Today · 2026-08-01

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Matt Olson vs Miles Mikolas FIP 5.73 HR/FB 21.1% #6 Joc Pederson vs Ronel Blanco FIP 7.75 HR/FB 30.0% #9 Pro pick vs Miles Mikolas FIP 5.73 HR/FB 21.1% #10 Pro pick vs Ryan Feltner FIP 5.7 HR/FB 21.2%

📦 STACK Miles Mikolas FIP 5.73 HR/FB 21.1% → #1 Matt Olson, #9 Pro pick

📦 STACK Reynaldo López FIP 4.39 HR/FB 15.6% → #2 James Wood, #5 Cj Abrams

📦 STACK Jack Perkins FIP 4.43 HR/FB 15.0% → #12 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

📦 STACK Payton Tolle FIP 3.44 HR/FB 23.8% → #13 Pro pick, #14 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-31. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.9% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Matt Olson (L) ⁵	75	-7.8	●	Miles Mikolas (RHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-31 OffFoster Griffin Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle22.0° Distance396 ft StadiumTruist Park	○●●○●	0.0×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.40 FIP4.78 IP959.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-50 Weather · Truist Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind8 mph S Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-50 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph S (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
2	James Wood (L) ²	73	-6.7	●	Reynaldo López (RHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffKevin Ginkel Exit Velo109.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance418 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	2.5×	1	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.23 FIP4.25 IP947.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-44 Weather · Truist Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind8 mph S Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph S (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Hunter Goodman (R) ⁴	72	-12.1	●	Luinder Avila (RHP) KC @ COL · Coors Field	8:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	31	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffClayton Beeter Exit Velo95.4 mph Angle32.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○○○	2.3×	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.34 FIP4.79 IP943.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+58 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90°F Wind12 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+58 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note90°F, wind 12 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Joc Pederson (L) ³	71	-5.7	●	Ronel Blanco (RHP) TEX @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-31 OffHunter Brown Exit Velo105.3 mph Angle23.0° Distance399 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○○●○●	0.0×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.38 FIP4.84 IP969.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind5 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note96°F, wind 5 mph W (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Cj Abrams (L) ³	70	-3.5	●	Reynaldo López (RHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	28	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffMichael Lorenzen Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle35.0° Distance434 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○●●	0.0×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.23 FIP4.25 IP947.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-46 Weather · Truist Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind8 mph S Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-46 · Red resistance Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph S (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ³	70	+0.3	●	David Peterson (LHP) NYY @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.9% HR/91.48 FIP4.67 IP891.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-88 Weather · Wrigley Field mild air · strong wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp71°F Wind18 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier-5 Spray/Wind-88 · Deep red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note71°F, wind 18 mph NNE (in) — modifier: -5 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ³	69	-18.0	●	Shane Baz (RHP) PHI @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.06 FIP4.11 IP948.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+10 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note83°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ³	68	-4.7	●	Miles Mikolas (RHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.40 FIP4.78 IP959.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-45 Weather · Truist Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind8 mph S Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-45 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph S (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ³	67	-12.2	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) KC @ COL · Coors Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.45 FIP4.88 IP927.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90°F Wind12 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note90°F, wind 12 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (R) ³	67	-8.7	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) DET @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.57 FIP5.02 IP976.8000000000001 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+56 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+56 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note94°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ³	66	-15.5	●	Payton Tolle (LHP) BOS @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV93.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.00 FIP3.72 IP948.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+30 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note91°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R) ³	65	·	●	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) BOS @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.22 FIP4.06 IP983.1999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note91°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ³	65	·	●	Payton Tolle (LHP) BOS @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.00 FIP3.72 IP948.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+29 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note91°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ³	64	-14.6	●	Jacob deGrom (RHP) TEX @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV94.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.26 FIP4.13 IP944.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind5 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note96°F, wind 5 mph W (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R) ³	64	-12.1	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) DET @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.57 FIP5.02 IP976.8000000000001 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+56 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+56 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note94°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ³	64	-9.6	●	Framber Valdez (LHP) DET @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls7 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.00 FIP3.88 IP960.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+43 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note94°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ³	64	-11.3	●	Andrew Abbott (LHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.32 FIP4.84 IP928.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-51 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind9 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-51 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note74°F, wind 9 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R) ³	63	-6.3	●	Ronel Blanco (RHP) TEX @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.38 FIP4.84 IP969.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind5 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note96°F, wind 5 mph W (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R) ³	63	-6.3	●	Ronel Blanco (RHP) TEX @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.38 FIP4.84 IP969.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+2 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind5 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note96°F, wind 5 mph W (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L) ³	62	-10.2	●	Shane Baz (RHP) PHI @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.06 FIP4.11 IP948.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+28 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note83°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ³	62	-3.7	●	Connor Prielipp (LHP) MIN @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.16 FIP4.33 IP969.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+26 Weather · T-Mobile Park mild air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp67°F Wind10 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note67°F, wind 10 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R) ³	62	-8.5	●	Braxton Ashcraft (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.06 FIP4.01 IP970.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-44 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind9 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note74°F, wind 9 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ³	62	-11.0	●	Ryan Feltner (RHP) KC @ COL · Coors Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.45 FIP4.88 IP927.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90°F Wind12 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note90°F, wind 12 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L) ³	61	-12.2	●	Ronel Blanco (RHP) TEX @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls2 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.38 FIP4.84 IP969.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind5 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note96°F, wind 5 mph W (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (S) ³	60	-10.8	●	Braxton Ashcraft (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.06 FIP4.01 IP970.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-43 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind9 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-43 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note74°F, wind 9 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R) ³	60	-5.6	●	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) PHI @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.0% HR/91.27 FIP3.88 IP936.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+50 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note83°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ³	60	-10.0	●	Logan Gilbert (RHP) MIN @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.04 FIP3.68 IP947.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+25 Weather · T-Mobile Park mild air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp67°F Wind10 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note67°F, wind 10 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L) ³	60	-9.1	●	Drew Rasmussen (RHP) CWS @ TB · Tropicana Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.18 FIP4.07 IP958.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
29	Pro pick (L) ³	59	-10.2	●	Braxton Ashcraft (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.06 FIP4.01 IP970.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-52 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind9 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-52 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note74°F, wind 9 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R) ³	59	-7.4	●	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) PHI @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.0% HR/91.27 FIP3.88 IP936.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+28 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note83°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

