Today · 2026-09-12

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-11. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.8% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L)	70	-9.3	●	Tyler Mahle (RHP) PHI @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	44	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-09-09 OffAJ Blubaugh Exit Velo105.7 mph Angle30.0° Distance408 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●○●○○	0.7×	1	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.22 IP1237.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind4 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 4 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	70	-8.6	●	Paul Skenes (RHP) PIT @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	41	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-09-07 OffTrevor Megill Exit Velo107.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance400 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	●●○○○	1.0×	1	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.00 FIP3.91 IP1221.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+51 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind11 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+51 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 11 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Aaron Judge (R)	68	-14.7	●	Zac Thornton (LHP) NYM @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls4 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	111d Last HR · 2026-05-24 OffDrew Rasmussen Exit Velo103.9 mph Angle34.0° Distance363 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	3.0×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.14 FIP4.15 IP1439.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind10 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 10 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Junior Caminero (R)	67	-9.6	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) HOU @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	40	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-11 OffBryan Abreu Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle29.0° Distance417 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○●○○●	0.0×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.29 FIP4.61 IP1332.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
5	Juan Soto (L)	66	-10.8	●	Gerrit Cole (RHP) NYM @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	24	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-09-08 OffSandy Alcantara Exit Velo108.2 mph Angle28.0° Distance417 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	○○●○○	0.7×	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.02 FIP3.75 IP1307.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-10 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind10 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 10 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (R)	66	+2.6	●	Clay Holmes (RHP) PIT @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.6% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP1089.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+37 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind11 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 11 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L)	66	-6.4	●	Zac Thornton (LHP) NYM @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.14 FIP4.15 IP1439.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-12 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind10 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 10 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L)	66	-3.9	●	Walbert Ureña (RHP) LAA @ WSH · Nationals Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV95.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.08 FIP4.25 IP1353.3999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind7 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L)	67	-3.5	●	PHI Bullpen Proxy PHI @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%14.6% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.19 FIP3.79 IP1274.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+3 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind4 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 4 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L)	62	-8.6	●	Ian Seymour (LHP) HOU @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.21 FIP4.06 IP1261.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
11	Pro pick (L)	61	-4.7	●	Michael King (RHP) SD @ SF · Oracle Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.06 FIP4.11 IP1233.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+86 Weather · Oracle Park warm air · strong wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind14 mph W Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+86 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 14 mph W (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (S)	64	·	●	MIL Bullpen Proxy CIN @ MIL · American Family Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs ?HP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%15.7% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.07 FIP3.71 IP1256.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (S)	60	-15.9	●	Gage Jump (LHP) SEA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.47 FIP4.86 IP1324.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+69 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · strong wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind15 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+69 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 15 mph SW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L)	59	-5.3	●	Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) TEX @ AZ · Chase Field	8:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.11 FIP4.32 IP1269.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+5 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp101°F Wind3 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note101°F, wind 3 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R)	59	-2.3	●	Bryan Woo (RHP) SEA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.26 FIP4.07 IP1287.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+72 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · strong wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind15 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+72 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 15 mph SW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L)	59	-5.3	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) CWS @ STL · Busch Stadium	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP4.11 IP1302.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92°F Wind3 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note92°F, wind 3 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L)	59	·	●	Brady Singer (RHP) CIN @ MIL · American Family Field	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.32 FIP4.77 IP1260.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L)	59	-1.6	●	Walbert Ureña (RHP) LAA @ WSH · Nationals Park	4:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%7.6% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.08 FIP4.25 IP1353.3999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind7 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (S)	58	-8.5	●	Gerrit Cole (RHP) NYM @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.02 FIP3.75 IP1307.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind10 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 10 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R)	58	-1.9	●	Ian Seymour (LHP) HOU @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.21 FIP4.06 IP1261.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
21	Pro pick (L)	58	-9.0	●	Clay Holmes (RHP) PIT @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV94.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.6% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP1089.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+50 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind11 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 11 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R)	58	-5.2	●	Kyle Bradish (RHP) BAL @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.09 FIP4.12 IP1334.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+20 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79°F Wind7 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 7 mph SE (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R)	58	-5.2	●	Andrew Alvarez (LHP) LAA @ WSH · Nationals Park	4:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.41 FIP4.82 IP1300.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+15 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind7 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L)	57	-5.5	●	Gage Jump (LHP) SEA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.47 FIP4.86 IP1324.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+67 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · strong wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind15 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+67 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 15 mph SW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R)	57	·	●	Brady Singer (RHP) CIN @ MIL · American Family Field	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls44 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.32 FIP4.77 IP1260.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp77°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L)	57	-5.5	●	Clay Holmes (RHP) PIT @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%7.7% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.6% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP1089.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+50 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind11 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 11 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (R)	57	-5.9	●	Zac Thornton (LHP) NYM @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV86.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.14 FIP4.15 IP1439.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind10 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 10 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R)	57	-11.2	●	Andrew Sears (LHP) COL @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.08 FIP4.08 IP1354.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-26 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind9 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-26 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 9 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L)	56	-4.9	●	Tyler Phillips (RHP) LAD @ MIA · loanDepot Park	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.06 FIP4.18 IP1303.6000000000001 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-9 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp86°F Wind13 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 13 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L)	55	-0.4	●	Daniel Espino (RHP) CLE @ MIN · Target Field	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.13 FIP3.92 IP1257.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+60 Weather · Target Field mild air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp71°F Wind12 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+60 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note71°F, wind 12 mph NW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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213 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.0%

▲ +2.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.7% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-11

27 HRs

33%

9 caught / 27 HRs

in top 50

#2 Junior Caminero

39.0%

🟡

#12 Matt Olson

20.6%

🔵

#16 Coby Mayo

26.6%

🔵

#18 Ben Rice

19.6%

🔵

#26 Rafael Devers

18.0%

🟠

#27 Victor Mesa Jr.

25.2%

🟠

#38 Kazuma Okamoto

20.6%

🟠

#40 Jake Bauers

17.2%

🟠

#42 Bryan Reynolds

12.1%

🟠

Missed

Mike Trout Mickey Gasper Dillon Dingler Austin Riley Alex Bregman +13 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Elly De La Cruz ×5 Kyle Schwarber ×4 Corey Seager ×3 Kazuma Okamoto ×3 Junior Caminero ×3

❄️ Cold

Michael Harris II 0 of 7d Cal Raleigh 0 of 6d Dominic Canzone 0 of 6d Bryce Harper 0 of 6d James Wood 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.1%

C+ 17.2%

C 13.8%

D 9.0%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-12

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.