Today · 2026-09-20

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-19. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.5% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	74	·	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	44	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-09-16 OffOwen Murphy Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle25.0° Distance394 ft StadiumWrigley Field	●○●○○	0.7×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.36 FIP4.87 IP1326.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind3 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 3 mph S (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Matt Olson (L)	69	·	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) ATL @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	40	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-09-18 OffEnyel De Los Santos Exit Velo102.8 mph Angle30.0° Distance383 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○○○●○	0.3×	1	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.34 FIP4.67 IP1357.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp88°F Wind3 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 3 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Munetaka Murakami (L)	66	·	●	Troy Melton (RHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	32	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-09-17 OffFramber Valdez Exit Velo109.1 mph Angle35.0° Distance423 ft StadiumRate Field	○○●○○	0.7×	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.05 IP1430.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
4	Elly De La Cruz (S)	66	·	●	David Peterson (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	28	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-09-16 OffSeth Halvorsen Exit Velo106.4 mph Angle24.0° Distance391 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○●○○○	0.8×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.5% HR/91.57 FIP4.83 IP1122.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+6 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind3 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 3 mph S (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Hunter Goodman (R)	66	·	●	Kade Anderson (LHP) SEA @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	38	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-09-12 OffAndrew Sears Exit Velo93.9 mph Angle33.0° Distance362 ft StadiumComerica Park	●○○○○	1.3×	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.26 FIP4.08 IP1346.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-10 Weather · Coors Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65°F Wind3 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 3 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L)	66	·	●	Jonah Tong (RHP) PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	1:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.18 FIP4.19 IP1544.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Citi Field mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67°F Wind9 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note67°F, wind 9 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (R)	65	·	●	Patrick Sandoval (LHP) BOS @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/90.95 FIP3.68 IP1353.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
8	Pro pick (L)	65	·	●	Matt Wilkinson (LHP) SF @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.97 FIP4.24 IP1441.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+38 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L)	64	·	●	Martín Pérez (LHP) ATL @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP4.20 IP1273.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp88°F Wind3 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 3 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L)	64	·	●	Corbin Burnes (RHP) NYY @ AZ · Chase Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.34 IP1336.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+2 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind3 mph S Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note93°F, wind 3 mph S (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	Brandon Young (RHP) MIL @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/91.05 FIP4.09 IP1329.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-1 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind4 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 4 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) SEA @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.42 FIP4.91 IP1390.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Coors Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65°F Wind3 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 3 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R)	60	·	●	Jacob deGrom (RHP) TOR @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.22 FIP4.15 IP1299.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp88°F Wind5 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (S)	60	·	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) SEA @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.42 FIP4.91 IP1390.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Coors Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65°F Wind3 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 3 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R)	59	·	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) SEA @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.42 FIP4.91 IP1390.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-12 Weather · Coors Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65°F Wind3 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 3 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R)	59	·	●	Troy Melton (RHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.05 IP1430.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
17	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Jacob Misiorowski (RHP) MIL @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:20p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%7.9% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP3.68 IP1267.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind4 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 4 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (S)	58	·	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.36 FIP4.87 IP1326.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+6 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind3 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 3 mph S (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L)	57	·	●	Michael Wacha (RHP) KC @ PIT · PNC Park	1:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.29 FIP4.71 IP1355.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+38 Weather · PNC Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L)	56	·	●	Patrick Sandoval (LHP) BOS @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/90.95 FIP3.68 IP1353.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
21	Pro pick (R)	56	·	●	Matt Wilkinson (LHP) SF @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%7.8% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.97 FIP4.24 IP1441.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+38 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R)	56	·	●	Martín Pérez (LHP) ATL @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%7.5% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP4.20 IP1273.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+14 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp88°F Wind3 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 3 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L)	56	·	●	Davis Martin (RHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.18 IP1341.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
24	Pro pick (L)	56	·	●	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	1:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.20 FIP3.82 IP1328.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+37 Weather · Citi Field mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67°F Wind9 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note67°F, wind 9 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L)	56	·	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) ATL @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.34 FIP4.67 IP1357.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp88°F Wind3 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 3 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L)	55	·	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.36 FIP4.87 IP1326.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind3 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 3 mph S (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (R)	55	·	●	Davis Martin (RHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.18 IP1341.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
28	Pro pick (L)	55	·	●	Will Warren (RHP) NYY @ AZ · Chase Field	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.05 FIP3.77 IP1376.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+2 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind3 mph S Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note93°F, wind 3 mph S (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R)	55	·	●	Brandon Young (RHP) MIL @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:20p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/91.05 FIP4.09 IP1329.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-4 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind4 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 4 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R)	55	·	●	Gavin Williams (RHP) ATH @ CLE · Progressive Field	1:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.11 FIP3.91 IP1312.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-64 Weather · Progressive Field mild air · strong wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp67°F Wind16 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier-5 Spray/Wind-64 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note67°F, wind 16 mph NNE (in) — modifier: -5 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.4%

▼ -2.9 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 18.9% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-19

27 HRs

25%

7 caught / 27 HRs

in top 50

#17 Miguel Vargas

15.6%

🔵

#21 Ronald Acuña Jr.

22.4%

🟠

#32 Dansby Swanson

18.9%

🟠

#36 Cal Raleigh

12.1%

🟠

#38 Brandon Lowe

22.3%

🟠

#39 Randy Arozarena

22.1%

🟠

#44 Isaac Paredes

21.7%

🟠

Missed

Michael Busch Carter Jensen Jonathan Aranda Fernando Tatis Jr. Francisco Alvarez +15 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Pete Alonso ×3 Miguel Vargas ×3 Ronald Acuña Jr. ×3 Brandon Lowe ×2 Ben Rice ×2

❄️ Cold

Seiya Suzuki 0 of 6d Bryce Harper 0 of 5d Francisco Lindor 0 of 5d Cam Smith 0 of 5d Drake Baldwin 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.2%

B 20.0%

C+ 17.2%

C 13.9%

D 9.1%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-20

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.