Today · 2026-07-12

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-11. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.5% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Shohei Ohtani (L)	78	-13.6	●	AZ Bullpen Proxy AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%16.4% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffEduardo Rodriguez Exit Velo104.6 mph Angle29.0° Distance381 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	●●○●○	0.3×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.31 FIP4.55 IP838.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+54 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66.9°F Wind1.2 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+54 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note67°F, wind 1 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
2	James Wood (L) ³	74	-7.1	●	Will Warren (RHP) NYY @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	27	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV95.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-11 OffCam Schlittler Exit Velo100.4 mph Angle37.0° Distance388 ft StadiumNationals Park	●●○●●	0.0×	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.00 FIP3.76 IP860.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+48 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.8°F Wind4 mph NNE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+48 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note75°F, wind 4 mph NNE (out) — modifier: +0
3	Ben Rice (L) ³	71	-3.1	●	Cade Cavalli (RHP) NYY @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffCarson Palmquist Exit Velo102.0 mph Angle29.0° Distance387 ft StadiumNationals Park	●○●●○	0.5×	1	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.41 FIP4.69 IP853.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+53 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.8°F Wind4 mph NNE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+53 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note75°F, wind 4 mph NNE (out) — modifier: +0
4	Junior Caminero (R) ³	69	-10.6	●	Emerson Hancock (RHP) SEA @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	28	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffJosé A. Ferrer Exit Velo102.3 mph Angle27.0° Distance385 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○○●●○	0.5×	·	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.8% HR/90.94 FIP3.54 IP843.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
5	Pete Alonso (R) ²	67	-9.4	●	Seth Lugo (RHP) KC @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV93.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-11 OffNoah Cameron Exit Velo103.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance420 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○●○○●	0.0×	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.33 FIP4.73 IP840.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-57 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.7°F Wind6.0 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-57 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
6	Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	66	-8.1	●	Tarik Skubal (LHP) PHI @ DET · Comerica Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	32	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffRhett Lowder Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance387 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	●●○○○	1.0×	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.03 FIP3.91 IP864.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-27 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.5°F Wind4.2 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note65°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +0
7	Elly De La Cruz (S)	65	-9.3	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffShota Imanaga Exit Velo108.5 mph Angle21.0° Distance400 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○●○●○	0.2×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP832.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+8 Weather · Great American Ball Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.5°F Wind3.6 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note70°F, wind 4 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
8	Kody Clemens (L) ³	65	-3.7	●	José Soriano (RHP) LAA @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffBrendan Beck Exit Velo101.2 mph Angle28.0° Distance393 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	2.0×	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.11 FIP4.40 IP860.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Target Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.4°F Wind3 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
9	Max Muncy (L)	67	·	●	AZ Bullpen Proxy AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	5	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	13d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffGage Jump Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle30.0° Distance422 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	4.0×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.31 FIP4.55 IP838.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+53 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66.9°F Wind1.2 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+53 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note67°F, wind 1 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
10	Samuel Basallo (L) ³	63	-9.0	●	Seth Lugo (RHP) KC @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffMatt Strahm Exit Velo105.9 mph Angle24.0° Distance373 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○●○	0.2×	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.33 FIP4.73 IP840.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-62 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.7°F Wind6.0 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-62 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
11	Ketel Marte (S) ²	63	-13.3	●	Emmet Sheehan (RHP) AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffAdrian Houser Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle36.0° Distance431 ft StadiumChase Field	○○○○○	3.3×	1	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.07 FIP3.78 IP817.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+48 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66.9°F Wind1.2 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+48 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note67°F, wind 1 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
12	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ³	62	-10.2	●	Andrew Abbott (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffDean Kremer Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle35.0° Distance419 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○●○○○	1.0×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.38 FIP4.95 IP832.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Great American Ball Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.5°F Wind3.6 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note70°F, wind 4 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
13	Sal Stewart (R)	62	-10.2	●	Matthew Boyd (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffTanner Banks Exit Velo100.3 mph Angle32.0° Distance358 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○●○○○	0.5×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP832.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+2 Weather · Great American Ball Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.5°F Wind3.6 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note70°F, wind 4 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
14	Juan Soto (L) ³	61	-6.2	●	Payton Tolle (LHP) BOS @ NYM · Citi Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffBeck Way Exit Velo106.6 mph Angle29.0° Distance435 ft StadiumCiti Field	●○●○○	0.7×	·	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.12 FIP3.96 IP827.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · Citi Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69.8°F Wind5.0 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note70°F, wind 5 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
