Today · 2026-08-15

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-14. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Matt Olson (L) ⁴	72	-9.0	●	Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) AZ @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	35	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffChayce McDermott Exit Velo109.3 mph Angle29.0° Distance423 ft StadiumTruist Park	●○●○○	0.7×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.17 FIP4.39 IP1055.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+23 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Junior Caminero (R) ⁴	68	-7.9	●	Kyle Bradish (RHP) BAL @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	35	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffMason Barnett Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance412 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○●●○○	0.7×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.06 FIP4.10 IP1060.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
3	Joc Pederson (L) ⁴	66	-9.9	●	J.T. Ginn (RHP) TEX @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffRyan Johnson Exit Velo104.8 mph Angle27.0° Distance416 ft StadiumAngel Stadium	○●○○○	1.0×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.57 FIP5.03 IP1087.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+35 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind11 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note79°F, wind 11 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ³	66	-9.0	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	27	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffJake Irvin Exit Velo111.5 mph Angle28.0° Distance437 ft StadiumNationals Park	○●○○○	0.8×	1	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/90.99 FIP4.14 IP1067.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	66	-13.8	●	Connor Prielipp (LHP) PHI @ MIN · Target Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	37	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-13 OffTaj Bradley Exit Velo108.0 mph Angle39.0° Distance355 ft StadiumField of Dreams	●○○○●	0.0×	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.18 FIP4.38 IP1058.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Target Field mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68°F Wind6 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 36 HR Note68°F, wind 6 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L)	65	-14.2	●	Emerson Hancock (RHP) SEA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.10 FIP3.77 IP1062.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind12 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note94°F, wind 12 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L)	65	-3.7	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) AZ @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.26 IP1043.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L)	63	-5.9	●	Hayden Wesneski (RHP) SEA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.37 FIP4.77 IP1081.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind12 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note94°F, wind 12 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L)	63	-9.5	●	Braydon Fisher (RHP) NYY @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.03 FIP3.92 IP1029.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-3 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp81°F Wind11 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note81°F, wind 11 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L)	63	-13.0	●	Troy Melton (RHP) CWS @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/90.99 FIP3.90 IP1079.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-37 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-37 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L)	62	-8.2	●	Justin Wrobleski (LHP) MIL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.25 FIP4.16 IP1088.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+49 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+49 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note81°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L)	62	-4.6	●	MacKenzie Gore (LHP) TEX @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.15 IP1047.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+48 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind11 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+48 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note79°F, wind 11 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R)	62	-9.0	●	Ryan Gusto (RHP) MIA @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.08 IP1086.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+7 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind2 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note87°F, wind 2 mph W (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (R)	61	-9.3	●	Justin Wrobleski (LHP) MIL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	7:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.25 FIP4.16 IP1088.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+51 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+51 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note81°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R)	61	-8.5	●	Ian Seymour (LHP) BAL @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.19 FIP4.04 IP1054.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
16	Pro pick (S)	60	-9.6	●	Ryan Gusto (RHP) MIA @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.08 IP1086.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+6 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind2 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note87°F, wind 2 mph W (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R)	60	-3.2	●	Anthony Kay (LHP) CWS @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.23 IP1034.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-29 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L)	59	-12.0	●	Jacob Misiorowski (RHP) MIL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.03 FIP3.60 IP1058.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+51 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+51 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note81°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L)	59	-8.1	●	Brady Singer (RHP) MIA @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.28 FIP4.73 IP1032.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+8 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind2 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note87°F, wind 2 mph W (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R)	59	-7.1	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/90.99 FIP4.14 IP1067.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (S)	58	-4.2	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/90.99 FIP4.14 IP1067.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L)	58	-10.2	●	J.T. Ginn (RHP) TEX @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.57 FIP5.03 IP1087.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+38 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind11 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note79°F, wind 11 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (S)	58	-11.8	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) AZ @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.26 IP1043.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R)	57	-9.6	●	Jared Jones (RHP) BOS @ PIT · PNC Park	7:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.08 FIP4.04 IP1061.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · PNC Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind2 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note75°F, wind 2 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R)	57	-3.6	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) AZ @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV85.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.26 IP1043.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+38 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind7 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L)	57	-6.1	●	Connor Prielipp (LHP) PHI @ MIN · Target Field	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.18 FIP4.38 IP1058.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · Target Field mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68°F Wind6 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note68°F, wind 6 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (R)	57	-11.7	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.9% HR/91.51 FIP4.70 IP969.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+33 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind6 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R)	57	-6.1	●	Emerson Hancock (RHP) SEA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.10 FIP3.77 IP1062.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+32 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp94°F Wind12 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note94°F, wind 12 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L)	56	-11.6	●	Jared Jones (RHP) BOS @ PIT · PNC Park	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.08 FIP4.04 IP1061.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · PNC Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind2 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note75°F, wind 2 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R)	56	-11.6	●	Jesús Luzardo (LHP) PHI @ MIN · Target Field	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls4 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.22 FIP3.84 IP1056.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+13 Weather · Target Field mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68°F Wind6 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note68°F, wind 6 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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208 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

13.3%

▲ +3.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 11.4% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-14

28 HRs

28%

8 caught / 28 HRs

in top 50

#2 Yordan Alvarez

19.9%

🟡

#4 Munetaka Murakami

28.1%

🟡

#29 Seiya Suzuki

20.0%

🟠

#32 Christian Walker

17.4%

🟠

#33 Miguel Vargas

22.4%

🔵

#34 Trent Grisham

23.0%

🟠

#35 Jac Caglianone

22.6%

🟠

#42 Jake Burger

14.8%

🟠

Missed

Gunnar Henderson Lawrence Butler Nathaniel Lowe Brandon Lowe Andy Pages +15 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Corbin Carroll ×2 Griffin Conine ×2 Jac Caglianone ×2 Junior Caminero ×2 Kyle Schwarber ×2

❄️ Cold

Elly De La Cruz 0 of 6d JJ Bleday 0 of 6d Esmerlyn Valdez 0 of 6d Wilyer Abreu 0 of 5d Dillon Dingler 0 of 4d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.1%

C+ 16.8%

C 13.4%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-15

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.