Joc Pederson
LHB
TEX
· 96 appearances tracked
22
HRs
22.9%
HR Rate
21.2%
Avg HR/FB
92.1
Avg EV
0.186
ISO
#3
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.246
Avg EV92.0
Barrel%10.6%
HR/FB vs RHP30.0%
Avg HR Dist396
Match%32.2%
Season HR%
22.9%
14D Pace
40.0%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-10
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
51.4%
15
Breaking
27.4%
8
Offspeed
21.2%
2
All
100%
11.2%
25
23.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Logan Gilbert · RHP · TEX
27 PA · since 2026
.375
AVG
.625
SLG
0
HR
9-for-24 and 3 walks across 27 plate appearances since 2026.
Modifiers
2 of 4 active
T-Mobile +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
10.6
vs
—
HR/FB
30.0
vs
18.2 ▲ edge
K%
23.8
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
22 this season · avg 403 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jun 24
@ MIA · Pete Fairbanks
—
102.0
426
Jun 25
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
—
107.2
402
Jun 28
@ TOR · Shane Bieber
—
108.9
388
Jun 30
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
—
102.7
403
Jul 18
@ ATL · Owen Murphy
—
104.3
419
Jul 20
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
—
105.9
423
Jul 27
vs SEA · George Kirby
—
105.3
347
Jul 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
—
105.3
399
Aug 7
vs BAL · Shane Baz
—
109.6
414
Aug 11
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
—
104.8
416
Aug 26
@ CWS · Sean Burke
—
101.8
394
Sep 5
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
—
106.3
409
HR by month
Jul
Aug
Sep
All Appearances
96 tracked · 22 HR · 51 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 8
@ SEA · SEA Bullpen Proxy
2
92.7
2 BIP
Sep 5
vs TB · Drew Rasmussen
1
106.3
HR
1 BIP
Sep 4
vs TB · Nick Martinez
2
83.2
2 BIP
Aug 30
@ MIL · Dustin May
2
100.8
HR
2 BIP
Aug 28
@ MIL · Logan Henderson
1
102.8
1 BIP
Aug 26
@ CWS · Sean Burke
3
101.8
HR
3 BIP
Aug 24
@ CWS · José Urquidy
0
—
—
Aug 22
vs LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
104.9
3 BIP
Aug 19
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
2
100.0
2 BIP
Aug 15
@ ATH · J.T. Ginn
3
105.4
3 BIP
Aug 14
@ ATH · ATH Bullpen Proxy
0
—
—
Aug 13
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
104.9
2 BIP
Aug 12
@ LAA · George Klassen
2
101.3
2 BIP
Aug 11
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
1
104.8
HR
1 BIP
Aug 10
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
1
100.2
1 BIP
Aug 8
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
2
104.5
2 BIP
Aug 7
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
109.6
HR
3 BIP
Aug 4
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
3
103.9
3 BIP
Aug 3
vs SF · Logan Webb
2
101.1
2 BIP
Aug 2
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
1
79.3
1 BIP
Aug 1
@ HOU · Ronel Blanco
3
95.5
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
1
105.3
HR
1 BIP
Jul 28
@ TB · Griffin Jax
2
105.7
2 BIP
Jul 27
vs SEA · George Kirby
3
106.4
HR
3 BIP
Jul 26
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
106.9
4 BIP
Jul 25
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
5
105.6
5 BIP
Jul 24
vs SEA · Bryce Miller
4
91.7
4 BIP
Jul 20
vs CWS · Erick Fedde
1
105.9
HR
1 BIP
Jul 19
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
3
100.2
3 BIP
Jul 18
@ ATL · ATL Bullpen Proxy
3
104.3
HR
3 BIP
Jul 12
vs HOU · Cristian Javier
2
94.9
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs HOU · Peter Lambert
3
98.9
3 BIP
Jul 10
vs HOU · Hunter Brown
2
107.7
HR
2 BIP
Jul 8
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
0
—
—
Jul 7
vs LAA · José Soriano
3
100.5
3 BIP
Jul 5
vs DET · Casey Mize
2
95.7
2 BIP
Jul 4
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
3
104.0
3 BIP
Jun 30
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
102.7
HR
3 BIP
Jun 28
@ TOR · TOR Bullpen Proxy
2
108.9
HR
2 BIP
Jun 27
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
2
100.9
2 BIP
Jun 25
@ TOR · Kevin Gausman
3
107.2
HR
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
103.9
HR
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
5
106.7
HR
5 BIP
Jun 22
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
3
104.7
3 BIP
Jun 21
vs SD · Wandy Peralta
2
104.9
2 BIP
Jun 20
vs SD · Walker Buehler
3
