Today · 2026-07-23

Share Slate 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Variance Card

71 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…

12:15p

🔥

1:10p

🔥

3:07p

5:15p

6:40p

Locks 0/1

Daily Routine ready Routine

Prime Card 0/6 not saved

‹

⭐ Today's Slate

›

Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Junior Caminero vs Shane Bieber FIP 6.91 HR/FB 40.0% #9 Dillon Dingler vs Randy Dobnak FIP 5.78 HR/FB 22.2% #14 Jonathan Aranda vs Shane Bieber FIP 6.91 HR/FB 25.0%

📦 STACK Shane Bieber FIP 6.91 HR/FB 40.0% → #1 Junior Caminero, #14 Jonathan Aranda

📦 STACK Kyle Hart FIP 4.24 HR/FB 30.8% → #2 Matt Olson, #3 Drake Baldwin, #13 Austin Riley

📦 STACK Chris Sale FIP 2.77 HR/FB 11.7% → #4 Ty France, #6 Manny Machado

📦 STACK Gavin Williams FIP 3.91 HR/FB 43.5% → #5 Byron Buxton, #7 Kody Clemens, #12 Royce Lewis

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-22. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

93% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Junior Caminero (R) ⁴	70	-12.9	●	Shane Bieber (RHP) TB @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-17 OffEduardo Rivera Exit Velo111.6 mph Angle26.0° Distance423 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○○○○	2.5×	1	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.17 FIP4.07 IP892.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp73°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note73°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Matt Olson (L) ⁵	69	-7.1	●	Kyle Hart (LHP) SD @ ATL · Truist Park	12:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	26	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-17 OffCal Quantrill Exit Velo110.7 mph Angle27.0° Distance420 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○○	1.2×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.13 FIP4.29 IP878.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-8 Weather · Truist Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind9 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Drake Baldwin (L) ³	64	-5.3	●	Kyle Hart (LHP) SD @ ATL · Truist Park	12:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-19 OffBen Peoples Exit Velo107.9 mph Angle34.0° Distance392 ft StadiumTruist Park	○●○○○	1.5×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.13 FIP4.29 IP878.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Truist Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind9 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Byron Buxton (R) ⁴	64	-7.8	●	Gavin Williams (RHP) MIN @ CLE · Progressive Field	1:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls7 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	31d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffWill Klein Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance394 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○○	5.0×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.16 FIP3.98 IP891.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-49 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind8 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-49 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Ty France (R) ²	63	-1.0	●	Chris Sale (LHP) SD @ ATL · Truist Park	12:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-20 OffBryce Elder Exit Velo100.3 mph Angle31.0° Distance397 ft StadiumTruist Park	○●●○○	1.0×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.20 FIP4.22 IP865.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Truist Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind9 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Manny Machado (R) ²	60	-5.2	●	Chris Sale (LHP) SD @ ATL · Truist Park	12:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffJR Ritchie Exit Velo105.0 mph Angle24.0° Distance418 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○●●○	0.2×	1	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.20 FIP4.22 IP865.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+19 Weather · Truist Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind9 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Kody Clemens (L) ²	57	-6.4	●	Gavin Williams (RHP) MIN @ CLE · Progressive Field	1:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-07-18 OffCaleb Thielbar Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle37.0° Distance391 ft StadiumWrigley Field	●○○○○	1.0×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.16 FIP3.98 IP891.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-40 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind8 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-40 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	56	-2.9	●	Randy Dobnak (RHP) KC @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffAaron Civale Exit Velo100.8 mph Angle29.0° Distance392 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○●●○	0.2×	·	KC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.41 FIP4.86 IP877.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-36 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind9 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-36 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note76°F, wind 9 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Kazuma Okamoto (R) ³	55	-11.2	●	Ian Seymour (LHP) TB @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	13d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffJhony Brito Exit Velo107.6 mph Angle44.0° Distance377 ft StadiumPetco Park	○○○○○	4.0×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.17 IP853.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+16 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp73°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note73°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Jordan Walker (R) ⁵	53	-6.1	●	Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) AZ @ STL · Busch Stadium	5:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	14d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffChad Patrick Exit Velo106.5 mph Angle28.0° Distance406 ft StadiumBusch Stadium	○○○○○	3.0×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.23 FIP4.46 IP871.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-42 Weather · Busch Stadium warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind9 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-42 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note79°F, wind 9 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Corbin Carroll (L) ³	52	-7.3	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) AZ @ STL · Busch Stadium	5:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffGage Jump Exit Velo100.0 mph Angle35.0° Distance375 ft StadiumChase Field	○○○○●	0.0×	1	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.01 FIP4.18 IP869.