Joc Pederson
LHB
TEX
· 85 appearances tracked
19
HRs
22.4%
HR Rate
20.2%
Avg HR/FB
92.0
Avg EV
0.178
ISO
#4
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.258
Avg EV92.1
Barrel%11.5%
HR/FB26.5%
Avg HR Dist396
Match%39.0%
Season HR%
22.4%
14D Pace
27.3%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-14
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
51.7%
13
Breaking
30.9%
7
Offspeed
17.4%
2
All
100%
11.5%
22
22.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs ATH Bullpen Proxy · TEX
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs ATH Bullpen Proxy in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Sutter Health +HR
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon —
Weather +4
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
11.5
vs
—
HR/FB
26.5
vs
15.6 ▲ edge
K%
22.6
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
19 this season · avg 404 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jun 24
@ MIA · Pete Fairbanks
—
102.0
426
Jun 25
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
—
107.2
402
Jun 28
@ TOR · Shane Bieber
—
108.9
388
Jun 30
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
—
102.7
403
Jul 18
@ ATL · Owen Murphy
—
104.3
419
Jul 20
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
—
105.9
423
Jul 27
vs SEA · George Kirby
—
105.3
347
Jul 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
—
105.3
399
Aug 7
vs BAL · Shane Baz
—
109.6
414
Aug 11
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
—
104.8
416
HR by month
Jun
Jul
Aug
All Appearances
85 tracked · 19 HR · 41 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 13
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
104.9
2 BIP
Aug 12
@ LAA · George Klassen
2
101.3
2 BIP
Aug 11
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
1
104.8
HR
1 BIP
Aug 10
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
1
100.2
1 BIP
Aug 8
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
104.5
2 BIP
Aug 7
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
109.6
HR
3 BIP
Aug 4
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
3
103.9
3 BIP
Aug 3
vs SF · Logan Webb
2
101.1
2 BIP
Aug 2
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
1
79.3
1 BIP
Aug 1
@ HOU · Ronel Blanco
3
95.5
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
1
105.3
HR
1 BIP
Jul 28
@ TB · Griffin Jax
2
105.7
2 BIP
Jul 27
vs SEA · George Kirby
3
106.4
HR
3 BIP
Jul 26
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
106.9
4 BIP
Jul 25
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
5
105.6
5 BIP
Jul 24
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
4
91.7
4 BIP
Jul 20
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
1
105.9
HR
1 BIP
Jul 19
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
3
100.2
3 BIP
Jul 18
@ ATL · ATL Bullpen Proxy
3
104.3
HR
3 BIP
Jul 12
vs HOU · Cristian Javier
2
94.9
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
3
98.9
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs HOU · Hunter Brown
2
107.7
HR
2 BIP
Jul 8
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
0
—
—
Jul 7
vs LAA · José Soriano
3
100.5
3 BIP
Jul 5
vs DET · Casey Mize
2
95.7
2 BIP
Jul 4
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
3
104.0
3 BIP
Jun 30
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
102.7
HR
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ TOR · TOR Bullpen Proxy
2
108.9
HR
2 BIP
Jun 27
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
2
100.9
2 BIP
Jun 25
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
3
107.2
HR
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
103.9
HR
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
5
106.7
HR
5 BIP
Jun 22
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
3
104.7
3 BIP
Jun 21
vs SD · Wandy Peralta
2
104.9
2 BIP
Jun 20
vs SD · Walker Buehler
3
101.2
3 BIP
Jun 19
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
3
92.1
3 BIP
Jun 18
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
0
—
—
Jun 16
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
4
106.6
4 BIP
Jun 15
vs MIN · Mike Paredes
2
104.3
HR
2 BIP
Jun 12
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
3
99.4
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ KC · Seth Lugo
1
100.2
1 BIP
Jun 9
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
4
99.7
4 BIP
Jun 7
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
4
100.4
4 BIP
Jun 6
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
105.2
3 BIP
Jun 5
vs CLE · Parker Messick
1
109.3
1 BIP
Jun 3
@ STL · Andre Pallante
4
103.4
4 BIP
Jun 2
@ STL · Dustin May
4
107.5
4 BIP
Jun 1
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
3
106.6
3 BIP
May 31
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
89.2
3 BIP
May 30
vs KC · Seth Lugo
3
108.0
HR
3 BIP
May 29
vs KC · Stephen Kolek
2
96.2
HR
2 BIP
May 28
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
90.9
3 BIP
May 27
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
4
103.6
HR
4 BIP
May 26
vs HOU · Jason Alexander
3
102.4
HR
3 BIP
May 25
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
3
105.4
3 BIP
May 24
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
1
82.9
1 BIP
May 22
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
2
84.1
2 BIP
May 19
@ COL · Sammy Peralta
5
105.5
5 BIP
May 18
@ COL · Jose Quintana
0
—
—
May 17
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
0
—
—
May 16
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
2
104.4
2 BIP
May 15
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
0
—
—
May 13
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
4
102.2
4 BIP
May 12
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
2
109.1
HR
2 BIP
May 11
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
1
79.9
1 BIP
May 10
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
2
110.6
2 BIP
May 9
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
2
96.4
2 BIP
May 8
vs CHC · Ben Brown
0
—
—
May 7
@ NYY · Paul Blackburn
2
107.3
2 BIP
May 6
@ NYY · Will Warren
0
—
—
May 5
@ NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
2
103.1
2 BIP
May 3
@ DET · Tyler Holton
0
—
—
May 2
@ DET · Keider Montero
3
98.1
3 BIP
May 1
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
4
93.6
4 BIP
Apr 29
vs NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
4
105.1
4 BIP
Apr 28
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
101.1
3 BIP
Apr 27
vs NYY · Max Fried
2
108.2
HR
2 BIP
Apr 26
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
98.8
2 BIP
Apr 25
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
1
86.7
1 BIP
Apr 24
vs ATH · Luis Severino
1
97.8
1 BIP
Apr 23
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
2
97.9
2 BIP
Apr 22
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
1
89.6
1 BIP
Apr 19
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
2
107.7
2 BIP
Apr 18
@ SEA · George Kirby
1
101.2
1 BIP
Apr 17
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
90.4
1 BIP
Ballpark
Sutter Health Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.233
Wind
13 mph from SW
Temp
76°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p
13 ↑
76°
+20
7:40p
12 ↑
73°
+19
8:40p
11 ↑
70°
+17
9:40p
10 ↑
68°
+15
10:40p
8 ↑
66°
+12
+17
Strong green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from SSW)
Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.
Score Breakdown
Base 73 → 73
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
Pitcher FIP
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Joc Pederson
Will Joc Pederson hit a home run today?
Joc Pederson is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #3 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing ATH Bullpen Proxy at Sutter Health Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Joc Pederson hit home runs?
Across 85 scored games this season, Joc Pederson has 19 home runs — one every 4.5 games, or about 22% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.