Today · 2026-07-29

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#2 Dominic Canzone vs Eric Lauer FIP 6.2 HR/FB 25.0% #5 Luke Raley vs Eric Lauer FIP 6.2 HR/FB 25.0% #12 Pro pick vs Brady Singer FIP 5.28 HR/FB 21.4%

📦 STACK Eric Lauer FIP 6.2 HR/FB 25.0% → #2 Dominic Canzone, #5 Luke Raley

📦 STACK Emerson Hancock FIP 3.77 HR/FB 19.1% → #4 Max Muncy, #9 Pro pick

📦 STACK Joey Cantillo FIP 4.09 HR/FB 12.0% → #7 Pro pick, #13 Pro pick

📦 STACK Trey Yesavage FIP 4.19 HR/FB 12.5% → #8 James Wood, #11 Pro pick

📦 STACK Patrick Sandoval FIP 3.08 HR/FB 20.0% → #10 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-27. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.5% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Dominic Canzone (L) ³	70	-6.1	●	Eric Lauer (LHP) SEA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	18	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffCole Winn Exit Velo111.0 mph Angle30.0° Distance400 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	○○○●○	0.2×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.05 IP956.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Willson Contreras (R) ⁴	69	-15.1	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) BOS @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-07-19 OffShane McClanahan Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle29.0° Distance414 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○○○○	1.8×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.56 FIP5.02 IP950.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+66 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+66 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note88°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Max Muncy (L) ²	68	-10.1	●	Emerson Hancock (RHP) SEA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffAaron Nola Exit Velo100.3 mph Angle25.0° Distance415 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○●●○○	0.5×	·	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.02 FIP3.65 IP922.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+25 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Luke Raley (L) ²	67	-5.1	●	Eric Lauer (LHP) SEA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	48d Last HR · 2026-06-11 OffKyle Bradish Exit Velo92.4 mph Angle34.0° Distance388 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○○○	10.0×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.05 IP956.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	James Wood (L) ²	67	-12.8	●	Trey Yesavage (RHP) TOR @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV95.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffKevin Ginkel Exit Velo109.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance418 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○●○	0.5×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.05 FIP3.82 IP874.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-37 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind11 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-37 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note85°F, wind 11 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (R) ²	70	-10.2	●	SD Bullpen Proxy COL @ SD · Petco Park	4:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%17.0% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.15 FIP4.30 IP922.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Petco Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind8 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note84°F, wind 8 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ²	66	-9.0	●	Joey Cantillo (LHP) CLE @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.14 FIP3.94 IP937.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-4 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind7 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note78°F, wind 7 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ²	65	-20.7	●	Grayson Rodriguez (RHP) HOU @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:38p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV94.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.11 FIP4.38 IP935.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · Angel Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind8 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note83°F, wind 8 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ²	65	-17.3	●	Emerson Hancock (RHP) SEA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.02 FIP3.65 IP922.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+26 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ²	63	-11.6	●	Patrick Sandoval (LHP) BOS @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls3 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.00 FIP3.74 IP920.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+50 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note88°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ²	63	-5.7	●	Trey Yesavage (RHP) TOR @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.05 FIP3.82 IP874.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-28 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind11 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-28 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note85°F, wind 11 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R) ²	62	·	●	Brady Singer (RHP) CLE @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.34 FIP4.86 IP892.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind7 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note78°F, wind 7 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R) ²	62	-9.4	●	Joey Cantillo (LHP) CLE @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.14 FIP3.94 IP937.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind7 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note78°F, wind 7 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (R) ²	62	-13.7	●	Zack Littell (RHP) TOR @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.39 FIP4.75 IP930.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-52 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind11 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-52 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note85°F, wind 11 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-18.4	●	Ryan Gusto (RHP) PHI @ MIA · loanDepot Park	12:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.05 FIP4.11 IP950.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-7 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind11 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note85°F, wind 11 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-8.1	●	Patrick Sandoval (LHP) BOS @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%7.0% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.00 FIP3.74 IP920.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+53 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+53 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note88°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ²	60	·	●	Joey Cantillo (LHP) CLE @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.14 FIP3.94 IP937.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind7 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note78°F, wind 7 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-10.8	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) ATL @ NYM · Citi Field	1:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.11 FIP4.08 IP983.3000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-47 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind10 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-47 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note76°F, wind 10 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-11.6	●	Davis Martin (RHP) NYY @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.08 FIP4.20 IP910.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR NoteUnknown stadium
20	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-10.0	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) BOS @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.56 FIP5.02 IP950.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+40 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88°F Wind12 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note88°F, wind 12 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R) ²	60	-12.5	●	Eric Lauer (LHP) SEA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.05 IP956.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R) ²	63	-11.6	●	HOU Bullpen Proxy HOU @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:38p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%18.2% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.41 FIP4.88 IP951.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+43 Weather · Angel Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind8 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note83°F, wind 8 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ²	59	·	●	Casey Legumina (RHP) TEX @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.20 FIP4.09 IP897.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
24	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-11.0	●	Christian Scott (RHP) ATL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.11 FIP4.08 IP983.3000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-30 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind10 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-30 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note79°F, wind 10 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-7.7	●	Emerson Hancock (RHP) SEA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls11 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.02 FIP3.65 IP922.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+26 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-6.1	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) ATL @ NYM · Citi Field	1:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.11 FIP4.08 IP983.3000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-56 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind10 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-56 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note76°F, wind 10 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-13.8	●	Cam Schlittler (RHP) NYY @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.00 FIP3.75 IP928.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR NoteUnknown stadium
28	Pro pick (R) ²	58	-17.0	●	MacKenzie Gore (LHP) TEX @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.26 FIP4.14 IP916.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
29	Pro pick (R) ²	58	-15.4	●	Eric Lauer (LHP) SEA @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.05 IP956.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R) ²	57	·	●	Randy Dobnak (RHP) KC @ MIN · Target Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.37 FIP4.82 IP918.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-30 Weather · Target Field hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind11 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-30 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note86°F, wind 11 mph S (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

15.2%

▼ -5.0 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 17.7% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-28

scoring

⏳

Results scoring in progress

Catch-rate and HR totals for 2026-07-28 update once the night's games finish and the model collects results. Usually live by mid-morning.

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Ben Rice ×3 CJ Abrams ×2 Drake Baldwin ×2 Elly De La Cruz ×2 Manny Machado ×2

❄️ Cold

Willson Contreras 0 of 7d Jordan Walker 0 of 6d Junior Caminero 0 of 6d Kyle Schwarber 0 of 6d Kazuma Okamoto 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.5%

B 19.8%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.4%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-29

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.