Esmerlyn Valdez
RHB
PIT
· 54 appearances tracked
10
HRs
18.5%
HR Rate
33.1%
Avg HR/FB
92.0
Avg EV
0.335
ISO
#1
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.282
Avg EV91.9
Barrel%13.8%
HR/FB vs LHP36.0%
Avg HR Dist395
Match%38.8%
Season HR%
20.0%
14D Pace
25.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-11
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
55.8%
11
Breaking
28.6%
6
Offspeed
15.5%
0
All
100%
19.4%
17
37.5%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Shota Imanaga · LHP · PIT
SMALL SAMPLE · 9 PA · since 2026
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-6 and 3 walks across 9 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
4 of 4 active
Wrigley +HR
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Edge
Weather +1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
13.8
vs
—
HR/FB
36.0
vs
20.8 ▲ edge
K%
37.5
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
10 this season · avg 395 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jun 26
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
—
106.5
414
Jun 28
vs CIN · Pierce Johnson
—
109.8
461
Jul 9
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
—
104.3
394
Jul 11
vs MIL · Aaron Ashby
—
103.7
380
Jul 18
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
—
101.6
373
Jul 19
@ CLE · Will Dion
—
102.2
371
Jul 20
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
—
106.6
436
Jul 26
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
—
106.1
405
Aug 30
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
—
97.6
355
Sep 9
@ CWS · Davis Martin
—
99.4
361
HR by month
Jul
Aug
Sep
All Appearances
54 tracked · 10 HR · 48 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 9
@ CWS · Davis Martin
2
103.4
HR
2 BIP
Sep 8
@ CWS · Sean Burke
4
100.7
4 BIP
Sep 6
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
99.8
2 BIP
Sep 5
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
1
105.8
1 BIP
Sep 2
vs SF · Landen Roupp
1
62.6
1 BIP
Sep 1
vs SF · Logan Webb
2
101.0
2 BIP
Aug 30
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
97.6
HR
3 BIP
Aug 28
@ STL · Quinn Mathews
2
100.1
2 BIP
Aug 26
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
3
90.4
3 BIP
Aug 23
@ LAD · Blake Snell
0
—
—
Aug 22
@ LAD · Tarik Skubal
2
111.6
2 BIP
Aug 19
vs DET · Jackson Jobe
0
—
—
Aug 18
vs DET · Keider Montero
2
92.8
2 BIP
Aug 17
vs DET · Framber Valdez
2
96.3
2 BIP
Aug 16
vs BOS · Patrick Sandoval
3
102.0
3 BIP
Aug 15
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
2
103.0
2 BIP
Aug 14
vs BOS · Jake Bennett
2
110.5
2 BIP
Aug 13
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
4
100.6
4 BIP
Aug 12
@ MIA · Janson Junk
4
99.5
4 BIP
Aug 11
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
97.9
3 BIP
Aug 9
vs NYM · Sean Manaea
0
—
—
Aug 8
vs NYM · NYM Bullpen Proxy
1
97.9
1 BIP
Aug 7
vs NYM · Zac Thornton
2
78.9
2 BIP
Aug 2
@ CIN · Chase Burns
0
—
—
Aug 1
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
2
95.5
2 BIP
Jul 31
@ CIN · Hunter Greene
3
97.3
3 BIP
Jul 29
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
98.4
3 BIP
Jul 28
vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
4
101.8
4 BIP
Jul 27
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
1
106.4
1 BIP
Jul 26
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
2
106.1
HR
2 BIP
Jul 25
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
1
84.2
1 BIP
Jul 24
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
3
97.6
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
1
110.2
1 BIP
Jul 20
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
1
106.6
HR
1 BIP
Jul 19
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
1
102.2
HR
1 BIP
Jul 18
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
4
108.8
HR
4 BIP
Jul 12
vs MIL · Robert Gasser
2
98.8
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
5
109.2
HR
5 BIP
Jul 10
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
0
—
—
Jul 9
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
3
104.3
HR
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
1
100.7
1 BIP
Jul 7
vs ATL · Hurston Waldrep
2
92.3
2 BIP
Jul 5
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
1
83.9
1 BIP
Jul 4
@ WSH · WSH Bullpen Proxy
2
91.0
2 BIP
Jul 3
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
4
103.4
4 BIP
Jul 2
@ PHI · Alan Rangel
4
112.7
4 BIP
Jul 1
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
4
92.4
4 BIP
Jun 30
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
3
100.2
3 BIP
Jun 28
vs CIN · Brady Singer
4
109.8
HR
4 BIP
Jun 26
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
106.5
HR
3 BIP
May 27
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
0
—
—
May 26
vs CHC · Jordan Wicks
0
—
—
May 24
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
0
—
—
May 23
@ TOR · Patrick Corbin
0
—
—
Ballpark
Wrigley Field · open-air
Park Factor
1.130
Wind
10 mph from ESE
Temp
78°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:20p
10 →
78°
+2
2:20p
10 →
78°
+2
3:20p
10 →
78°
+2
4:20p
10 →
78°
+2
5:20p
10 →
78°
+4
+2
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to pull (from ESE)
Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.
Score Breakdown
Base 73 → 73
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
HR/FB Matchup
season hr rate
Pitcher FIP
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Esmerlyn Valdez
Will Esmerlyn Valdez hit a home run today?
Esmerlyn Valdez is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #1 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Shota Imanaga at Wrigley Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Esmerlyn Valdez hit home runs?
Across 54 scored games this season, Esmerlyn Valdez has 10 home runs — one every 5.4 games, or about 19% of his scored games.
Has Esmerlyn Valdez homered off Shota Imanaga before?
Not yet — Esmerlyn Valdez has faced Shota Imanaga 9 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.