Today · 2026-08-16

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#2 Kyle Schwarber vs Dean Kremer FIP 5.36 HR/FB 25.0% #8 Pro pick vs Andrew Painter FIP 5.18 HR/FB 25.0% #12 Pro pick vs Dean Kremer FIP 5.36 HR/FB 25.0% #14 Pro pick vs Edward Cabrera FIP 5.16 HR/FB 38.1%

📦 STACK Dean Kremer FIP 5.36 HR/FB 25.0% → #2 Kyle Schwarber, #12 Pro pick

📦 STACK Eury Pérez FIP 3.75 HR/FB 23.7% → #9 Pro pick, #13 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-15. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.1% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Matt Olson (L) ⁴	70	-9.4	●	Michael Soroka (RHP) AZ @ ATL · Truist Park	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	35	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffChayce McDermott Exit Velo109.3 mph Angle29.0° Distance423 ft StadiumTruist Park	○●○○○	1.0×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.16 FIP4.36 IP1064.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+41 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note92°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁵	69	-11.7	●	Dean Kremer (RHP) PHI @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	37	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-13 OffTaj Bradley Exit Velo108.0 mph Angle39.0° Distance355 ft StadiumField of Dreams	○○○●○	0.2×	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.18 FIP4.38 IP1058.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+51 Weather · Target Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind10 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+51 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR Note79°F, wind 10 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Joc Pederson (L) ⁴	68	·	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) TEX @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	22	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%7.8% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffRyan Johnson Exit Velo104.8 mph Angle27.0° Distance416 ft StadiumAngel Stadium	●○○○○	1.3×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.57 FIP5.04 IP1095.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+17 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind3 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note89°F, wind 3 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Munetaka Murakami (L) ⁴	68	-6.2	●	Drew Anderson (RHP) CWS @ DET · Comerica Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	27	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-14 OffJackson Jobe Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle41.0° Distance392 ft StadiumComerica Park	○○○●○	0.3×	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.01 FIP3.94 IP1093.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+10 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind8 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Junior Caminero (R) ²	66	-12.7	●	Trevor Rogers (LHP) BAL @ TB · Tropicana Field	12:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	35	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffMason Barnett Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance412 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	●●○○○	1.0×	1	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/91.05 FIP4.09 IP1069.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
6	Pro pick (L) ²	65	-13.5	●	Logan Henderson (RHP) MIL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.04 FIP3.61 IP1068.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+54 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+54 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note86°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (R) ²	64	-5.6	●	Andrew Painter (RHP) PHI @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls5 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.22 FIP3.84 IP1056.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+42 Weather · Target Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind10 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note79°F, wind 10 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ²	62	-15.5	●	Bryan Woo (RHP) SEA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.11 FIP3.79 IP1071.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind12 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note94°F, wind 12 mph SE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ²	62	-7.2	●	Hunter Dobbins (RHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	3:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP4.14 IP1075.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind7 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note87°F, wind 7 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ²	62	-3.3	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) SEA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.36 FIP4.74 IP1092.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind12 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note94°F, wind 12 mph SE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R) ²	62	-6.2	●	Drew Anderson (RHP) CWS @ DET · Comerica Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.01 FIP3.94 IP1093.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+38 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind8 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R) ²	61	-8.5	●	Eury Pérez (RHP) MIA @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.06 FIP4.08 IP1094.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+34 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind10 mph W Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note75°F, wind 10 mph W (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-4.9	●	Dean Kremer (RHP) PHI @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.18 FIP4.38 IP1058.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+50 Weather · Target Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind10 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note79°F, wind 10 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (R) ²	61	-5.9	●	Edward Cabrera (RHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	3:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.9% HR/91.51 FIP4.70 IP970.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-4 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind7 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note87°F, wind 7 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R) ²	61	-11.0	●	Freddy Peralta (RHP) BAL @ TB · Tropicana Field	12:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.20 FIP4.06 IP1061.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
16	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-7.5	●	Edward Cabrera (RHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	3:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.9% HR/91.51 FIP4.70 IP970.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+25 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind7 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note87°F, wind 7 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-7.8	●	Cody Bradford (LHP) TEX @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.24 FIP4.16 IP1055.1000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+14 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind3 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note89°F, wind 3 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-12.1	●	Logan Henderson (RHP) MIL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.04 FIP3.61 IP1068.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+54 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+54 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note86°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-11.2	●	Bryce Elder (RHP) AZ @ ATL · Truist Park	1:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.25 IP1052.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+46 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92°F Wind7 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+46 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note92°F, wind 7 mph NW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-12.8	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) KC @ LAA · Angel Stadium	4:07p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.39 IP1083.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+62 Weather · Angel Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+62 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note87°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R) ²	59	-3.5	●	Lake Bachar (RHP) BOS @ PIT · PNC Park	1:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.07 FIP4.04 IP1071.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+54 Weather · PNC Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind9 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+54 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note78°F, wind 9 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-11.5	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) TEX @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.57 FIP5.04 IP1095.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+17 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind3 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note89°F, wind 3 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (S) ²	59	-10.7	●	Eury Pérez (RHP) MIA @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.06 FIP4.08 IP1094.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+40 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind10 mph W Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note75°F, wind 10 mph W (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L) ²	59	·	●	Nick Lodolo (LHP) MIA @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.27 FIP4.70 IP1041.6000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind10 mph W Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note75°F, wind 10 mph W (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-6.7	●	Lake Bachar (RHP) BOS @ PIT · PNC Park	1:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.07 FIP4.04 IP1071.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · PNC Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind9 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note78°F, wind 9 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R) ²	57	-7.1	●	Hunter Dobbins (RHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	3:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP4.14 IP1075.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-8 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind7 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note87°F, wind 7 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (R) ²	57	-4.0	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) SEA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:20p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%7.9% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.36 FIP4.74 IP1092.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+32 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind12 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note94°F, wind 12 mph SE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R) ²	56	-7.7	●	Tarik Skubal (LHP) MIL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.24 FIP4.14 IP1097.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+55 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+55 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note86°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L) ²	56	-6.4	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) TEX @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%7.5% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.57 FIP5.04 IP1095.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+13 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind3 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note89°F, wind 3 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L) ²	56	-3.8	●	Tarik Skubal (LHP) MIL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.24 FIP4.14 IP1097.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+54 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+54 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note86°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

13.1%

▲ +2.3 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 12.0% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-15

26 HRs

23%

6 caught / 26 HRs

in top 50

#15 Pete Alonso

23.3%

🔵

#29 Eduardo Valencia

26.4%

🟠

#36 Nolan Arenado

23.9%

🟠

#37 Wilyer Abreu

23.8%

🟠

#45 Alec Burleson

18.2%

🟠

#50 Joe Mack

20.1%

🟠

Missed

Wyatt Langford Ronald Acuña Jr. Christian Encarnacion-Strand Michael Conforto Matt McLain +15 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Pete Alonso ×3 Corbin Carroll ×2 Griffin Conine ×2 Jac Caglianone ×2 Kyle Schwarber ×2

❄️ Cold

Ben Rice 0 of 6d Bryce Harper 0 of 6d Elly De La Cruz 0 of 6d Esmerlyn Valdez 0 of 6d JJ Bleday 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.0%

C+ 16.7%

C 13.4%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-16

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.