101.2
3 BIP
Jun 19
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
3
92.1
3 BIP
Jun 18
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
0
—
—
Jun 16
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
4
106.6
4 BIP
Jun 15
vs MIN · Mike Paredes
2
104.3
HR
2 BIP
Jun 12
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
3
99.4
3 BIP
Jun 10
@ KC · Seth Lugo
1
100.2
1 BIP
Jun 9
@ KC · Stephen Kolek
4
99.7
4 BIP
Jun 7
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
4
100.4
4 BIP
Jun 6
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
105.2
3 BIP
Jun 5
vs CLE · Parker Messick
1
109.3
1 BIP
Jun 3
@ STL · Andre Pallante
4
103.4
4 BIP
Jun 2
@ STL · Dustin May
4
107.5
4 BIP
Jun 1
@ STL · Michael McGreevy
3
106.6
3 BIP
May 31
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
89.2
3 BIP
May 30
vs KC · Seth Lugo
3
108.0
HR
3 BIP
May 29
vs KC · Stephen Kolek
2
96.2
HR
2 BIP
May 28
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
90.9
3 BIP
May 27
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
4
103.6
HR
4 BIP
May 26
vs HOU · Jason Alexander
3
102.4
HR
3 BIP
May 25
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
3
105.4
3 BIP
May 24
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
1
82.9
1 BIP
May 22
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
2
84.1
2 BIP
May 19
@ COL · Sammy Peralta
5
105.5
5 BIP
May 18
@ COL · Jose Quintana
0
—
—
May 17
@ HOU · Peter Lambert
0
—
—
May 16
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
2
104.4
2 BIP
May 15
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
0
—
—
May 13
vs AZ · Ryne Nelson
4
102.2
4 BIP
May 12
vs AZ · Zac Gallen
2
109.1
HR
2 BIP
May 11
vs AZ · Michael Soroka
1
79.9
1 BIP
May 10
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
2
110.6
2 BIP
May 9
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
2
96.4
2 BIP
May 8
vs CHC · Ben Brown
0
—
—
May 7
@ NYY · Paul Blackburn
2
107.3
2 BIP
May 6
@ NYY · Will Warren
0
—
—
May 5
@ NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
2
103.1
2 BIP
May 3
@ DET · Tyler Holton
0
—
—
May 2
@ DET · Keider Montero
3
98.1
3 BIP
May 1
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
4
93.6
4 BIP
Apr 29
vs NYY · Elmer Rodríguez
4
105.1
4 BIP
Apr 28
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
101.1
3 BIP
Apr 27
vs NYY · Max Fried
2
108.2
HR
2 BIP
Apr 26
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
2
98.8
2 BIP
Apr 25
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
1
86.7
1 BIP
Apr 24
vs ATH · Luis Severino
1
97.8
1 BIP
Apr 23
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
2
97.9
2 BIP
Apr 22
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
1
89.6
1 BIP
Apr 19
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
2
107.7
2 BIP
Apr 18
@ SEA · George Kirby
1
101.2
1 BIP
Apr 17
@ SEA · Logan Gilbert
1
90.4
1 BIP
Ballpark
T-Mobile Park · open-air
Park Factor
1.024
Wind
1 mph from SE
Temp
66°F
Roof
Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
4:10p
1 ←
66°
+0
5:10p
1 ←
66°
+0
6:10p
1 ←
66°
+0
7:10p
1 ←
66°
+0
8:10p
1 ←
66°
+0
+0
Neutral alignment
proxy spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to oppo (from SE)
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Thu 9/10
Dueness now
0.50×
not yet due — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
2 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
1 gm
since his last HR, Sep 5
Season
22 HR
96 games · 2 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 21 gaps · median 2 gm · MAD ± 1 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Score Breakdown
Base 63 → 63
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Pitcher FIP
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Joc Pederson
Will Joc Pederson hit a home run today?
Joc Pederson is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #7 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Logan Gilbert at T-Mobile Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Joc Pederson hit home runs?
Across 96 scored games this season, Joc Pederson has 22 home runs — one every 4.4 games, or about 23% of his scored games.
Has Joc Pederson homered off Logan Gilbert before?
Not yet — Joc Pederson has faced Logan Gilbert 27 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.