Aaron Judge
NYY
· 60 appearances tracked
13
HRs
21.7%
HR Rate
41.8%
Avg HR/FB
93.2
Avg EV
0.339
ISO
#1
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-10-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
48.2%
9
Breaking
33.2%
6
Offspeed
18.6%
3
All
100%
20.9%
18
30.4%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
30.4
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
13 this season · avg 405 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Mar 27
Robbie Ray · Oracle Park
—
109.1
405.0
Apr 12
Drew Rasmussen · Tropicana Field
—
108.9
415.0
Apr 16
Brent Suter · Yankee Stadium
—
105.1
410.0
Apr 19
Cole Ragans · Yankee Stadium
—
111.6
425.0
Apr 26
Spencer Arrighetti · Minute Maid Park
—
109.3
401.0
Apr 27
Jack Leiter · Globe Life Field
—
113.0
414.0
Apr 28
Jacob deGrom · Globe Life Field
—
112.7
424.0
May 4
Shane Baz · Yankee Stadium
—
110.6
416.0
May 6
Nathan Eovaldi · Yankee Stadium
—
110.0
399.0
May 10
Logan Henderson · American Family Field
—
104.4
373.0
May 24
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
—
103.9
363.0
Sep 14
@ MIN · A.J. Minter
—
104.2
415
HR by month
Apr
May
Sep
All Appearances
60 tracked · 13 HR · 58 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 18
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
0
—
—
Sep 16
@ MIN · Zebby Matthews
0
—
—
Sep 14
@ MIN · Dean Kremer
2
104.2
HR
2 BIP
Sep 13
vs NYM · Christian Scott
0
—
—
Sep 12
vs NYM · Zac Thornton
3
102.0
3 BIP
Sep 11
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
1
105.0
1 BIP
Sep 9
vs COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
97.9
3 BIP
Sep 8
vs COL · Gabriel Hughes
1
95.1
1 BIP
May 31
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
2
92.8
2 BIP
May 30
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
4
107.8
4 BIP
May 29
@ ATH · Luis Severino
3
112.1
3 BIP
May 27
@ KC · Noah Cameron
3
101.2
3 BIP
May 26
@ KC · Bailey Falter
3
109.6
3 BIP
May 25
@ KC · Michael Wacha
3
110.9
3 BIP
May 24
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
4
106.6
HR
4 BIP
May 22
vs TB · Nick Martinez
3
111.9
3 BIP
May 21
vs TOR · Braydon Fisher
3
87.6
3 BIP
May 20
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
0
—
—
May 19
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
0
—
—
May 18
vs TOR · Patrick Corbin
4
110.0
4 BIP
May 17
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
3
102.5
3 BIP
May 16
@ NYM · Huascar Brazobán
3
98.8
3 BIP
May 15
@ NYM · Clay Holmes
3
102.0
3 BIP
May 13
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
92.4
3 BIP
May 11
@ BAL · Brandon Young
3
106.7
3 BIP
May 10
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
1
104.4
HR
1 BIP
May 9
@ MIL · Kyle Harrison
0
—
—
May 8
@ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
2
101.4
2 BIP
May 7
vs TEX · MacKenzie Gore
4
108.8
4 BIP
May 6
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
2
110.0
HR
2 BIP
May 5
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
1
89.0
1 BIP
May 4
vs BAL · Shane Baz
4
110.6
HR
4 BIP
May 2
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
0
—
—
Apr 29
@ TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
2
83.7
2 BIP
Apr 28
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
3
112.7
HR
3 BIP
Apr 27
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
3
113.0
HR
3 BIP
Apr 26
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
4
109.3
HR
4 BIP
Apr 25
@ HOU · Mike Burrows
1
95.7
1 BIP
Apr 24
@ HOU · Lance McCullers Jr.
2
93.0
2 BIP
Apr 23
@ BOS · Payton Tolle
1
95.1
1 BIP
Apr 22
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
2
112.4
2 BIP
Apr 21
@ BOS · Connelly Early
3
99.5
3 BIP
Apr 19
vs KC · Cole Ragans
2
111.6
HR
2 BIP
Apr 18
vs KC · Noah Cameron
0
—
—
Apr 17
vs KC · Michael Wacha
2
95.9
2 BIP
Apr 16
vs LAA · Brent Suter
3
105.1
HR
3 BIP
Apr 14
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
2
98.5
2 BIP
Apr 12
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
2
108.9
HR
2 BIP
Apr 11
@ TB · Nick Martinez
2
107.9
2 BIP
Apr 10
@ TB · Steven Matz
2
110.1
2 BIP
Apr 9
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
3
86.3
3 BIP
Apr 8
vs ATH · Luis Severino
2
107.4
2 BIP
Apr 7
vs ATH · Aaron Civale
2
98.5
2 BIP
Apr 5
vs MIA · Chris Paddack
4
110.7
4 BIP
Apr 4
vs MIA · Max Meyer
4
111.9
4 BIP
Apr 1
@ SEA · George Kirby
3
103.8
3 BIP
Mar 31
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
107.0
2 BIP
Mar 30
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
2
79.4
2 BIP
Mar 28
@ SF · Tyler Mahle
3
102.1
HR
3 BIP
Mar 27
@ SF · Robbie Ray
2
109.1
HR
2 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game —
Dueness now
0.67×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
3 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
2 gm
since his last HR, Sep 14
Season
13 HR
60 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 12 gaps · median 3 gm · MAD ± 2.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Aaron Judge
Will Aaron Judge hit a home run today?
Aaron Judge is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 13 times in 60 scored games (about 22% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Aaron Judge hit home runs?
Across 60 scored games this season, Aaron Judge has 13 home runs — one every 4.6 games, or about 22% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.