Today · 2026-09-09

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

#2 Ben Rice vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.4 HR/FB 24.1%

📦 STACK Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.4 HR/FB 24.1% → #2 Ben Rice, #3 Aaron Judge

📦 STACK Lake Bachar FIP 4.71 HR/FB 16.2% → #4 Munetaka Murakami, #6 Pro pick

📦 STACK Rhett Lowder FIP 4.71 HR/FB 14.6% → #13 Pro pick, #14 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-08. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.6% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L)	72	-8.6	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) HOU @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	43	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-09-07 OffDidier Fuentes Exit Velo107.8 mph Angle29.0° Distance415 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○●●●○	0.3×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.30 FIP4.63 IP1305.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+64 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+64 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 42 HR Note80°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Ben Rice (L)	72	-11.2	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	36	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-09-04 OffWalker Buehler Exit Velo108.6 mph Angle26.0° Distance444 ft StadiumPetco Park	○●○○○	1.0×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.36 FIP4.82 IP1280.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note77°F, wind 12 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Aaron Judge	72	-14.6	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟡 B	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	— Form · — SignalUNKNOWN Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%16.0% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	108d Last HR · 2026-05-24 OffDrew Rasmussen Exit Velo103.9 mph Angle34.0° Distance363 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	2.3×	3	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.36 FIP4.82 IP1280.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+54 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+54 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note77°F, wind 12 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Munetaka Murakami (L)	67	-7.9	●	Lake Bachar (RHP) PIT @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-09-05 OffTaj Bradley Exit Velo103.6 mph Angle49.0° Distance346 ft StadiumRate Field	○○●○○	0.7×	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP3.95 IP1199.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR NoteUnknown stadium
5	Junior Caminero (R)	70	-8.6	●	ATL Bullpen Proxy TB @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	39	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-08 OffAJ Smith-Shawver Exit Velo110.2 mph Angle25.0° Distance455 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○●○●	0.0×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.18 IP1215.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-19 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 38 HR Note84°F, wind 4 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (R)	66	-6.4	●	Will Warren (RHP) COL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.01 FIP3.75 IP1282.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+68 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+68 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note77°F, wind 12 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L)	65	-6.2	●	Lake Bachar (RHP) PIT @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP3.95 IP1199.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR NoteUnknown stadium
8	Pro pick (L)	65	-3.4	●	Griffin Jax (RHP) TB @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.08 IP1240.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note84°F, wind 4 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L)	64	·	●	Kade Anderson (LHP) TEX @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.25 FIP4.05 IP1262.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74°F Wind5 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L)	64	-8.0	●	Logan Henderson (RHP) CHC @ MIL · American Family Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.09 FIP3.72 IP1238.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp78°F Wind7 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 40 HR Note78°F, wind 7 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R)	63	·	●	Braydon Fisher (RHP) TOR @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	3:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.00 FIP3.85 IP1205.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94°F Wind7 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note94°F, wind 7 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L)	63	·	●	Zac Gallen (RHP) AZ @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.10 FIP4.30 IP1255.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+4 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L)	63	-15.9	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.30 FIP4.74 IP1244.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92°F Wind4 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note92°F, wind 4 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L)	63	-4.0	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CIN @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.30 FIP4.74 IP1244.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+14 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92°F Wind4 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note92°F, wind 4 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R)	63	·	●	Brady Basso (LHP) TOR @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	3:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.48 FIP4.88 IP1305.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94°F Wind7 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note94°F, wind 7 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R)	62	-7.8	●	Lake Bachar (RHP) PIT @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP3.95 IP1199.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR NoteUnknown stadium
17	Pro pick (R)	61	·	●	Lake Bachar (RHP) PIT @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls11 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP3.95 IP1199.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR NoteUnknown stadium
18	Pro pick (R)	61	·	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV86.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.36 FIP4.82 IP1280.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+55 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+55 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note77°F, wind 12 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R)	61	-7.5	●	Foster Griffin (LHP) CLE @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.13 FIP3.91 IP1244.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+57 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind11 mph S Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+57 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note84°F, wind 11 mph S (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R)	60	-6.8	●	Foster Griffin (LHP) CLE @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.13 FIP3.91 IP1244.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+67 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind11 mph S Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+67 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note84°F, wind 11 mph S (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L)	60	-6.8	●	Walker Buehler (RHP) WSH @ SD · Petco Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%13.0% Avg EV95.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.06 FIP4.11 IP1221.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+14 Weather · Petco Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp97°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note97°F, wind 7 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L)	60	·	●	Zac Gallen (RHP) AZ @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.10 FIP4.30 IP1255.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+5 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (S)	60	-1.3	●	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) CIN @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.20 FIP4.01 IP1252.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92°F Wind4 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note92°F, wind 4 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (S)	59	-12.3	●	Cody Bradford (LHP) TEX @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.24 FIP4.17 IP1222.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-2 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74°F Wind5 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L)	59	-2.3	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) HOU @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.30 FIP4.63 IP1305.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+66 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+66 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note80°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L)	58	-6.5	●	Davis Martin (RHP) PIT @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.09 FIP4.20 IP1234.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteUnknown stadium
27	Pro pick (L)	58	-5.6	●	Will Warren (RHP) COL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.01 FIP3.75 IP1282.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+23 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note77°F, wind 12 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L)	58	-1.9	●	Cody Bradford (LHP) TEX @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.24 FIP4.17 IP1222.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74°F Wind5 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L)	57	-10.2	●	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) HOU @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.18 FIP3.78 IP1248.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+64 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind11 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+64 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note80°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R)	57	-4.6	●	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) CIN @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.20 FIP4.01 IP1252.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+14 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92°F Wind4 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note92°F, wind 4 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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213 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.9%

— flat

avg daily catch rate · vs 16.9% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-08

27 HRs

37%

10 caught / 27 HRs

in top 50

#3 Junior Caminero

35.6%

🔵

#4 Kazuma Okamoto

26.5%

🔵

#7 Hunter Goodman

28.5%

🔵

#13 Pete Alonso

26.2%

🔵

#31 Elly De La Cruz

20.6%

🟠

#32 Corey Seager

14.5%

🟠

#35 Rafael Flores Jr.

18.2%

🟠

#37 Christian Walker

15.3%

🟠

#41 Kody Clemens

24.1%

🟠

#48 Juan Soto

23.9%

🟠

Missed

Cam Smith Jackson Chourio Yandy Díaz Kyle Teel Zach Neto +12 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Elly De La Cruz ×4 Corey Seager ×3 Pete Crow-Armstrong ×3 Rafael Devers ×3 Kyle Schwarber ×3

❄️ Cold

Bryce Harper 0 of 6d James Wood 0 of 6d Matt Olson 0 of 6d Sal Stewart 0 of 6d Shohei Ohtani 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.0%

C+ 17.1%

C 13.7%

D 9.0%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-09

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.