Today · 2026-07-24

Share Slate 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Variance Card

233 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…

4:10p

6:40p

🔥

6:40p

6:45p

7:05p

7:10p

🔥

7:10p

🔥

7:10p

7:15p

7:40p

8:05p

8:10p

8:15p

10:15p

Locks 0/1

Daily Routine ready Routine

Prime Card 0/6 not saved

‹

⭐ Today's Slate

›

Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 5 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#7 Shea Langeliers vs Zebby Matthews FIP 5.29 HR/FB 33.3% #8 Jake Bauers vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.48 HR/FB 22.2% #10 Pete Alonso vs Grant Holmes FIP 5.0 HR/FB 23.1% #11 Coby Mayo vs Grant Holmes FIP 5.0 HR/FB 23.1% #13 Juan Soto vs Roki Sasaki FIP 5.41 HR/FB 26.3%

📦 STACK Eduardo Rodriguez FIP 4.14 HR/FB 11.1% → #1 James Wood, #12 Cj Abrams

📦 STACK BAL Bullpen Proxy FIP 4.14 HR/FB 11.7% → #4 Matt Olson, #6 Drake Baldwin

📦 STACK Grant Holmes FIP 5.0 HR/FB 23.1% → #10 Pete Alonso, #11 Coby Mayo

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-23. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

