Today · 2026-09-11

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#5 Cal Raleigh vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.17 HR/FB 23.5% #10 Pro pick vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.17 HR/FB 25.6% #13 Pro pick vs Max Scherzer FIP 5.7 HR/FB 26.3% #15 Pro pick vs Max Scherzer FIP 5.7 HR/FB 26.3%

📦 STACK Shota Imanaga FIP 4.75 HR/FB 20.8% → #1 Esmerlyn Valdez, #8 Pro pick, #9 Pro pick

📦 STACK Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.17 HR/FB 23.5% → #5 Cal Raleigh, #10 Pro pick

📦 STACK Max Scherzer FIP 5.7 HR/FB 26.3% → #13 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-10. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.7% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Esmerlyn Valdez (R)	73	-2.2	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) PIT @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-09-09 OffDavis Martin Exit Velo99.4 mph Angle35.0° Distance361 ft StadiumRate Field	○○○○●	0.0×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.6% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP1089.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-12 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind10 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note78°F, wind 10 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Junior Caminero (R)	70	-8.6	●	Miguel Ullola (RHP) HOU @ TB · Tropicana Field	7:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	39	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-09-08 OffAJ Smith-Shawver Exit Velo110.2 mph Angle25.0° Distance455 ft StadiumTruist Park	●○●○○	0.7×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.29 FIP4.61 IP1332.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 39 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
3	James Wood (L)	68	-2.3	●	Yusei Kikuchi (LHP) LAA @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	30	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV95.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	47d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffKevin Ginkel Exit Velo109.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance418 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	8.0×	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.08 FIP4.25 IP1353.3999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-3 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note81°F, wind 3 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	68	-7.5	●	Wilber Dotel (RHP) PIT @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	41	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-09-07 OffTrevor Megill Exit Velo107.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance400 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○●●○○	0.7×	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.00 FIP3.91 IP1221.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-41 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind10 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-41 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 40 HR Note78°F, wind 10 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Cal Raleigh (S)	67	-15.8	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) SEA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-09-04 OffKade Morris Exit Velo108.7 mph Angle35.0° Distance373 ft StadiumT-Mobile Park	○○○○○	1.7×	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.47 FIP4.86 IP1324.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+45 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+45 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note80°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L)	66	-3.9	●	Chris Sale (LHP) PHI @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.22 IP1237.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · Truist Park warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind8 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 43 HR Note81°F, wind 8 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L)	65	-8.6	●	Carlos Rodón (LHP) NYM @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.02 FIP3.75 IP1307.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-3 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind9 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note77°F, wind 9 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R)	65	·	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) PIT @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.6% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP1089.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+8 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind10 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 8 HR Note78°F, wind 10 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L)	65	-6.2	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) PIT @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV94.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.6% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP1089.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-28 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind10 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-28 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note78°F, wind 10 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L)	65	-6.2	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) SEA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.47 FIP4.86 IP1324.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+46 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+46 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note80°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L)	65	-5.2	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) PHI @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.19 FIP3.79 IP1274.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-20 Weather · Truist Park warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind8 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note81°F, wind 8 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R)	63	-11.8	●	Nolan McLean (RHP) NYM @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls4 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.14 FIP4.15 IP1439.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-20 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind9 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note77°F, wind 9 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R)	62	-8.6	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) BAL @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.01 FIP3.85 IP1220.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Rogers Centre mild air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp69°F Wind2 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 34 HR Note69°F, wind 2 mph SE (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L)	61	-5.6	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) CWS @ STL · Busch Stadium	8:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP4.11 IP1302.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+8 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind5 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note82°F, wind 5 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R)	61	-4.7	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) BAL @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.01 FIP3.85 IP1220.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+8 Weather · Rogers Centre mild air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp69°F Wind2 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note69°F, wind 2 mph SE (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R)	61	-7.5	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) SEA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.47 FIP4.86 IP1324.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+57 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+57 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note80°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L)	61	-8.1	●	Nolan McLean (RHP) NYM @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.14 FIP4.15 IP1439.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind9 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note77°F, wind 9 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R)	60	-3.7	●	George Kirby (RHP) SEA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.26 FIP4.07 IP1287.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+66 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+66 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note80°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L)	60	-0.6	●	Yusei Kikuchi (LHP) LAA @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.08 FIP4.25 IP1353.3999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note81°F, wind 3 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L)	60	-1.3	●	Robbie Ray (LHP) SD @ SF · Oracle Park	10:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.06 FIP4.11 IP1233.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+57 Weather · Oracle Park mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind12 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+57 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note70°F, wind 12 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R)	58	-9.0	●	Framber Valdez (LHP) COL @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.08 FIP4.08 IP1354.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-30 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind6 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-30 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR Note73°F, wind 6 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L)	61	-4.7	●	AZ Bullpen Proxy TEX @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.11 FIP4.32 IP1269.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+27 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp100°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note100°F, wind 10 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (S)	57	-4.6	●	Dustin May (RHP) CIN @ MIL · American Family Field	7:45p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.07 FIP3.71 IP1256.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-19 Weather · American Family Field warm air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (S)	57	-6.8	●	Carlos Rodón (LHP) NYM @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.02 FIP3.75 IP1307.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind9 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note77°F, wind 9 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R)	56	-2.5	●	Cade Cavalli (RHP) LAA @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.41 FIP4.82 IP1300.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+8 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note81°F, wind 3 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L)	56	-3.2	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) CWS @ STL · Busch Stadium	8:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP4.11 IP1302.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-4 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind5 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note82°F, wind 5 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (R)	56	-10.5	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) SEA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.47 FIP4.86 IP1324.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+63 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+63 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note80°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R)	56	-2.5	●	Chris Bassitt (RHP) BAL @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.09 FIP4.12 IP1334.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+7 Weather · Rogers Centre mild air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp69°F Wind2 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note69°F, wind 2 mph SE (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R)	56	·	●	Mason Adams (RHP) COL @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.38 FIP4.85 IP1309.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-30 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind6 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-30 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note73°F, wind 6 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L)	56	-5.8	●	Mason Adams (RHP) COL @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.38 FIP4.85 IP1309.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-30 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind6 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-30 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note73°F, wind 6 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)

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Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.7%

▲ +3.2 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.1% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-10

7 HRs

57%

4 caught / 7 HRs

in top 50

#6 Luis García Jr.

20.7%

🔵

#7 Joc Pederson

32.2%

🔵

#21 Cam Smith

22.7%

🟠

#23 Oneil Cruz

16.0%

🟠

Missed

Julio Rodríguez Kyle Karros Anthony Volpe

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Elly De La Cruz ×5 Kyle Schwarber ×4 Max Muncy ×4 Corey Seager ×3 Colson Montgomery ×2

❄️ Cold

Bryce Harper 0 of 7d Matt Olson 0 of 7d Dominic Canzone 0 of 6d James Wood 0 of 6d Michael Harris II 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.0%

C+ 17.2%

C 13.8%

D 9.0%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-11

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.