15.0%

▲ +0.8 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 14.6% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-31

30 HRs

46%

14 caught / 30 HRs

in top 50

#5 Matt Olson

32.8%

🟡

#7 CJ Abrams

36.3%

🟡

#8 Dillon Dingler

36.2%

🟡

#17 Pete Alonso

21.6%

🔵

#21 Joc Pederson

32.5%

🔵

#26 Munetaka Murakami

29.7%

🔵

#27 Junior Caminero

22.1%

🔵

#29 Sal Stewart

31.5%

🔵

#30 Shohei Ohtani

25.8%

🔵

#31 Carter Jensen

16.3%

🔵

#32 Kyle Stowers

29.9%

🔵

#36 JJ Bleday

24.6%

🟠

#40 Jake Bauers

18.6%

🟠

#42 Christian Walker

24.8%

🟠

Missed

Colson Montgomery Miguel Vargas Amed Rosario Spencer Jones Brice Turang +11 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

CJ Abrams ×3 Matt Olson ×3 Munetaka Murakami ×3 Sal Stewart ×3 Dominic Canzone ×2

❄️ Cold

Drake Baldwin 0 of 8d Luke Raley 0 of 7d Nathaniel Lowe 0 of 6d Wyatt Langford 0 of 6d Griffin Conine 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.5%

B 20.0%

C+ 17.1%

C 13.5%

D 8.8%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-01

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.