Today · 2026-09-14

Share Slate 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Variance Card

144 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…

🔥

6:40p

7:07p

7:10p

7:40p

🔥

7:40p

7:45p

8:40p

🔥

9:38p

9:40p

Locks 0/1

Daily Routine ready Routine

Prime Card 0/6 not saved

‹

⭐ Today's Slate

›

Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#2 Max Muncy vs Nick Lodolo FIP 5.71 HR/FB 22.2% #3 Ben Rice vs Dean Kremer FIP 5.2 HR/FB 25.0% #9 Pro pick vs Dean Kremer FIP 5.2 HR/FB 23.1% #12 Pro pick vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.49 HR/FB 24.4%

📦 STACK Dean Kremer FIP 5.2 HR/FB 25.0% → #3 Ben Rice, #9 Pro pick

📦 STACK Gavin Williams FIP 3.54 HR/FB 19.4% → #5 Munetaka Murakami, #13 Pro pick

📦 STACK Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.49 HR/FB 14.3% → #11 Pro pick, #12 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-13. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.9% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	72	·	●	Reynaldo López (RHP) ATL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	41	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-09-07 OffTrevor Megill Exit Velo107.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance400 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	1.7×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.18 IP1241.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · Wrigley Field mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind13 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 40 HR Note70°F, wind 13 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Max Muncy (L)	70	·	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) LAD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	9	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls51 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-09-12 OffTyler Phillips Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle34.0° Distance393 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	●○●○○	0.3×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.36 FIP4.83 IP1285.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-17 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind6 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Ben Rice (L)	66	·	●	Dean Kremer (RHP) NYY @ MIN · Target Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	38	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-13 OffChristian Scott Exit Velo95.3 mph Angle40.0° Distance333 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○●●	0.0×	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.18 FIP4.37 IP1238.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-60 Weather · Target Field cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp61°F Wind13 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-4 Spray/Wind-60 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note61°F, wind 13 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -4 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Matt Olson (L)	66	·	●	David Peterson (LHP) ATL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	39	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-13 OffTanner Banks Exit Velo101.9 mph Angle30.0° Distance400 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○●○●	0.0×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.4% HR/91.57 FIP4.83 IP1108.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+19 Weather · Wrigley Field mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind13 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 39 HR Note70°F, wind 13 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Munetaka Murakami (L)	64	·	●	Gavin Williams (RHP) CWS @ CLE · Progressive Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	31	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%14.6% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-09-09 OffLuke Weaver Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle43.0° Distance381 ft StadiumRate Field	○●○○○	1.0×	1	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.12 FIP3.90 IP1283.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · Progressive Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64°F Wind4 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note64°F, wind 4 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (R)	64	·	●	Casey Mize (RHP) SD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.08 FIP4.12 IP1255.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-49 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-49 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note83°F, wind 7 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (S)	62	·	●	Tarik Skubal (LHP) LAD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.19 FIP3.99 IP1285.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-23 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind6 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-23 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	Brandon Young (RHP) BAL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.11 FIP4.16 IP1363.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-61 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind11 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-61 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note72°F, wind 11 mph NNE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R)	61	·	●	Dean Kremer (RHP) NYY @ MIN · Target Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls8 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.18 FIP4.37 IP1238.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-43 Weather · Target Field cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp61°F Wind13 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-4 Spray/Wind-43 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note61°F, wind 13 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -4 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (R)	60	·	●	Jonah Tong (RHP) BAL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.15 FIP4.17 IP1483.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-61 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind11 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-61 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note72°F, wind 11 mph NNE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R)	60	·	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) SD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.89 IP1339.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-48 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-48 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note83°F, wind 7 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L)	60	·	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) SD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.89 IP1339.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-47 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-47 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note83°F, wind 7 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L)	58	·	●	Gavin Williams (RHP) CWS @ CLE · Progressive Field	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.12 FIP3.90 IP1283.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Progressive Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64°F Wind4 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note64°F, wind 4 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L)	58	·	●	Will Warren (RHP) NYY @ MIN · Target Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.06 FIP3.79 IP1338.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-61 Weather · Target Field cool air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp61°F Wind13 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-4 Spray/Wind-61 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note61°F, wind 13 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -4 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Troy Melton (RHP) DET @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.08 FIP4.07 IP1379.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+1 Weather · Rogers Centre mild air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp66°F Wind3 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note66°F, wind 3 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Jonah Tong (RHP) BAL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.15 FIP4.17 IP1483.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-58 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind11 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-58 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note72°F, wind 11 mph NNE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) LAD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.36 FIP4.83 IP1285.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-32 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind6 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-32 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R)	57	·	●	Gavin Williams (RHP) CWS @ CLE · Progressive Field	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.12 FIP3.90 IP1283.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+10 Weather · Progressive Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64°F Wind4 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note64°F, wind 4 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R)	57	·	●	Reynaldo López (RHP) ATL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV88.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.18 IP1241.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+63 Weather · Wrigley Field mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind13 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+63 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note70°F, wind 13 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R)	56	·	●	Gavin Williams (RHP) CWS @ CLE · Progressive Field	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.12 FIP3.90 IP1283.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Progressive Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64°F Wind4 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note64°F, wind 4 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (S)	56	·	●	Reynaldo López (RHP) ATL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.18 IP1241.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Wrigley Field mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind13 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note70°F, wind 13 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (S)	55	·	●	Brandon Young (RHP) BAL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%7.8% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.11 FIP4.16 IP1363.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-56 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind11 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-56 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note72°F, wind 11 mph NNE (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R)	54	·	●	Reynaldo López (RHP) ATL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%6.6% Avg EV88.1 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.18 IP1241.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+70 Weather · Wrigley Field mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind13 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+70 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note70°F, wind 13 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L)	54	·	●	José Soriano (RHP) DET @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.02 FIP3.85 IP1245.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-3 Weather · Rogers Centre mild air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp66°F Wind3 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note66°F, wind 3 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L)	54	·	●	David Peterson (LHP) ATL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.4% HR/91.57 FIP4.83 IP1108.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+35 Weather · Wrigley Field mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind13 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note70°F, wind 13 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L)	54	·	●	Casey Mize (RHP) SD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.08 FIP4.12 IP1255.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-40 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-40 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note83°F, wind 7 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L)	56	·	●	AZ Bullpen Proxy MIA @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.11 FIP4.30 IP1295.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+33 Weather · Chase Field hot air · strong partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind14 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note96°F, wind 14 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R)	52	·	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) SD @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.89 IP1339.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-46 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-46 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note83°F, wind 7 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R)	52	·	●	José Soriano (RHP) DET @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.02 FIP3.85 IP1245.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Rogers Centre mild air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp66°F Wind3 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note66°F, wind 3 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L)	51	·	●	David Peterson (LHP) ATL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.4% HR/91.57 FIP4.83 IP1108.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+32 Weather · Wrigley Field mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp70°F Wind13 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 13 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Tonight's full board — all 144 ranked matchups plus the conviction tools — is Pro. Check the public track record first: every board graded next morning, hits and misses included.

