Today · 2026-09-13

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-12. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.8% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	73	·	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) PHI @ ATL · Truist Park	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	44	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-09-09 OffAJ Blubaugh Exit Velo105.7 mph Angle30.0° Distance408 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○●○○○	1.0×	2	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.18 IP1233.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 43 HR Note89°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
2	James Wood (L) ³	73	·	●	Grayson Rodriguez (RHP) LAA @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV95.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	49d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffKevin Ginkel Exit Velo109.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance418 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	9.0×	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.07 FIP4.24 IP1372.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+16 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind6 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note86°F, wind 6 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ²	71	·	●	Bubba Chandler (RHP) PIT @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	41	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-09-07 OffTrevor Megill Exit Velo107.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance400 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	●○○○○	1.3×	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.01 FIP3.94 IP1239.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-27 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind11 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 40 HR Note72°F, wind 11 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Max Muncy (R) ⁴	70	·	●	Bryce Miller (RHP) SEA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	9	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls50 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-12 OffTyler Phillips Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle34.0° Distance393 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	○●●○●	0.0×	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.27 FIP4.08 IP1307.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Matt Olson (L) ²	66	·	●	Andrew Painter (RHP) PHI @ ATL · Truist Park	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	38	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-09-11 OffAaron Nola Exit Velo97.2 mph Angle31.0° Distance352 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○●○	0.3×	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.19 FIP3.81 IP1298.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+37 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 38 HR Note89°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ²	66	·	●	Freddy Peralta (RHP) HOU @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.20 FIP4.04 IP1278.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
7	Pro pick (L) ²	65	·	●	Cam Schlittler (RHP) NYM @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.06 FIP3.81 IP1329.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind5 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ²	65	·	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.15 FIP4.17 IP1470.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind5 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R) ²	64	·	●	Hayden Wesneski (RHP) HOU @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.29 FIP4.61 IP1351.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 40 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
10	Pro pick (L) ²	63	·	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.15 FIP4.17 IP1470.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind5 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ²	63	·	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) PIT @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV94.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.5% HR/91.58 FIP4.84 IP1101.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-41 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind11 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-41 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note72°F, wind 11 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ²	62	·	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) SEA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.51 FIP4.92 IP1345.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+13 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R) ²	62	·	●	Christian Scott (RHP) NYM @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls8 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.15 FIP4.17 IP1470.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind5 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (S) ²	61	·	●	Robert Gasser (LHP) CIN @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.08 FIP3.71 IP1268.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · American Family Field cool air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp62°F Wind9 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note62°F, wind 9 mph NW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R) ²	61	·	●	Bryce Miller (RHP) SEA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.27 FIP4.08 IP1307.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-10 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R) ²	61	·	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) PIT @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.5% HR/91.58 FIP4.84 IP1101.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-61 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind11 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-61 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 8 HR Note72°F, wind 11 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R) ²	60	·	●	Bryce Miller (RHP) SEA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.27 FIP4.08 IP1307.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 5 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L) ²	60	·	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) CWS @ STL · Busch Stadium	2:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP4.11 IP1330.1000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-19 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind10 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note86°F, wind 10 mph N (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (S) ²	60	·	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) SEA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.51 FIP4.92 IP1345.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+8 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R) ²	60	·	●	Riley Cornelio (RHP) LAA @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.40 FIP4.81 IP1315.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind6 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note86°F, wind 6 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R) ²	59	·	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) SEA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%7.1% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.51 FIP4.92 IP1345.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-2 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ²	59	·	●	Tanner Bibee (RHP) CLE @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.12 FIP3.91 IP1274.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+54 Weather · Target Field mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68°F Wind9 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+54 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note68°F, wind 9 mph NW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ²	59	·	●	Andrew Painter (RHP) PHI @ ATL · Truist Park	1:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.19 FIP3.81 IP1298.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+37 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note89°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L) ²	59	·	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) PHI @ ATL · Truist Park	1:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.18 IP1233.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note89°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L) ²	58	·	●	Grayson Rodriguez (RHP) LAA @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.07 FIP4.24 IP1372.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+19 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind6 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note86°F, wind 6 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R) ²	58	·	●	Grayson Rodriguez (RHP) LAA @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.07 FIP4.24 IP1372.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-9 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind6 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note86°F, wind 6 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ²	58	·	●	Bubba Chandler (RHP) PIT @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.01 FIP3.94 IP1239.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-35 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind11 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-35 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note72°F, wind 11 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (S) ²	58	·	●	Cam Schlittler (RHP) NYM @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.06 FIP3.81 IP1329.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind5 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note74°F, wind 5 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L) ²	58	·	●	Eury Pérez (RHP) LAD @ MIA · loanDepot Park	1:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls50 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.20 IP1320.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-29 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp87°F Wind10 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note87°F, wind 10 mph SE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R) ²	58	·	●	Riley Cornelio (RHP) LAA @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.40 FIP4.81 IP1315.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+5 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind6 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note86°F, wind 6 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.3%

▲ +3.2 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.7% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-12

41 HRs

29%

12 caught / 41 HRs

in top 50

#5 Juan Soto

33.9%

🔵

#16 Rafael Devers

25.8%

🟠

#17 Francisco Lindor

25.9%

🟠

#25 Dominic Canzone

17.3%

🟠

#27 Max Muncy

20.7%

🟠

#30 Hunter Goodman

13.2%

🟠

#33 Bryce Harper

17.8%

🟠

#35 Randy Arozarena

21.1%

🟠

#37 Eugenio Suárez

25.5%

🟠

#39 Michael Harris II

21.0%

🟠

#40 Ronald Acuña Jr.

19.3%

🟠

#49 Pete Alonso

17.0%

🟠

Missed

Carter Jensen Ryan O'Hearn William Contreras Cody Bellinger Isaac Paredes +24 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Elly De La Cruz ×4 Coby Mayo ×3 Corey Seager ×3 Kyle Schwarber ×3 Kazuma Okamoto ×3

❄️ Cold

Colson Montgomery 0 of 6d Cal Raleigh 0 of 6d James Wood 0 of 6d Zack Gelof 0 of 6d Sal Stewart 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.0%

C+ 17.2%

C 13.9%

D 9.1%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-13

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.