93.1% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	James Wood (L) ³	75	-8.6	●	Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) AZ @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	28	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-07-12 OffWill Warren Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle26.0° Distance434 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	3.0×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.23 FIP4.46 IP877.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind7 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Ben Rice (L) ²	70	-2.5	●	Jesús Luzardo (LHP) NYY @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	30	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffCarmen Mlodzinski Exit Velo102.1 mph Angle29.0° Distance394 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○●●	0.0×	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.7% HR/91.26 FIP3.85 IP889.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+31 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note79°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	69	-16.7	●	Cam Schlittler (RHP) NYY @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	33	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-18 OffSean Manaea Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle41.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●○○○○	1.3×	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.03 FIP3.80 IP893.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note79°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Matt Olson (L)	70	-5.9	●	BAL Bullpen Proxy ATL @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	26	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-07-17 OffCal Quantrill Exit Velo110.7 mph Angle27.0° Distance420 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○○	1.5×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.14 IP889.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-2 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind8 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Hunter Goodman (R) ³	66	-11.6	●	Shane Drohan (LHP) COL @ MIL · American Family Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	31	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffClayton Beeter Exit Velo95.4 mph Angle32.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCoors Field	○●○●○	0.3×	1	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.00 FIP3.58 IP880.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-8 Weather · American Family Field warm air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp75°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note75°F, wind 8 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Drake Baldwin (L)	69	-2.5	●	BAL Bullpen Proxy ATL @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%15.4% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-23 OffMatt Waldron Exit Velo98.4 mph Angle37.0° Distance370 ft StadiumTruist Park	●○○○●	0.0×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.14 IP889.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+10 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind8 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Shea Langeliers (R) ⁵	65	-10.0	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) ATH @ MIN · Target Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	23	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffRyan Thompson Exit Velo110.7 mph Angle25.0° Distance444 ft StadiumChase Field	○○○●○	0.2×	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.20 FIP4.39 IP910.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-27 Weather · Target Field warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind11 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note80°F, wind 11 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Jake Bauers (L) ³	65	-8.4	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ MIL · American Family Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	13d Last HR · 2026-07-11 OffBraxton Ashcraft Exit Velo111.8 mph Angle22.0° Distance375 ft StadiumPNC Park	○○○○○	1.5×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.47 FIP4.91 IP888.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-19 Weather · American Family Field warm air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp75°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note75°F, wind 8 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Cj Abrams (L) ³	65	-0.4	●	Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) AZ @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	24	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffMichael Lorenzen Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle35.0° Distance434 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○●●	0.0×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.23 FIP4.46 IP877.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-10 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind7 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Junior Caminero (R) ⁴	64	-8.7	●	Joey Cantillo (LHP) CLE @ TB · Tropicana Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-07-17 OffEduardo Rivera Exit Velo111.6 mph Angle26.0° Distance423 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○○○○	3.0×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.17 FIP4.00 IP900.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
11	Pete Alonso (R) ²	64	-8.7	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV93.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	13d Last HR · 2026-07-11 OffNoah Cameron Exit Velo103.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance420 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○○○	1.8×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.24 IP874.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+8 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind8 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Coby Mayo (R)	63	-4.7	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	13	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls10 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-07-19 OffBryan King Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle32.0° Distance384 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○●○○○	1.0×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.24 IP874.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+32 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind8 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Byron Buxton (R) ⁴	62	-15.8	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) ATH @ MIN · Target Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls9 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	32d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffWill Klein Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance394 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○○	5.5×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.9% HR/91.61 FIP5.09 IP914.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-23 Weather · Target Field warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind11 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-23 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note80°F, wind 11 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Curtis Mead (R) ⁴	62	-3.6	●	Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) AZ @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV88.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	13d Last HR · 2026-07-11 OffCam Schlittler Exit Velo100.5 mph Angle33.0° Distance388 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	1.2×	1	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.23 FIP4.46 IP877.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind7 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Juan Soto (L) ²	61	-10.5	●	Roki Sasaki (RHP) LAD @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	15d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffBeck Way Exit Velo106.6 mph Angle29.0° Distance435 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○○○○	2.7×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.03 IP930.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+39 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind10 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note73°F, wind 10 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Max Muncy (L) ⁴	60	·	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) LAD @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	5	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffAaron Nola Exit Velo100.3 mph Angle25.0° Distance415 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○●●	0.0×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.10 IP941.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind10 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note73°F, wind 10 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁵	60	-12.6	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) LAD @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	22	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-07-12 OffMitch Bratt Exit Velo111.8 mph Angle33.0° Distance437 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○○○○○	2.0×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.12 FIP4.10 IP941.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+44 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind10 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+44 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note73°F, wind 10 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Tyler Soderstrom (L) ⁵	59	-8.7	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) ATH @ MIN · Target Field	8:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-18 OffZack Littell Exit Velo100.1 mph Angle27.0° Distance406 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	●○○○○	1.0×	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.20 FIP4.39 IP910.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-49 Weather · Target Field warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind11 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-49 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note80°F, wind 11 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Bryce Harper (L) ²	59	-7.7	●	Cam Schlittler (RHP) NYY @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-20 OffLandon Knack Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle25.0° Distance407 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○●○○	0.4×	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.03 FIP3.80 IP893.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note79°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Willson Contreras (R) ³	58	-7.9	●	Trey Yesavage (RHP) TOR @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-07-19 OffShane McClanahan Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle29.0° Distance414 ft StadiumFenway Park	●○○○○	0.8×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.07 FIP3.86 IP825.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+38 Weather · Fenway Park warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Munetaka Murakami (L) ³	58	-12.0	●	Spencer Arrighetti (RHP) HOU @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	58d Last HR · 2026-05-27 OffConnor Prielipp Exit Velo108.3 mph Angle24.0° Distance432 ft StadiumRate Field	○○○○○	3.7×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.40 FIP4.87 IP905.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR NoteUnknown stadium
22	Corbin Carroll (L) ³	58	-9.5	●	Carson Palmquist (LHP) AZ @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffGage Jump Exit Velo100.0 mph Angle35.0° Distance375 ft StadiumChase Field	○○○●○	0.2×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.6% HR/91.43 FIP4.76 IP888.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-10 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind7 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Kody Clemens (L) ³	57	-6.0	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) ATH @ MIN · Target Field	8:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-18 OffCaleb Thielbar Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle37.0° Distance391 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○○	1.2×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.9% HR/91.61 FIP5.09 IP914.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-64 Weather · Target Field warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind11 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-64 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note80°F, wind 11 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Colson Montgomery (L) ³	57	-11.6	●	Spencer Arrighetti (RHP) HOU @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	24	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-07-19 OffTrey Yesavage Exit Velo106.3 mph Angle28.0° Distance388 ft StadiumRogers Centre	○●○○○	1.0×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.40 FIP4.87 IP905.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR NoteUnknown stadium
25	Ty France (R)	60	+1.0	●	MIA Bullpen Proxy SD @ MIA · loanDepot Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-23 OffTyler Kinley Exit Velo108.2 mph Angle22.0° Distance395 ft StadiumTruist Park	●●○○●	0.0×	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.05 FIP4.09 IP915.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-29 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp86°F Wind10 mph E Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note86°F, wind 10 mph E (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Jackson Chourio (R) ³	56	-9.5	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ MIL · American Family Field	4:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	13	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	20d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffPaul Sewald Exit Velo105.7 mph Angle32.0° Distance410 ft StadiumChase Field	○○○○○	6.5×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.47 FIP4.91 IP888.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-17 Weather · American Family Field warm air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp75°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note75°F, wind 8 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Yordan Alvarez (L) ⁴	55	-18.8	●	Davis Martin (RHP) HOU @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	34	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV94.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffSandy Alcantara Exit Velo104.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance394 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○○●○●	0.0×	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.07 FIP4.19 IP873.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR NoteUnknown stadium
28	Joc Pederson (L) ³	55	-11.2	●	Bryce Miller (RHP) SEA @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-20 OffErick Fedde Exit Velo105.9 mph Angle36.0° Distance423 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	○○●○●	0.0×	·	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/90.99 FIP3.61 IP889.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+13 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note90°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Paul Goldschmidt (R) ²	55	-3.9	●	Jesús Luzardo (LHP) NYY @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:45p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV86.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	13d Last HR · 2026-07-11 OffClayton Beeter Exit Velo103.2 mph Angle28.0° Distance395 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	1.7×	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.7% HR/91.26 FIP3.85 IP889.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+40 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note79°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Gunnar Henderson (L)	55	-10.3	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%7.6% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	13d Last HR · 2026-07-11 OffEli Morgan Exit Velo102.5 mph Angle26.0° Distance417 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○○○	1.8×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.24 IP874.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind8 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Tonight's full board — all 233 ranked matchups plus the conviction tools — is Pro. Check the public track record first: every board graded next morning, hits and misses included.

Create a free account — tonight's full board is on us Try Pro free for 3 days — then $10/mo Already have an account? Sign in

No card. Your first day includes the complete board.

228 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Lock one pick tonight

Free accounts lock 1 pick a night from the preview — graded on your own record the next morning. No card required.

Create a free account →

Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.2%

▼ -3.3 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 18.0% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-23

7 HRs

57%

4 caught / 7 HRs

in top 50

#3 Drake Baldwin

39.0%

🔵

#4 Ty France

32.5%

🔵

#19 Ozzie Albies

9.2%

⚪

#32 Dominic Smith

8.7%

⚪

Missed

Patrick Bailey James Outman Isaac Collins

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Esmerlyn Valdez ×3 Drake Baldwin ×3 Max Muncy ×3 Ben Rice ×2 Cj Abrams ×2

❄️ Cold

Kazuma Okamoto 0 of 7d Jordan Walker 0 of 7d Shohei Ohtani 0 of 7d James Wood 0 of 6d Brandon Lowe 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.5%

B 20.0%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.4%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-24

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.