Today · 2026-09-15

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-14. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.9% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L)	74	·	●	Jackson Kent (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	44	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-09-09 OffAJ Blubaugh Exit Velo105.7 mph Angle30.0° Distance408 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●○○○○	1.3×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.40 FIP4.81 IP1329.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+9 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	70	·	●	Martín Pérez (LHP) ATL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	42	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-14 OffAJ Smith-Shawver Exit Velo95.8 mph Angle31.0° Distance373 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○●	0.0×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.18 IP1241.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-6 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind5 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Junior Caminero (R)	69	·	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) ATH @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	40	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-09-11 OffBryan Abreu Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle29.0° Distance417 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○○●○○	0.7×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.51 FIP4.93 IP1356.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
4	Max Muncy (L)	68	·	●	Rhett Lowder (RHP) LAD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	9	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls50 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-09-12 OffTyler Phillips Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle34.0° Distance393 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	○●○○○	0.7×	1	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.36 FIP4.83 IP1285.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind5 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note91°F, wind 5 mph S (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Hunter Goodman (R)	67	·	●	Walker Buehler (RHP) SD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	38	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-09-12 OffAndrew Sears Exit Velo93.9 mph Angle33.0° Distance362 ft StadiumComerica Park	○○○●○	0.3×	1	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.08 FIP4.12 IP1255.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+39 Weather · Coors Field warm air · strong wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind15 mph S Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note72°F, wind 15 mph S (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L)	66	·	●	Kevin Gausman (RHP) ATL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.4% HR/91.57 FIP4.83 IP1108.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-9 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind5 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L)	65	·	●	Bailey Ober (RHP) NYY @ MIN · Target Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.18 FIP4.37 IP1238.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Target Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66°F Wind6 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note66°F, wind 6 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L)	65	·	●	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV95.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.19 FIP3.81 IP1307.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+15 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (S)	64	·	●	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) LAD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.19 FIP3.99 IP1285.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind5 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note91°F, wind 5 mph S (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L)	63	·	●	Foster Griffin (LHP) CWS @ CLE · Progressive Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.12 FIP3.90 IP1283.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+44 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind9 mph S Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+44 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 9 mph S (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L)	63	·	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) KC @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.34 FIP4.67 IP1319.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind10 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph SE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R)	63	·	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) BAL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.15 FIP4.17 IP1483.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+44 Weather · Citi Field cool air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+44 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 8 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R)	62	·	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) BAL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.15 FIP4.17 IP1483.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+46 Weather · Citi Field cool air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+46 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 8 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L)	62	·	●	Patrick Sandoval (LHP) BOS @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.97 FIP3.70 IP1319.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+19 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note96°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R)	62	·	●	Drew Anderson (RHP) DET @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.08 FIP4.07 IP1379.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note74°F, wind 7 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R)	62	·	●	Bailey Ober (RHP) NYY @ MIN · Target Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls8 BBE Barrel%14.1% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.18 FIP4.37 IP1238.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Target Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66°F Wind6 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note66°F, wind 6 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R)	61	·	●	Griffin Jax (RHP) ATH @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls4 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.21 FIP4.06 IP1281.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
18	Pro pick (L)	60	·	●	Michael Wacha (RHP) KC @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.26 FIP4.67 IP1309.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind10 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph SE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R)	60	·	●	Griffin Jax (RHP) ATH @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.21 FIP4.06 IP1281.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
20	Pro pick (L)	60	·	●	Patrick Sandoval (LHP) BOS @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.97 FIP3.70 IP1319.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+18 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note96°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L)	60	·	●	Jackson Kent (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.40 FIP4.81 IP1329.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+13 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R)	63	·	●	TEX Bullpen Proxy BOS @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls3 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.23 FIP4.14 IP1269.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note96°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L)	59	·	●	Lake Bachar (RHP) MIL @ PIT · PNC Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.01 FIP3.95 IP1248.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · PNC Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind3 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 3 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R)	59	·	●	Kyle Freeland (LHP) SD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.89 IP1339.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+40 Weather · Coors Field warm air · strong wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind15 mph S Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note72°F, wind 15 mph S (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L)	58	·	●	Shane Baz (RHP) BAL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.11 FIP4.16 IP1363.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+36 Weather · Citi Field cool air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 8 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L)	58	·	●	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) PHI @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.19 FIP3.81 IP1307.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+12 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L)	57	·	●	Foster Griffin (LHP) CWS @ CLE · Progressive Field	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.12 FIP3.90 IP1283.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+44 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind9 mph S Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+44 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 9 mph S (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R)	57	·	●	Michael Wacha (RHP) KC @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.26 FIP4.67 IP1309.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind10 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph SE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L)	57	·	●	Walker Buehler (RHP) SD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.08 FIP4.12 IP1255.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+46 Weather · Coors Field warm air · strong wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind15 mph S Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+46 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note72°F, wind 15 mph S (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L)	57	·	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) KC @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.34 FIP4.67 IP1319.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind10 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph SE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)

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Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.0%

▲ +3.8 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.1% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-14

20 HRs

45%

9 caught / 20 HRs

in top 50

#1 Pete Crow-Armstrong

34.8%

🟡

#7 Elly De La Cruz

31.4%

🔵

#10 Aaron Judge

19.0%

🔵

#13 Manny Machado

22.8%

🔵

#18 Kazuma Okamoto

25.7%

🟠

#25 Miguel Vargas

17.4%

🟠

#34 Fernando Tatís

18.1%

🟠

#37 Teoscar Hernández

11.9%

🟠

#47 Kyle Tucker

15.6%

🟠

Missed

Corbin Carroll Josh Bell Cal Raleigh Gunnar Henderson Cole Carrigg +6 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Kazuma Okamoto ×4 Elly De La Cruz ×3 Max Muncy ×3 Ben Rice ×2 Eugenio Suárez ×2

❄️ Cold

Colson Montgomery 0 of 7d Cal Raleigh 0 of 6d Spencer Jones 0 of 6d James Wood 0 of 5d Heriberto Hernández 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.0%

C+ 17.2%

C 13.9%

D 9.1%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-15

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.