Today · 2026-07-31

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#7 Dillon Dingler vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.12 HR/FB 25.3% #10 Pro pick vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.12 HR/FB 25.3% #11 Pro pick vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.55 HR/FB 24.1%

📦 STACK Bryce Elder FIP 4.53 HR/FB 15.9% → #3 James Wood, #6 Pro pick

📦 STACK Foster Griffin FIP 3.98 HR/FB 16.0% → #4 Matt Olson, #13 Pro pick

📦 STACK Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.12 HR/FB 25.3% → #7 Dillon Dingler, #10 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-30. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.9% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Hunter Goodman (R) ⁵	72	-12.8	●	Michael Wacha (RHP) KC @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	31	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffClayton Beeter Exit Velo95.4 mph Angle32.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○○○	2.0×	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.35 FIP4.79 IP935.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind11 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 11 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
2	James Wood (L) ³	72	-11.2	●	Bryce Elder (RHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffKevin Ginkel Exit Velo109.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance418 ft StadiumNationals Park	●○○○○	2.0×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.21 FIP4.22 IP938.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Matt Olson (L) ²	71	-4.8	●	Foster Griffin (LHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	28	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-29 OffSean Manaea Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle31.0° Distance402 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○●●○	0.2×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.39 FIP4.76 IP951.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+25 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Ben Rice (L)	71	-9.1	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) NYY @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	31	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffTim Mayza Exit Velo102.5 mph Angle26.0° Distance417 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●○○○○	2.0×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.0% HR/91.49 FIP4.67 IP882.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+40 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind8 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	70	-10.2	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) DET @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffAaron Civale Exit Velo100.8 mph Angle29.0° Distance392 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○○	1.8×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.56 FIP5.02 IP969.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+52 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind10 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+52 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note89°F, wind 10 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ²	73	-15.3	●	DET Bullpen Proxy DET @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls7 BBE Barrel%18.0% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.00 FIP3.88 IP960.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+47 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind10 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note89°F, wind 10 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ²	69	-5.4	●	Bryce Elder (RHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.21 FIP4.22 IP938.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ²	69	-21.1	●	Brandon Young (RHP) PHI @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.06 FIP4.11 IP948.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+7 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R) ²	68	-12.5	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) DET @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.56 FIP5.02 IP969.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+54 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind10 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+54 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note89°F, wind 10 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ²	68	-10.9	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) KC @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%14.1% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.45 FIP4.88 IP927.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind11 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 11 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ²	67	-7.0	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) MIN @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.16 FIP4.33 IP960.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-10 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind7 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 7 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ²	66	-16.1	●	Nathan Eovaldi (RHP) TEX @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV94.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.25 FIP4.12 IP933.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind15 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 15 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ²	65	-5.1	●	Foster Griffin (LHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.39 FIP4.76 IP951.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+25 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ²	64	-13.7	●	Will Warren (RHP) NYY @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.01 FIP3.76 IP948.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+41 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind8 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ²	63	·	●	Ranger Suarez (LHP) BOS @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.01 FIP3.74 IP939.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+22 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ²	63	-10.7	●	Brandon Young (RHP) PHI @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.06 FIP4.11 IP948.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+9 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ²	63	-6.3	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) TEX @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.38 FIP4.84 IP969.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · strong wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind15 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 15 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R) ²	63	-8.2	●	Edgardo Henriquez (RHP) BOS @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.23 FIP4.08 IP974.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+23 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ²	62	-14.3	●	Nick Martinez (RHP) CWS @ TB · Tropicana Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.19 FIP4.08 IP949.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
20	Pro pick (R) ²	62	-14.3	●	Erick Fedde (RHP) CWS @ TB · Tropicana Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls48 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.06 FIP4.16 IP933.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
21	Pro pick (L) ²	62	-10.2	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) DET @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.56 FIP5.02 IP969.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+45 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind10 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+45 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note89°F, wind 10 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R) ²	61	-6.9	●	Paul Skenes (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.01 IP964.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+1 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind3 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-15.5	●	Ranger Suarez (LHP) BOS @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV93.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.01 FIP3.74 IP939.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+22 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-12.2	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) KC @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.45 FIP4.88 IP927.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind11 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 11 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R) ²	64	-7.0	●	PHI Bullpen Proxy PHI @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.0% HR/91.27 FIP3.88 IP936.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+16 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-12.5	●	Hunter Greene (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.32 FIP4.85 IP919.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-3 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind3 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (S) ²	60	-6.5	●	Paul Skenes (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.01 IP964.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind3 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R) ²	60	-9.1	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) KC @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.45 FIP4.88 IP927.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind11 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 11 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-7.1	●	Bryce Miller (RHP) MIN @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.03 FIP3.67 IP939.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-9 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind7 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 7 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R) ²	63	-9.1	●	PHI Bullpen Proxy PHI @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.0% HR/91.27 FIP3.88 IP936.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+14 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

14.4%

▼ -2.0 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.4% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-30

14 HRs

35%

5 caught / 14 HRs

in top 50

#5 Willson Contreras

39.8%

🟡

#16 Brandon Lowe

18.0%

🔵

#18 Wilyer Abreu

23.7%

🔵

#33 Dalton Rushing

26.9%

🟠

#42 Kody Clemens

18.5%

🟠

Missed

Daylen Lile Kyle Stowers Jac Caglianone Mike Yastrzemski Teoscar Hernández +4 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Matt Olson ×3 CJ Abrams ×2 Dominic Canzone ×2 Munetaka Murakami ×2 Rafael Devers ×2

❄️ Cold

Junior Caminero 0 of 6d Luke Raley 0 of 6d Nathaniel Lowe 0 of 5d Hunter Goodman 0 of 5d Wyatt Langford 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.5%

B 19.8%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.4%

D 8.8%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-31

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.