2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Rafael Devers 6 HRs · 2 Elly De La Cruz 5 HRs · 3 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Francisco Lindor 5 HRs · 6 Kody Clemens 5 HRs · 7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 8 Corey Seager 4 HRs · 9 Colson Montgomery 4 HRs · 10 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 11 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 12 Coby Mayo 4 HRs 1 Rafael Devers 6 HRs · 2 Elly De La Cruz 5 HRs · 3 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Francisco Lindor 5 HRs · 6 Kody Clemens 5 HRs · 7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 8 Corey Seager 4 HRs · 9 Colson Montgomery 4 HRs · 10 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 11 Carter Jensen 4 HRs · 12 Coby Mayo 4 HRs
PB

PHI Bullpen Proxy

0 matchups scored · 0 game days · 9 listed today
0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
15.4%
Overall HR/FB
3.79
FIP
3.79
xFIP
#14
Leakiest SP today (of 30, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 69
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
69
no model flags today
Vulnerability 69th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
0 of 9 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
Fly-ball rate
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
PHI @ ATL 7:15p · Truist Park Park 1.06 Wind 4.0 WSW slight_out Roof open · 76°F BP FIP 3.79 BP HR 15.4% 5L / 3R listed (+1S) · lineup: proxy_pa_leaders
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
cell = batter Barrel% vs that pitch family — higher runs hotter cold hot
Overall Score
Neutral · 4
14.4% C+ 67
12.7% C 55
12.4% C 50
12.1% C 50
Long shots · 5 — below the fade line
10.0% D 49
6.9% D 41
158 Ozzie Albies S
4.0% D 40
5.4% D 38
3.7% D 31
0 of 9 listed bats hold the platoon edge. Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB15.4% 69
HR/9
FIP3.79 38
xFIP3.79
FIP − xFIP
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-09-12
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
Matt Olson L 0 never faced
Drake Baldwin L 0 never faced
Ronald Acuna R 0 never faced
Austin Riley R 0 never faced
Michael Harris L 0 never faced
Mike Yastrzemski L 0 never faced
Ozzie Albies S 0 never faced
Dominic Smith L 0 never faced
Mauricio Dubon R 0 never faced
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for PHI Bullpen Proxy.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Truist Park
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor 1.057 Wind 4 mph from WSW Temp 76°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
7:15p 4 76° +3
8:15p 4 75° +2
9:15p 3 73° +3
10:15p 3 70° +3
11:15p 3 69° +3
+3
Neutral alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 3 mph from WSW
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
LF
335ft
avg
CF
400ft
avg
RF
325ft
avg
vs LHH → RF
351ft
0 HRs allowed
vs RHH → LF
377ft
0 HRs allowed · deep
Shortest: RF 325 ft
Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
No scored matchups by venue yet for PHI Bullpen Proxy.
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about PHI Bullpen Proxy

Is PHI Bullpen Proxy likely to give up a home run tonight?

PHI Bullpen Proxy pitches tonight (PHI @ ATL at Truist Park). This season he has allowed 0 home runs across 0 scored game days. TheHomeRuns model scores every batter he faces; see the matchup table on this page for tonight's most dangerous bats. Model output, not a guarantee. Not gambling advice.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.174 · build 677

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