Today · 2026-07-30

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#3 Dominic Canzone vs Roki Sasaki FIP 5.25 HR/FB 25.6% #5 Willson Contreras vs Mason Barnett FIP 5.54 HR/FB 22.2% #8 Pro pick vs Roki Sasaki FIP 5.25 HR/FB 25.6%

📦 STACK Grant Holmes FIP 4.87 HR/FB 17.3% → #1 James Wood, #4 Cj Abrams

📦 STACK Jake Irvin FIP 4.31 HR/FB 14.3% → #2 Matt Olson, #6 Pro pick

📦 STACK Roki Sasaki FIP 5.25 HR/FB 25.6% → #3 Dominic Canzone, #8 Pro pick

📦 STACK Bryan Woo FIP 3.23 HR/FB 12.3% → #7 Pro pick, #13 Pro pick

📦 STACK Yohan Ramírez FIP 4.16 HR/FB 16.7% → #11 Pro pick, #14 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-29. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.8% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	James Wood (L) ²	76	-10.7	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffKevin Ginkel Exit Velo109.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance418 ft StadiumNationals Park	○●○○○	1.5×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.23 FIP4.26 IP921.6999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+41 Weather · Truist Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind10 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note80°F, wind 10 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Matt Olson (L) ⁴	74	-12.9	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	28	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-29 OffSean Manaea Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle31.0° Distance402 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○○●●	0.0×	2	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.40 FIP4.76 IP939.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+41 Weather · Truist Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind10 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note80°F, wind 10 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Dominic Canzone (L) ³	72	-4.5	●	Roki Sasaki (RHP) SEA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-28 OffAlex Vesia Exit Velo107.5 mph Angle29.0° Distance414 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○●○●○	0.2×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.24 FIP4.09 IP965.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+22 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note82°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Cj Abrams (L) ⁴	72	-6.3	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	27	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffMichael Lorenzen Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle35.0° Distance434 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○●●	0.0×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.23 FIP4.26 IP921.6999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+40 Weather · Truist Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind10 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note80°F, wind 10 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Willson Contreras (R) ²	70	-11.2	●	Mason Barnett (RHP) BOS @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-07-19 OffShane McClanahan Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle29.0° Distance414 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○○○○	2.2×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.56 FIP5.02 IP959.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+67 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier7 Spray/Wind+67 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note90°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +7 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ²	67	-9.5	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.40 FIP4.76 IP939.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+41 Weather · Truist Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind10 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note80°F, wind 10 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ²	66	-13.1	●	Bryan Woo (RHP) SEA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.03 FIP3.68 IP931.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+21 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note82°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ²	66	-4.8	●	Roki Sasaki (RHP) SEA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.24 FIP4.09 IP965.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note82°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ²	65	-8.5	●	Ryan Weathers (LHP) NYY @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.00 FIP3.75 IP937.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR NoteUnknown stadium
10	Pro pick (L) ²	65	·	●	Sonny Gray (RHP) BOS @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls5 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.00 FIP3.74 IP929.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+51 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier7 Spray/Wind+51 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note90°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +7 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (S) ²	63	-7.3	●	Yohan Ramírez (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.01 IP955.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind5 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note81°F, wind 5 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ²	63	-11.6	●	Sean Burke (RHP) NYY @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.06 FIP4.17 IP921.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR NoteUnknown stadium
13	Pro pick (L) ²	63	-19.2	●	Bryan Woo (RHP) SEA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.03 FIP3.68 IP931.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+22 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note82°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (R) ²	62	-6.6	●	Yohan Ramírez (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.01 IP955.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind5 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note81°F, wind 5 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ²	62	-12.7	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.32 FIP4.85 IP910.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind5 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note81°F, wind 5 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-8.8	●	Sonny Gray (RHP) BOS @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.00 FIP3.74 IP929.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+53 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier7 Spray/Wind+53 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note90°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +7 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-14.0	●	Mason Barnett (RHP) BOS @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.56 FIP5.02 IP959.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+39 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier7 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note90°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +7 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R) ²	60	-5.6	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.23 FIP4.26 IP921.6999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Truist Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind10 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note80°F, wind 10 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R) ²	60	-14.2	●	Cole Winn (RHP) TEX @ TB · Tropicana Field	12:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.25 FIP4.11 IP925.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
20	Pro pick (R) ²	59	-7.4	●	Roki Sasaki (RHP) SEA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.24 FIP4.09 IP965.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note82°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-10.5	●	Yohan Ramírez (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.01 IP955.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind5 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note81°F, wind 5 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-7.1	●	Yohan Ramírez (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.01 IP955.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+10 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind5 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note81°F, wind 5 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (S) ²	58	-13.0	●	Roki Sasaki (RHP) SEA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV88.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.24 FIP4.09 IP965.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note82°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R) ²	58	-6.1	●	Roki Sasaki (RHP) SEA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.1% HR/91.24 FIP4.09 IP965.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind6 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note82°F, wind 6 mph SW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R) ²	57	-10.8	●	Ryan Weathers (LHP) NYY @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.00 FIP3.75 IP937.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR NoteUnknown stadium
26	Pro pick (S) ²	57	-9.9	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.32 FIP4.85 IP910.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind5 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note81°F, wind 5 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ²	56	-11.0	●	Ryan Weathers (LHP) NYY @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.00 FIP3.75 IP937.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR NoteUnknown stadium
28	Pro pick (R) ²	56	-3.8	●	Mason Barnett (RHP) BOS @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.56 FIP5.02 IP959.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+69 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier7 Spray/Wind+69 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 5 HR Note90°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +7 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L) ²	55	-7.9	●	JP Sears (LHP) SF @ SD · Petco Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.30 IP932.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+8 Weather · Petco Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind7 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note77°F, wind 7 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (S) ²	55	-7.9	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%7.0% Avg EV86.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.40 FIP4.76 IP939.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+38 Weather · Truist Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind10 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note80°F, wind 10 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

15.1%

▼ -4.0 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 17.1% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-29

20 HRs

35%

7 caught / 20 HRs

in top 50

#19 Matt Olson

23.9%

🟠

#20 Kyle Manzardo

22.4%

🟠

#27 Matt Olson

27.1%

🟠

#28 Munetaka Murakami

25.5%

🟠

#32 Andruw Monasterio

14.6%

🟠

#40 Andy Pages

15.8%

🟠

#50 Jeremy Peña

22.6%

🟠

Missed

Pete Crow-Armstrong Heriberto Hernández Spencer Torkelson Ryan Vilade Yainer Diaz +8 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Matt Olson ×3 Dominic Canzone ×2 CJ Abrams ×2 Drake Baldwin ×2 Munetaka Murakami ×2

❄️ Cold

Willson Contreras 0 of 6d Junior Caminero 0 of 6d Byron Buxton 0 of 5d Corbin Carroll 0 of 5d Jordan Walker 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.5%

B 19.8%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.5%

D 8.8%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-30

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.