Create a free account — no card required Try Pro free for 3 days — then $10/mo Already have an account? Sign in

No card to sign up. Yesterday's graded board and the daily top-5 preview are free.

139 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Lock one pick tonight

Free accounts lock 1 pick a night from the preview — graded on your own record the next morning. No card required.

Create a free account →

Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.0%

▲ +2.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.7% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-13

33 HRs

24%

8 caught / 33 HRs

in top 50

#5 Matt Olson

19.8%

🔵

#8 Ben Rice

26.4%

🔵

#16 Zack Gelof

30.6%

🔵

#22 Randy Arozarena

27.9%

🟠

#30 Zach Neto

22.4%

🟠

#33 Kazuma Okamoto

25.4%

🟠

#34 Jake Bauers

27.0%

🟠

#43 Eugenio Suárez

26.8%

🟠

Missed

Corey Seager Lawrence Butler Adael Amador Isaac Paredes Riley Greene +20 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Kazuma Okamoto ×4 Max Muncy ×3 Coby Mayo ×3 Eugenio Suárez ×3 Elly De La Cruz ×3

❄️ Cold

Colson Montgomery 0 of 6d James Wood 0 of 6d Cal Raleigh 0 of 6d Heriberto Hernández 0 of 6d Aaron Judge 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.0%

C+ 17.2%

C 13.9%

D 9.1%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-14

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.