Today · 2026-08-14

Share Slate 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Variance Card

198 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…

2:20p

6:10p

6:40p

7:10p

7:15p

🔥

7:15p

8:10p

9:38p

9:40p

10:10p

🔥

10:15p

Locks 0/1

Daily Routine ready Routine

Prime Card 0/6 not saved

‹

⭐ Today's Slate

›

Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#8 Pro pick vs Shane Bieber FIP 6.01 HR/FB 23.8% #9 Pro pick vs Steven Matz FIP 5.15 HR/FB 21.7% #15 Pro pick vs Steven Matz FIP 5.15 HR/FB 21.7%

📦 STACK ATH Bullpen Proxy FIP 5.04 HR/FB 15.6% → #2 Joc Pederson, #10 Pro pick

📦 STACK Steven Matz FIP 5.15 HR/FB 21.7% → #9 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-13. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Matt Olson (L) ³	74	·	●	Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) AZ @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	35	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffChayce McDermott Exit Velo109.3 mph Angle29.0° Distance423 ft StadiumTruist Park	○●○●○	0.3×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.17 FIP4.39 IP1055.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Truist Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind8 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph NW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Munetaka Murakami (L)	74	-7.6	●	DET Bullpen Proxy CWS @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	26	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%20.4% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-08-08 OffGavin Williams Exit Velo101.1 mph Angle28.0° Distance347 ft StadiumRate Field	●●○○○	1.0×	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.00 FIP3.91 IP1070.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-6 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph E (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Joc Pederson (L)	73	·	●	ATH Bullpen Proxy TEX @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffRyan Johnson Exit Velo104.8 mph Angle27.0° Distance416 ft StadiumAngel Stadium	○○●○○	0.7×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.6% HR/91.58 FIP5.04 IP1083.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+47 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind13 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note77°F, wind 13 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Junior Caminero (R)	73	·	●	BAL Bullpen Proxy BAL @ TB · Tropicana Field	7:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	35	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffMason Barnett Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance412 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○●●○	0.3×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.06 FIP4.10 IP1060.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
5	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ⁵	67	+1.4	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	27	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-11 OffJake Irvin Exit Velo111.5 mph Angle28.0° Distance437 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○●○○	0.5×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/90.99 FIP4.14 IP1067.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-47 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind9 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-47 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note77°F, wind 9 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ³	67	·	●	Robert Gasser (LHP) MIL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.04 FIP3.62 IP1049.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+32 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ³	67	·	●	Shane Bieber (RHP) NYY @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.03 FIP3.91 IP1014.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-20 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp78°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note78°F, wind 7 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R) ³	66	·	●	Steven Matz (LHP) BAL @ TB · Tropicana Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.19 FIP4.04 IP1054.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
9	Pro pick (L) ³	64	·	●	George Kirby (RHP) SEA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.11 FIP3.79 IP1053.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp87°F Wind11 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note87°F, wind 11 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ³	67	·	●	ATH Bullpen Proxy TEX @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%15.2% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.6% HR/91.58 FIP5.04 IP1083.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+51 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind13 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+51 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note77°F, wind 13 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ³	62	·	●	Kumar Rocker (RHP) TEX @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.23 FIP4.15 IP1036.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+61 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind13 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+61 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note77°F, wind 13 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ³	65	·	●	ATL Bullpen Proxy AZ @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.26 IP1043.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Truist Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind8 mph NW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph NW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ³	61	·	●	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) MIL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.26 FIP4.16 IP1079.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ³	61	·	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) SEA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.37 FIP4.77 IP1081.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp87°F Wind11 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note87°F, wind 11 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R) ³	60	·	●	Steven Matz (LHP) BAL @ TB · Tropicana Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.19 FIP4.04 IP1054.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
16	Pro pick (L) ³	60	·	●	Robert Gasser (LHP) MIL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.04 FIP3.62 IP1049.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R) ³	63	-4.3	●	DET Bullpen Proxy CWS @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%14.1% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.00 FIP3.91 IP1070.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-24 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind6 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-24 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note81°F, wind 6 mph E (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R) ³	59	-3.6	●	Sandy Alcantara (RHP) MIA @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.05 FIP4.05 IP1074.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+2 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind3 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note83°F, wind 3 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (S) ³	58	·	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/90.99 FIP4.14 IP1067.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-30 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind9 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-30 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note77°F, wind 9 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L) ³	61	·	●	ATH Bullpen Proxy TEX @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.6% HR/91.58 FIP5.04 IP1083.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+59 Weather · Sutter Health Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind13 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+59 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note77°F, wind 13 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ³	57	·	●	Robert Stock (RHP) WSH @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.11 FIP4.10 IP1113.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-50 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind8 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-50 · Red resistance Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note79°F, wind 8 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R) ³	57	-3.6	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/90.99 FIP4.14 IP1067.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind9 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note77°F, wind 9 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (S) ³	57	-1.7	●	Sandy Alcantara (RHP) MIA @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:10p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.05 FIP4.05 IP1074.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+5 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind3 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note83°F, wind 3 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R) ³	57	·	●	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) MIL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.26 FIP4.16 IP1079.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+32 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note76°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R) ³	57	·	●	George Kirby (RHP) SEA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.11 FIP3.79 IP1053.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp87°F Wind11 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note87°F, wind 11 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L) ³	56	·	●	Shane Bieber (RHP) NYY @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.7% HR/91.03 FIP3.91 IP1014.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-20 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp78°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note78°F, wind 7 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ³	56	·	●	Grayson Rodriguez (RHP) KC @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:38p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.40 IP1066.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+45 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind10 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+45 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note77°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R) ³	56	·	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) SEA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%7.9% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.37 FIP4.77 IP1081.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp87°F Wind11 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note87°F, wind 11 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R) ³	56	·	●	Landen Roupp (RHP) COL @ SF · Oracle Park	10:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.96 FIP4.21 IP1076.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+60 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp64°F Wind12 mph W Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+60 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note64°F, wind 12 mph W (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R) ³	55	·	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) SEA @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%7.3% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.37 FIP4.77 IP1081.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp87°F Wind11 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note87°F, wind 11 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Tonight's full board — all 198 ranked matchups plus the conviction tools — is Pro. Check the public track record first: every board graded next morning, hits and misses included.

Create a free account — no card required Try Pro free for 3 days — then $10/mo Already have an account? Sign in

No card to sign up. Yesterday's graded board and the daily top-5 preview are free.

193 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Lock one pick tonight

Free accounts lock 1 pick a night from the preview — graded on your own record the next morning. No card required.

Create a free account →

Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

14.1%

▲ +0.9 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 13.7% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-13

14 HRs

28%

4 caught / 14 HRs

in top 50

#2 Kyle Schwarber

35.2%

🔵

#18 Max Muncy

13.4%

🟠

#20 Sal Stewart

23.3%

🟠

#28 Eugenio Suárez

23.7%

🟠

Missed

Eduardo Valencia Tyler Stephenson Brandon Marsh Owen Caissie Caleb Durbin +5 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Matt Olson ×3 Corbin Carroll ×2 Griffin Conine ×2 Jackson Chourio ×2 Junior Caminero ×2

❄️ Cold

Esmerlyn Valdez 0 of 6d JJ Bleday 0 of 6d Dillon Dingler 0 of 5d Mickey Moniak 0 of 5d Wilyer Abreu 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 19.9%

C+ 16.8%

C 13.3%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-14

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.