Today · 2026-09-10

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🔥 High Conviction 2 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#2 Aaron Judge vs Ryan Feltner FIP 5.35 HR/FB 20.4% #11 Pro pick vs Ryan Feltner FIP 5.35 HR/FB 20.4%

📦 STACK Cristian Javier FIP 4.94 HR/FB 6.2% → #1 Kyle Schwarber, #13 Pro pick

📦 STACK Ryan Feltner FIP 5.35 HR/FB 20.4% → #2 Aaron Judge, #3 Ben Rice, #11 Pro pick

📦 STACK Jared Jones FIP 3.94 HR/FB 22.6% → #4 Munetaka Murakami, #8 Pro pick, #14 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

📦 STACK Logan Gilbert FIP 3.93 HR/FB 18.2% → #7 Pro pick, #12 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-09. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.7% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L)	76	-14.5	●	Cristian Javier (RHP) HOU @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	44	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-09 OffAJ Blubaugh Exit Velo105.7 mph Angle30.0° Distance408 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●●●○●	0.0×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.30 FIP4.63 IP1323.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+6 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind8 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 8 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Aaron Judge (R)	70	-16.1	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) COL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls4 BBE Barrel%14.3% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	109d Last HR · 2026-05-24 OffDrew Rasmussen Exit Velo103.9 mph Angle34.0° Distance363 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	2.7×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.38 FIP4.83 IP1301.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind8 mph W Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 8 mph W (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Ben Rice (L)	68	-11.7	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) COL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	36	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-09-04 OffWalker Buehler Exit Velo108.6 mph Angle26.0° Distance444 ft StadiumPetco Park	●○○○○	1.3×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.38 FIP4.83 IP1301.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind8 mph W Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 8 mph W (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Munetaka Murakami (L)	68	-6.6	●	Jared Jones (RHP) PIT @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	31	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-09 OffLuke Weaver Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle43.0° Distance381 ft StadiumRate Field	○●○○●	0.0×	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.01 FIP3.92 IP1213.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
5	Junior Caminero (R)	66	-5.9	●	Martín Pérez (LHP) TB @ ATL · Truist Park	12:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	39	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-09-08 OffAJ Smith-Shawver Exit Velo110.2 mph Angle25.0° Distance455 ft StadiumTruist Park	○●○●○	0.3×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.22 IP1228.8999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind3 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 3 mph SE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L)	63	-0.3	●	Logan Gilbert (RHP) TEX @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.27 FIP4.08 IP1279.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · T-Mobile Park mild air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp69°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 4 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L)	63	-5.8	●	Jared Jones (RHP) PIT @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.01 FIP3.92 IP1213.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
8	Pro pick (R)	63	·	●	Hagen Smith (LHP) PIT @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.08 FIP4.20 IP1255.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
9	Pro pick (L)	62	-8.6	●	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ ATL · Truist Park	12:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.21 FIP4.07 IP1254.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind3 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 3 mph SE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L)	61	-5.6	●	Logan Gilbert (RHP) TEX @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.27 FIP4.08 IP1279.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · T-Mobile Park mild air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp69°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 4 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R)	60	·	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) COL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV86.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.38 FIP4.83 IP1301.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind8 mph W Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 8 mph W (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L)	60	-9.3	●	Cristian Javier (RHP) HOU @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.30 FIP4.63 IP1323.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind8 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 8 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L)	59	-15.7	●	Zack Wheeler (RHP) HOU @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.19 FIP3.79 IP1265.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-1 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind8 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 8 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (R)	59	·	●	Jared Jones (RHP) PIT @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.01 FIP3.92 IP1213.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
15	Pro pick (R)	59	-1.6	●	Jared Jones (RHP) PIT @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.01 FIP3.92 IP1213.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
16	Pro pick (R)	57	-4.6	●	Logan Gilbert (RHP) TEX @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.27 FIP4.08 IP1279.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · T-Mobile Park mild air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp69°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 4 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R)	56	-8.0	●	Max Fried (LHP) COL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%6.3% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.02 FIP3.75 IP1300.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+22 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind8 mph W Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 8 mph W (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L)	55	-6.1	●	Hagen Smith (LHP) PIT @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.08 FIP4.20 IP1255.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
19	Pro pick (S)	55	-10.8	●	Jacob deGrom (RHP) TEX @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.17 IP1236.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · T-Mobile Park mild air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp69°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 4 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L)	55	-6.1	●	Hagen Smith (LHP) PIT @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV94.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.08 FIP4.20 IP1255.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
21	Pro pick (R)	54	-0.2	●	Zack Wheeler (RHP) HOU @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%7.5% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.19 FIP3.79 IP1265.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-14 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind8 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 8 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L)	54	-5.5	●	Jacob deGrom (RHP) TEX @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.17 IP1236.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · T-Mobile Park mild air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp69°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 4 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R)	54	+1.8	●	Zack Wheeler (RHP) HOU @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.19 FIP3.79 IP1265.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-11 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind8 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 8 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L)	53	-5.7	●	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ ATL · Truist Park	12:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.21 FIP4.07 IP1254.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind3 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 3 mph SE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L)	52	·	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) COL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.38 FIP4.83 IP1301.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind8 mph W Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 8 mph W (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R)	50	-0.0	●	Logan Gilbert (RHP) TEX @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.27 FIP4.08 IP1279.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · T-Mobile Park mild air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp69°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 4 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (R)	50	-0.0	●	Zack Wheeler (RHP) HOU @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%6.4% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.19 FIP3.79 IP1265.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-16 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind8 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 8 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R)	50	-4.2	●	Cristian Javier (RHP) HOU @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	1:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%7.6% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.30 FIP4.63 IP1323.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-10 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind8 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 8 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R)	49	-4.4	●	Jacob deGrom (RHP) TEX @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.17 IP1236.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · T-Mobile Park mild air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp69°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 4 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R)	49	-6.8	●	Logan Gilbert (RHP) TEX @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.27 FIP4.08 IP1279.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · T-Mobile Park mild air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp69°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 4 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.3%

▲ +3.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.4% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-09

42 HRs

33%

14 caught / 42 HRs

in top 50

#1 Kyle Schwarber

40.4%

🟡

#5 Munetaka Murakami

20.7%

🔵

#6 Max Muncy

22.9%

🔵

#8 Luis García Jr.

22.4%

🔵

#18 Esmerlyn Valdez

26.0%

🔵

#19 Carter Jensen

23.9%

🔵

#20 Max Muncy

17.5%

🔵

#23 Coby Mayo

33.4%

🔵

#27 Elly De La Cruz

26.9%

🟠

#39 Corey Seager

14.9%

🟠

#40 Jake Burger

23.6%

🟠

#42 Wilyer Abreu

12.4%

🟠

#43 Bobby Witt Jr.

12.1%

🟠

#49 Drake Baldwin

14.2%

🟠

Missed

Kody Clemens Jackson Chourio Victor Mesa Jr. Mookie Betts Henry Bolte +23 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Elly De La Cruz ×5 Corey Seager ×4 Kyle Schwarber ×4 Max Muncy ×4 Pete Crow-Armstrong ×3

❄️ Cold

Bryce Harper 0 of 6d Dominic Canzone 0 of 6d Matt Olson 0 of 6d James Wood 0 of 6d Sal Stewart 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.0%

C+ 17.2%

C 13.8%

D 9.0%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-10

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.