2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Rafael Devers 7 HRs · 2 Francisco Lindor 5 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 4 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 5 Elly De La Cruz 4 HRs · 6 Colson Montgomery 4 HRs · 7 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 8 Kody Clemens 4 HRs · 9 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 10 Jackson Chourio 4 HRs · 11 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 12 Cal Raleigh 4 HRs 1 Rafael Devers 7 HRs · 2 Francisco Lindor 5 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 4 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 5 Elly De La Cruz 4 HRs · 6 Colson Montgomery 4 HRs · 7 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 8 Kody Clemens 4 HRs · 9 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 10 Jackson Chourio 4 HRs · 11 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 12 Cal Raleigh 4 HRs
Aaron Judge

Aaron Judge

NYY · 53 appearances tracked
12 HRs
22.6% HR Rate
42.5% Avg HR/FB
93.1 Avg EV
0.347 ISO
#1 Best Rank
as of 2026-09-09
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
97
0.285
Avg EV
98
94.1
Barrel%
99
16.0%
HR/FB vs RHP
97
34.3%
Avg HR Dist
79
404
Match%
95
25.5%
Season HR%
22.6%
14D Pace
0.0%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
97
98
99
97
79
95
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-09-09
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 49.9%
20.0%
8
25.0%
Breaking 32.2%
23.1%
6
30.7%
Offspeed 17.9%
23.1%
3
31.2%
All 100% 21.7% 17 28.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Tomoyuki Sugano · RHP · NYY
SMALL SAMPLE · 13 PA · since 2025
.700
AVG
1.600
SLG
3
HR
7-for-10 with 3 homers and 3 walks across 13 plate appearances since 2025. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 3 of 4 active
Yankee Stadium +HR Pitcher form Cold Platoon Weather +3
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 16.0 vs
16.0
HR/FB 34.3 vs 17.4 ▲ edge
34.3
17.4
K% 28.1 vs
28.1
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 12 this season · avg 404 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Mar 27 Robbie Ray · Oracle Park 109.1 405.0
Apr 12 Drew Rasmussen · Tropicana Field 108.9 415.0
Apr 16 Brent Suter · Yankee Stadium 105.1 410.0
Apr 19 Cole Ragans · Yankee Stadium 111.6 425.0
Apr 26 Spencer Arrighetti · Minute Maid Park 109.3 401.0
Apr 27 Jack Leiter · Globe Life Field 113.0 414.0
Apr 28 Jacob deGrom · Globe Life Field 112.7 424.0
May 4 Shane Baz · Yankee Stadium 110.6 416.0
May 6 Nathan Eovaldi · Yankee Stadium 110.0 399.0
May 10 Logan Henderson · American Family Field 104.4 373.0
May 24 vs TB · Drew Rasmussen 103.9 363.0
HR by month
1
6
4
Mar Apr May
All Appearances 53 tracked · 12 HR · 51 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Sep 8 vs COL · Gabriel Hughes 1 95.1 1 BIP
May 31 @ ATH · Jacob Lopez 2 92.8 2 BIP
May 30 @ ATH · J.T. Ginn 4 107.8 4 BIP
May 29 @ ATH · Luis Severino 3 112.1 3 BIP
May 27 @ KC · Noah Cameron 3 101.2 3 BIP
May 26 @ KC · Bailey Falter 3 109.6 3 BIP
May 25 @ KC · Michael Wacha 3 110.9 3 BIP
May 24 vs TB · Drew Rasmussen 4 106.6 HR 4 BIP
May 22 vs TB · Nick Martinez 3 111.9 3 BIP
May 21 vs TOR · Braydon Fisher 3 87.6 3 BIP
May 20 vs TOR · Trey Yesavage 0
May 19 vs TOR · Dylan Cease 0
May 18 vs TOR · Patrick Corbin 4 110.0 4 BIP
