2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Matt Olson 9 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 3 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 4 Wilyer Abreu 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Ceddanne Rafaela 4 HRs · 7 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 8 Jackson Chourio 4 HRs · 9 Jackson Merrill 4 HRs · 10 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 11 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs · 12 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs 1 Matt Olson 9 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 3 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 4 Wilyer Abreu 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Ceddanne Rafaela 4 HRs · 7 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 8 Jackson Chourio 4 HRs · 9 Jackson Merrill 4 HRs · 10 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 11 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs · 12 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs
Kyle Hart

Kyle Hart

LHP SD
32 matchups scored · 4 game days
6
HRs allowed
18.8%
HR rate (pool)
12.8%
Overall HR/FB
3.79
FIP
3.92
xFIP
-0.13
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 49
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
49
no model flags today
Vulnerability 49th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
12.5%
12.5%
Hard-Hit% allowed
67.7%
67.7%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 100.4 EV · 386 ft max EV allowed 112.3
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-06-27 · 2 HR 2026-07-23 · 3 HR 2026-08-02 · 1 HR
7D · 1 HR 15D · 4 HR 30D · 4 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Kyle Hart.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard 27.9% 79.5 3.4° 0 -3.2
Sweeper Breaking 27.1% 81.7 20.4° 2 +0.0
Splitter Offspeed 20.3% 82.2 9.3° 0 -0.3
Slider Breaking 15.6% 82.8 18.3° 1 +0.3
Fastball Hard 9.1% 81.2 20.8° 1 +3.7
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups32
HRs allowed (pool)6
Pool HR rate18.8%
Pool HR/game day1.5
Top-15 matchups4
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB12.8% 49
HR/9
FIP3.79 38
xFIP3.92
FIP − xFIP-0.13 36
Barrel% allowed12.5%
Hard-Hit% allowed67.7%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-12
Sinker
Hard · 27.9% usage
-3.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.5 mph
Avg launch angle3.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches215
Sweeper
Breaking · 27.1% usage
+0.0 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.7 mph
Avg launch angle20.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches209
Splitter
Offspeed · 20.3% usage
-0.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.2 mph
Avg launch angle9.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches156
Slider
Breaking · 15.6% usage
+0.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.8 mph
Avg launch angle18.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches120
Fastball
Hard · 9.1% usage
+3.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle20.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches70
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Kyle Hart.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
6 allowed · scored pool
avg 100.4 EV · 386 ft 4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-08-02 Rafael Devers #96 48 Petco Park 97.4 29.0° 359
2026-07-23 Drake Baldwin #3 64 Truist Park 98.4 37.0° 370
2026-07-23 Ozzie Albies #19 48 Truist Park 99.6 33.0° 398
2026-07-23 Dominic Smith #32 43 Truist Park 99.3 32.0° 392
2026-06-27 Mookie Betts #99 45 Petco Park 100.9 25.0° 402
2026-06-27 Kyle Tucker #194 30 Petco Park 106.7 27.0° 398
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 4 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-02 Petco Park 8 1 108.6
2026-07-29 Petco Park 9 0 104.2
2026-07-23 Truist Park 8 3 109.5
2026-06-27 Petco Park 7 2 112.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Kyle Hart isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Kyle Hart isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
Petco Park 24 3 12%
Truist Park 8 3 38%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Six home runs to freedom

Kyle Hart's full pitcher profile is waiting

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32 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Common questions about Kyle Hart

How many home runs has Kyle Hart allowed this season?

Kyle Hart has allowed 6 home runs across 4 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.

Which batters have homered off Kyle Hart?

In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Kyle Hart include Kyle Tucker (2), Agustin Ramirez (1), Cam Smith (1) and 9 more.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.157 · build 663

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