Morning Wizard

2026-09-11 · 200 matchups scored

1 of 9 steps done

Step 1 of 9 15 candidates · 0 locked from this step

Park + Weather

Today's most HR-friendly environments — parks and weather conditions that favor the long ball.

SEA

ATH

SEA @ ATH Wind out 1.841

Sutter Health Park Park × 1.23 warm air · steady wind out · roof open

1.23× 80°F 12 mph open

#5 Cal Raleigh 3rd signal park · pitcher · top · ·

LAA

WSH

LAA @ WSH Wind out 1.291

Nationals Park Park × 1.17 warm air · light partial wind out · roof open

1.17× 81°F 3 mph open

· #19 Cj Abrams ·

PIT

CHC

PIT @ CHC Crosswind 1.243

Wrigley Field Park × 1.13 warm air · steady crosswind · roof open

1.13× 78°F 10 mph open

· · #8 Rafael Flores Jr. 3rd signal park · pitcher · top

SD @ SF Wind out 1.205

Oracle Park Park × 0.86 mild air · steady wind out · roof open

0.86× 70°F 12 mph open

#20 Rafael Devers · ·

NYM

NYY

NYM @ NYY Wind out 1.184

Yankee Stadium Park × 1.08 warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open

1.08× 77°F 9 mph open

· #12 Aaron Judge ·

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Step 2 of 9 4 candidates · 0 locked from this step

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Susceptible Pitchers

Pitchers on today's slate with the highest HR-susceptibility scores — they give up dingers at elevated rates.

Jeffrey Springs ⚠️ High

33 HRs · 0.258 HR/IP · 20.4% HR/FB · 6.17 ERA

FIP 6.17 · xFIP 4.79 · Gap +1.38

Aaron Nola ⚠️ High

32 HRs · 0.210 HR/IP · 20.5% HR/FB · 4.8 ERA

FIP 4.8 · xFIP 3.66 · Gap +1.14

Mason Adams ⚠️ High

4 HRs · 0.308 HR/IP · 30.8% HR/FB · 5.92 ERA

FIP 5.92 · xFIP 3.48 · Gap +2.44

Shota Imanaga ⚠️ High

33 HRs · 0.213 HR/IP · 17.6% HR/FB · 4.75 ERA

FIP 4.75 · xFIP 3.87 · Gap +0.88

View full report →

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The Wizard has more to show you

Steps 3–9 include FIP-xFIP gap risk, splits edges, arsenal matchups, hot/cold streaks, unlucky barrels, and your final picks summary.

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Morning Wizard

Park + Weather

Susceptible Pitchers

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