May 17 @ NYM · Freddy Peralta 3 102.5 3 BIP
May 16 @ NYM · Huascar Brazobán 3 98.8 3 BIP
May 15 @ NYM · Clay Holmes 3 102.0 3 BIP
May 13 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 3 92.4 3 BIP
May 11 @ BAL · Brandon Young 3 106.7 3 BIP
May 10 @ MIL · Logan Henderson 1 104.4 HR 1 BIP
May 9 @ MIL · Kyle Harrison 0
May 8 @ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski 2 101.4 2 BIP
May 7 vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore 4 108.8 4 BIP
May 6 vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 2 110.0 HR 2 BIP
May 5 vs TEX · Jacob deGrom 1 89.0 1 BIP
May 4 vs BAL · Shane Baz 4 110.6 HR 4 BIP
May 2 vs BAL · Kyle Bradish 0
Apr 29 @ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi 2 83.7 2 BIP
Apr 28 @ TEX · Jacob deGrom 3 112.7 HR 3 BIP
Apr 27 @ TEX · Jack Leiter 3 113.0 HR 3 BIP
Apr 26 @ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti 4 109.3 HR 4 BIP
Apr 25 @ HOU · Mike Burrows 1 95.7 1 BIP
Apr 24 @ HOU · Lance McCullers Jr. 2 93.0 2 BIP
Apr 23 @ BOS · Payton Tolle 1 95.1 1 BIP
Apr 22 @ BOS · Ranger Suarez 2 112.4 2 BIP
Apr 21 @ BOS · Connelly Early 3 99.5 3 BIP
Apr 19 vs KC · Cole Ragans 2 111.6 HR 2 BIP
Apr 18 vs KC · Noah Cameron 0
Apr 17 vs KC · Michael Wacha 2 95.9 2 BIP
Apr 16 vs LAA · Brent Suter 3 105.1 HR 3 BIP
Apr 14 vs LAA · Reid Detmers 2 98.5 2 BIP
Apr 12 @ TB · Drew Rasmussen 2 108.9 HR 2 BIP
Apr 11 @ TB · Nick Martinez 2 107.9 2 BIP
Apr 10 @ TB · Steven Matz 2 110.1 2 BIP
Apr 9 vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs 3 86.3 3 BIP
Apr 8 vs ATH · Luis Severino 2 107.4 2 BIP
Apr 7 vs ATH · Aaron Civale 2 98.5 2 BIP
Apr 5 vs MIA · Chris Paddack 4 110.7 4 BIP
Apr 4 vs MIA · Max Meyer 4 111.9 4 BIP
Apr 1 @ SEA · George Kirby 3 103.8 3 BIP
Mar 31 @ SEA · Logan Gilbert 2 107.0 2 BIP
Mar 30 @ SEA · Luis Castillo 2 79.4 2 BIP
Mar 28 @ SF · Tyler Mahle 3 102.1 HR 3 BIP
Mar 27 @ SF · Robbie Ray 2 109.1 HR 2 BIP
Ballpark Yankee Stadium · open-air
Park Factor 1.063 Wind 12 mph from SSW Temp 77°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
7:05p 12 77° +11
8:05p 12 75° +10
9:05p 12 74° +10
10:05p 12 72° +10
11:05p 12 71° +10
+10
Slight green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
12 mph 29% 18% 24% 18% 12% OPPO PULL Yankee Stadium
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to oppo (from SSW)

Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.

Score Breakdown Base 72 → 72
ISO (Power)
+24.9
Barrel Matchup
+20.7
Park Factor
+8.2
Pitcher FIP
+6.1
season hr rate
+5.7
HR/FB Matchup
+4.0
Exit Velocity
+1.8
recent hr density 14d
+0.7
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Aaron Judge

Will Aaron Judge hit a home run today?

Aaron Judge is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #3 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Tomoyuki Sugano at Yankee Stadium. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Aaron Judge hit home runs?

Across 53 scored games this season, Aaron Judge has 12 home runs — one every 4.4 games, or about 23% of his scored games.

Has Aaron Judge homered off Tomoyuki Sugano before?

Yes — Aaron Judge has taken Tomoyuki Sugano deep 3 times in 13 career plate appearances against him.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.173 · build 676

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