	·	●	TB Bullpen Proxy TB @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.19 FIP4.04 IP1017.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp76°F Wind2 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note76°F, wind 2 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-5.8	●	Brady Singer (RHP) CIN @ WSH · Nationals Park	12:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV88.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.28 FIP4.75 IP993.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+14 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind6 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L) ²	57	-7.5	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) COL @ STL · Busch Stadium	2:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.00 FIP4.14 IP1015.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp93°F Wind10 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note93°F, wind 10 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R) ²	57	+0.5	●	Kumar Rocker (RHP) BAL @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.15 IP998.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+22 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp99°F Wind7 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note99°F, wind 7 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R) ²	57	-10.5	●	Kumar Rocker (RHP) BAL @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.15 IP998.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp99°F Wind7 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note99°F, wind 7 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ²	56	-7.3	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) CHC @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.9% HR/91.49 FIP4.66 IP941.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+59 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · strong wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp96°F Wind16 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier9 Spray/Wind+59 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note96°F, wind 16 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +9 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L) ²	55	·	●	Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) LAD @ AZ · Chase Field	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.18 FIP4.41 IP1014.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-2 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp110°F Wind6 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note110°F, wind 6 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L) ²	55	-11.0	●	Joey Cantillo (LHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.17 FIP3.94 IP1019.3000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR NoteUnknown stadium
26	Pro pick (R) ²	55	-6.7	●	Brady Singer (RHP) CIN @ WSH · Nationals Park	12:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.28 FIP4.75 IP993.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-9 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind6 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ²	54	-12.5	●	Grayson Rodriguez (RHP) LAA @ MIA · loanDepot Park	1:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.14 FIP4.41 IP1028.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-34 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · strong wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind14 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-34 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note93°F, wind 14 mph SE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R) ²	54	·	●	J.T. Ginn (RHP) ATH @ BOS · Fenway Park	1:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.57 FIP5.03 IP1040.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+15 Weather · Fenway Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind11 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note89°F, wind 11 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L) ²	54	-6.9	●	Connor Prielipp (LHP) MIN @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.14 FIP4.33 IP1017.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+11 Weather · American Family Field warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp72°F Wind13 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note72°F, wind 13 mph NW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R) ²	54	·	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV86.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.18 FIP4.22 IP1007.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88°F Wind8 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note88°F, wind 8 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)

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Six home runs to freedom

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202 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

14.3%

▼ -4.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 16.6% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-08

20 HRs

45%

9 caught / 20 HRs

in top 50

#3 Bryce Harper

43.7%

🟡

#5 Munetaka Murakami

34.1%

🔵

#15 Ben Rice

19.5%

🔵

#21 Brandon Lowe

24.4%

🔵

#27 Rhys Hoskins

24.8%

🟠

#28 Trea Turner

13.4%

🟠

#41 Corey Seager

12.8%

🟠

#47 Jordan Walker

14.0%

🟠

#49 Ian Happ

11.9%

🟠

Missed

Jac Caglianone Eugenio Suárez Taylor Trammell Tyler Soderstrom Jake McCarthy +6 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Bryce Harper ×3 Dillon Dingler ×3 Matt Olson ×3 Elly De La Cruz ×2 Daylen Lile ×2

❄️ Cold

Kyle Schwarber 0 of 7d Christian Walker 0 of 6d Kazuma Okamoto 0 of 6d Dominic Canzone 0 of 6d Manny Machado 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 19.8%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.3%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-09

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.