11
HRs allowed
7.1%
HR rate (pool)
10.3%
Overall HR/FB
2.8
FIP
3.28
xFIP
-0.48
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
28
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 28th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.6%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 102.6 EV · 387 ft
max EV allowed 113.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 6 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Davis Martin.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
26.2%
82.6
24.2°
1
+0.8
Sinker Hard
17.7%
83.2
19.0°
0
-2.0
Changeup Offspeed
14.7%
86.5
2.0°
1
-2.5
Slider Breaking
14.5%
81.5
8.9°
1
-0.6
Curveball Breaking
13.4%
80.1
9.4°
1
+0.2
Cutter Hard
13.4%
84.6
21.4°
1
+0.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups154
HRs allowed (pool)11
Pool HR rate7.1%
Pool HR/game day0.61
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB10.3% 28
HR/9—
FIP2.8 10
xFIP3.28
FIP − xFIP-0.48 20
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.6%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 26.2% usage
+0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.6 mph
Avg launch angle24.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches413
Sinker
Hard · 17.7% usage
-2.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.2 mph
Avg launch angle19.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches279
Changeup
Offspeed · 14.7% usage
-2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.5 mph
Avg launch angle2.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches232
Slider
Breaking · 14.5% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.5 mph
Avg launch angle8.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches229
Curveball
Breaking · 13.4% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.1 mph
Avg launch angle9.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches211
Cutter
Hard · 13.4% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.6 mph
Avg launch angle21.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches211
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Davis Martin.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
11 allowed · scored pool
avg 102.6 EV · 387 ft
6 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-08
8
0
107.5
2026-07-02
8
1
109.9
2026-06-27
7
0
109.2
2026-06-21
8
1
110.6
2026-06-16
7
4
106.6
2026-06-10
8
0
109.3
2026-06-02
9
0
103.6
2026-05-28
9
0
108.2
2026-05-22
9
0
99.6
2026-05-16
9
1
104.2
2026-05-10
9
0
110.5
2026-05-04
9
0
107.3
2026-04-28
9
1
107.4
2026-04-23
9
0
105.0
2026-04-17
9
1
112.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Davis Martin isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.