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-50 Weather · Busch Stadium warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind9 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-50 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note79°F, wind 9 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Spencer Torkelson (R) ³	52	-4.7	●	Randy Dobnak (RHP) KC @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffColin Rea Exit Velo101.6 mph Angle28.0° Distance391 ft StadiumWrigley Field	●○○○●	0.0×	·	KC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.41 FIP4.86 IP877.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-36 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind9 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-36 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note76°F, wind 9 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Royce Lewis (R) ²	51	-3.5	●	Gavin Williams (RHP) MIN @ CLE · Progressive Field	1:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-07-11 OffRyan Johnson Exit Velo107.7 mph Angle32.0° Distance419 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○○	1.2×	1	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.16 FIP3.98 IP891.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-48 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind8 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-48 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Austin Riley (R) ²	51	-7.9	●	Kyle Hart (LHP) SD @ ATL · Truist Park	12:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-19 OffNathan Eovaldi Exit Velo109.4 mph Angle20.0° Distance413 ft StadiumTruist Park	○●○○○	0.5×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.13 FIP4.29 IP878.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+19 Weather · Truist Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind9 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Jonathan Aranda (L) ⁴	51	-6.6	●	Shane Bieber (RHP) TB @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-07-12 OffEduard Bazardo Exit Velo96.0 mph Angle35.0° Distance337 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○○○○○	0.6×	1	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.17 FIP4.07 IP892.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp73°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note73°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Rhys Hoskins (R) ³	50	-6.8	●	Taj Bradley (RHP) MIN @ CLE · Progressive Field	1:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	11	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls11 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-20 OffJoe Ryan Exit Velo107.5 mph Angle31.0° Distance398 ft StadiumProgressive Field	○○○●○	0.2×	1	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.20 FIP4.39 IP901.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-47 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind8 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-47 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Ozzie Albies (S) ³	48	-4.9	●	Kyle Hart (LHP) SD @ ATL · Truist Park	12:15p	⚪ D	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%5.5% Avg EV86.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-20 OffWandy Peralta Exit Velo101.2 mph Angle34.0° Distance393 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○●○○	0.3×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.13 FIP4.29 IP878.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+8 Weather · Truist Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind9 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Riley Greene (L) ²	48	-10.5	●	Randy Dobnak (RHP) KC @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-20 OffJameson Taillon Exit Velo102.1 mph Angle31.0° Distance408 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○●●○○	0.4×	·	KC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.41 FIP4.86 IP877.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-43 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind9 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-43 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note76°F, wind 9 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Ketel Marte (S) ³	47	-8.9	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) AZ @ STL · Busch Stadium	5:15p	⚪ D	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-20 OffJeffrey Springs Exit Velo108.5 mph Angle32.0° Distance402 ft StadiumChase Field	○○●○○	0.4×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.01 FIP4.18 IP869.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-42 Weather · Busch Stadium warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind9 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-42 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note79°F, wind 9 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Gavin Sheets (L) ²	47	+1.0	●	Chris Sale (LHP) SD @ ATL · Truist Park	12:15p	⚪ D	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	14	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%6.7% Avg EV87.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	26d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffYoshinobu Yamamoto Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle26.0° Distance414 ft StadiumPetco Park	○○○○○	2.8×	2	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.20 FIP4.22 IP865.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-21 Weather · Truist Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind9 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-21 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Jim Jarvis (L)	47	·	●	Kyle Hart (LHP) SD @ ATL · Truist Park	12:15p	⚪ D	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	1	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%7.5% Avg EV88.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	○○○○○	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.13 FIP4.29 IP878.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Truist Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind9 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Mike Yastrzemski (L) ²	47	-4.5	●	Kyle Hart (LHP) SD @ ATL · Truist Park	12:15p	⚪ D	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	6	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls7 BBE Barrel%6.8% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	14d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffDennis Santana Exit Velo104.8 mph Angle30.0° Distance403 ft StadiumPNC Park	○●○○○	0.2×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.13 FIP4.29 IP878.