Today · 2026-09-19

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-18. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

93.1% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	77	·	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	44	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-09-16 OffOwen Murphy Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle25.0° Distance394 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○●○●○	0.3×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.36 FIP4.87 IP1320.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 43 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Munetaka Murakami (L)	71	·	●	Jackson Jobe (RHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	32	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-09-17 OffFramber Valdez Exit Velo109.1 mph Angle35.0° Distance423 ft StadiumRate Field	○○○●○	0.3×	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.05 IP1422.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR NoteUnknown stadium
3	Elly De La Cruz (S)	70	·	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟡 B	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	28	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV94.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-09-16 OffSeth Halvorsen Exit Velo106.4 mph Angle24.0° Distance391 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	●○●○○	0.5×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.5% HR/91.57 FIP4.84 IP1120.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-8 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Yordan Alvarez (L)	68	·	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	40	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-09-17 OffSeth Lugo Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle37.0° Distance385 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○●○●○	0.2×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP4.21 IP1269.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+14 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp89°F Wind8 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note89°F, wind 8 mph SE (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Hunter Goodman (R)	68	·	●	Bryce Miller (RHP) SEA @ COL · Coors Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	38	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-09-12 OffAndrew Sears Exit Velo93.9 mph Angle33.0° Distance362 ft StadiumComerica Park	○●○○○	1.0×	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.26 FIP4.09 IP1338.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-17 Weather · Coors Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind5 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note70°F, wind 5 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L)	66	·	●	Christian Scott (RHP) PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.18 FIP4.18 IP1529.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Citi Field mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71°F Wind4 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 44 HR Note71°F, wind 4 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L)	66	·	●	Hayden Wesneski (RHP) ATL @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.33 FIP4.66 IP1348.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp89°F Wind8 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 39 HR Note89°F, wind 8 mph SE (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R)	69	·	●	BOS Bullpen Proxy BOS @ TB · Tropicana Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/90.96 FIP3.68 IP1345.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 41 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
9	Pro pick (R)	64	·	●	Robert Gasser (LHP) MIL @ BAL · Camden Yards	4:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.07 FIP3.69 IP1261.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+1 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L)	67	·	●	SF Bullpen Proxy SF @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls44 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/90.98 FIP4.25 IP1426.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+13 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind4 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L)	63	·	●	José Soriano (RHP) TOR @ TEX · Globe Life Field	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls12 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.02 FIP3.85 IP1269.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note94°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R)	63	·	●	Cal Quantrill (RHP) TOR @ TEX · Globe Life Field	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.16 IP1294.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+18 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note94°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R)	62	·	●	Robert Gasser (LHP) MIL @ BAL · Camden Yards	4:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.07 FIP3.69 IP1261.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (R)	62	·	●	Freddy Peralta (RHP) BOS @ TB · Tropicana Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls9 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.21 FIP4.05 IP1312.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
15	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	Jackson Jobe (RHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.05 IP1422.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR NoteUnknown stadium
16	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) NYY @ AZ · Chase Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.11 FIP4.28 IP1326.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp101°F Wind3 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note101°F, wind 3 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	Andrew Painter (RHP) PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.19 FIP3.80 IP1324.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+6 Weather · Citi Field mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71°F Wind4 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note71°F, wind 4 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R)	61	·	●	Jackson Jobe (RHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.05 IP1422.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR NoteUnknown stadium
19	Pro pick (R)	60	·	●	Jackson Jobe (RHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.05 IP1422.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR NoteUnknown stadium
20	Pro pick (R)	60	·	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP4.21 IP1269.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp89°F Wind8 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note89°F, wind 8 mph SE (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R)	60	·	●	Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) NYY @ AZ · Chase Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls10 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.11 FIP4.28 IP1326.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-2 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp101°F Wind3 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note101°F, wind 3 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L)	59	·	●	Trevor Rogers (LHP) MIL @ BAL · Camden Yards	4:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/91.05 FIP4.09 IP1319.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-7 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (S)	59	·	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.36 FIP4.87 IP1320.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%7.6% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP4.21 IP1269.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+19 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp89°F Wind8 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note89°F, wind 8 mph SE (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.36 FIP4.87 IP1320.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L)	58	·	●	José Soriano (RHP) TOR @ TEX · Globe Life Field	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.02 FIP3.85 IP1269.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note94°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L)	58	·	●	Jose Quintana (LHP) SEA @ COL · Coors Field	8:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.41 FIP4.91 IP1380.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Coors Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind5 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note70°F, wind 5 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.5% HR/91.57 FIP4.84 IP1120.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-10 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L)	58	·	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) WSH @ STL · Busch Stadium	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.00 FIP4.11 IP1369.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+6 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92°F Wind2 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note92°F, wind 2 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L)	57	·	●	Bryce Miller (RHP) SEA @ COL · Coors Field	8:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.26 FIP4.09 IP1338.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Coors Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind5 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note70°F, wind 5 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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221 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.9%

▼ -0.9 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 18.3% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-18

30 HRs

43%

13 caught / 30 HRs

in top 50

#6 Matt Olson

18.8%

🔵

#8 Max Muncy

28.2%

🔵

#11 Pete Alonso

26.8%

🔵

#12 Ben Rice

27.0%

🔵

#16 Riley Greene

26.9%

🟠

#17 Ronald Acuña Jr.

25.1%

🟠

#19 Miguel Vargas

15.4%

🟠

#29 Corbin Carroll

23.1%

🟠

#31 Juan Soto

16.2%

🟠

#33 Michael Harris II

13.4%

🟠

#38 Jackson Chourio

11.3%

🟠

#46 Brandon Lowe

22.9%

🟠

#48 Ian Happ

14.6%

🟠

Missed

Zack Gelof Mookie Betts Travis Bazzana Jackson Merrill Hao-Yu Lee +12 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Pete Alonso ×4 Ronald Acuña Jr. ×3 Ben Rice ×2 Elly De La Cruz ×2 Juan Soto ×2

❄️ Cold

Corey Seager 0 of 5d Cam Smith 0 of 5d Seiya Suzuki 0 of 5d Victor Mesa Jr. 0 of 5d Michael Conforto 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.2%

B 20.1%

C+ 17.3%

C 13.9%

D 9.1%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-19

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.