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-28 Weather · Truist Park hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind9 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-28 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 6 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Jac Caglianone (L) ²	47	·	●	Troy Melton (RHP) KC @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-19 OffGermán Márquez Exit Velo113.5 mph Angle33.0° Distance432 ft StadiumKauffman Stadium	○○●○○	0.4×	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.00 FIP3.86 IP885.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-43 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind9 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-43 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note76°F, wind 9 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Alec Burleson (L) ³	46	-6.1	●	Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) AZ @ STL · Busch Stadium	5:15p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	15d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffJared Koenig Exit Velo109.4 mph Angle35.0° Distance443 ft StadiumBusch Stadium	○○○○○	2.0×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.23 FIP4.46 IP871.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-51 Weather · Busch Stadium warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind9 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-51 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note79°F, wind 9 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Nolan Arenado (R) ²	45	-0.7	●	Michael McGreevy (RHP) AZ @ STL · Busch Stadium	5:15p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV85.3 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffGage Jump Exit Velo100.1 mph Angle32.0° Distance396 ft StadiumChase Field	○●○○●	0.0×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.01 FIP4.18 IP869.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-33 Weather · Busch Stadium warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind9 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-33 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note79°F, wind 9 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Josh Bell (S) ³	45	-5.6	●	Gavin Williams (RHP) MIN @ CLE · Progressive Field	1:10p	⚪ D	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	19d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffCamilo Doval Exit Velo96.4 mph Angle30.0° Distance376 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	4.3×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.16 FIP3.98 IP891.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-45 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind8 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-45 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Kerry Carpenter (L) ²	45	-6.3	●	Randy Dobnak (RHP) KC @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	23d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffCam Schlittler Exit Velo102.9 mph Angle28.0° Distance410 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	3.5×	·	KC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.41 FIP4.86 IP877.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-42 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76°F Wind9 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-42 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note76°F, wind 9 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Yandy Diaz (R) ⁴	44	-5.8	●	Shane Bieber (RHP) TB @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	113d Last HR · 2026-04-01 OffJacob Misiorowski Exit Velo102.3 mph Angle28.0° Distance364 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.17 FIP4.07 IP892.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+18 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp73°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note73°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Travis Bazzana (L) ²	44	-3.9	●	Taj Bradley (RHP) MIN @ CLE · Progressive Field	1:10p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	9	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%7.0% Avg EV88.3 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-20 OffJoe Ryan Exit Velo98.7 mph Angle28.0° Distance385 ft StadiumProgressive Field	●○●○○	0.2×	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.20 FIP4.39 IP901.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-41 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind8 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-41 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
30	George Springer (R) ²	44	-8.2	●	Ian Seymour (LHP) TB @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	⚪ D	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-17 OffTrevor Richards Exit Velo96.3 mph Angle30.0° Distance363 ft StadiumRogers Centre	●○○○○	1.0×	1	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.17 IP853.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+10 Weather · Rogers Centre warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp73°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note73°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Tonight's full board — all 71 ranked matchups plus the conviction tools — is Pro. Check the public track record first: every board graded next morning, hits and misses included.

Create a free account — tonight's full board is on us Try Pro free for 3 days — then $10/mo Already have an account? Sign in

No card. Your first day includes the complete board.

66 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Lock one pick tonight

Free accounts lock 1 pick a night from the preview — graded on your own record the next morning. No card required.

Create a free account →

Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.6%

▼ -2.1 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 18.8% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-22

34 HRs

20%

7 caught / 34 HRs

in top 50

#6 Ben Rice

35.5%

🟡

#7 Ben Rice

34.3%

🟡

#8 Yordan Alvarez

30.5%

🟡

#11 Max Muncy

34.7%

🔵

#23 Spencer Torkelson

25.9%

🔵

#29 Dalton Rushing

25.7%

🟠

#49 JJ Bleday

25.9%

🟠

Missed

Seiya Suzuki Jackson Merrill Alec Bohm Sal Stewart Casey Schmitt +22 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Esmerlyn Valdez ×3 Max Muncy ×3 Ben Rice ×2 Drake Baldwin ×2 Cj Abrams ×2

❄️ Cold

Shohei Ohtani 0 of 7d James Wood 0 of 6d Brandon Lowe 0 of 6d Jordan Walker 0 of 6d Kazuma Okamoto 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.5%

B 20.0%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.5%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-23

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.