15	Corbin Carroll (L) ³	61	-11.2	●	Emmet Sheehan (RHP) AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	25d Last HR · 2026-06-17 OffSam Aldegheri Exit Velo100.8 mph Angle38.0° Distance378 ft StadiumChase Field	○○○○○	5.5×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.07 FIP3.78 IP817.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+55 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66.9°F Wind1.2 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+55 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note67°F, wind 1 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
16	Mike Trout (R) ³	61	-10.5	●	Taj Bradley (RHP) LAA @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls6 BBE Barrel%14.1% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffRobby Ahlstrom Exit Velo110.6 mph Angle23.0° Distance438 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	○●○○○	0.8×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.30 IP881.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+23 Weather · Target Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.4°F Wind3 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
17	Kazuma Okamoto (R) ²	60	-10.8	●	Germán Márquez (RHP) TOR @ SD · Petco Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffJhony Brito Exit Velo107.6 mph Angle44.0° Distance377 ft StadiumPetco Park	●○●●○	0.5×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.16 FIP4.30 IP844.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-47 Weather · Petco Park mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp65.8°F Wind2.8 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-47 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note66°F, wind 3 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +0
18	Jordan Walker (R) ³	60	-5.2	●	JR Ritchie (RHP) ATL @ STL · Busch Stadium	2:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffChad Patrick Exit Velo106.5 mph Angle28.0° Distance406 ft StadiumBusch Stadium	●○●○○	0.7×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.14 IP829.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+55 Weather · Busch Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind4.6 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+55 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note71°F, wind 5 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
19	Joc Pederson (L) ³	60	·	●	Cristian Javier (RHP) HOU @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffHunter Brown Exit Velo107.7 mph Angle24.0° Distance396 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	○○○●○	0.5×	·	HOU Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.44 FIP4.98 IP855.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+9 Weather · Globe Life Field warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp78.6°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
20	Shea Langeliers (R) ⁵	57	-12.3	●	Noah Schultz (LHP) ATH @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffCharlie Barnes Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle27.0° Distance433 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	1.8×	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.09 FIP4.30 IP832.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR NoteUnknown stadium
21	Seiya Suzuki (R) ³	57	-11.6	●	Andrew Abbott (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffTrevor Rogers Exit Velo110.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance432 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○●●○○	0.5×	1	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.38 FIP4.95 IP832.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Great American Ball Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.5°F Wind3.6 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note70°F, wind 4 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
22	Munetaka Murakami (L) ⁴	57	-13.4	●	J.T. Ginn (RHP) ATH @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls1 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	46d Last HR · 2026-05-27 OffConnor Prielipp Exit Velo108.3 mph Angle24.0° Distance432 ft StadiumRate Field	●○○○○	1.3×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.9% HR/91.59 FIP5.07 IP876.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR NoteUnknown stadium
23	Zach Neto (R) ³	57	-8.2	●	Taj Bradley (RHP) LAA @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-07-05 OffAroldis Chapman Exit Velo103.9 mph Angle31.0° Distance396 ft StadiumAngel Stadium	○○○○○	1.2×	1	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.30 IP881.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+29 Weather · Target Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.4°F Wind3 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note74°F, wind 3 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
24	Jac Caglianone (L) ²	57	-14.2	●	Shane Baz (RHP) KC @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffBrandon Young Exit Velo99.5 mph Angle37.0° Distance368 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○●○	0.2×	·	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.17 IP841.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-60 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.7°F Wind6.0 mph NE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-60 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note74°F, wind 6 mph NE (in) — modifier: +0
25	Freddie Freeman (L)	60	-7.4	●	AZ Bullpen Proxy AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	15	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffKyle Hart Exit Velo100.6 mph Angle36.0° Distance388 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○○○○○	1.5×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.31 FIP4.55 IP838.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+53 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66.9°F Wind1.2 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+53 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note67°F, wind 1 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
26	Yordan Alvarez (L) ²	56	·	●	MacKenzie Gore (LHP) HOU @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	31	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV94.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-11 OffKumar Rocker Exit Velo112.8 mph Angle28.0° Distance425 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	○○○●●	0.0×	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.23 FIP4.09 IP841.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Globe Life Field warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp78.6°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note79°F, wind 4 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
27	Matt Olson (L) ⁵	56	-6.7	●	Dustin May (RHP) ATL @ STL · Busch Stadium	2:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffMitch Keller Exit Velo107.6 mph Angle37.0° Distance404 ft StadiumPNC Park	○○●○○	0.7×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.03 FIP4.20 IP834.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Busch Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind4.6 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note71°F, wind 5 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
28	Ian Happ (S) ²	56	-9.5	●	Andrew Abbott (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	15d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffChad Patrick Exit Velo106.4 mph Angle26.0° Distance381 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	3.0×	1	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.38 FIP4.95 IP832.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Great American Ball Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.5°F Wind3.6 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note70°F, wind 4 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
29	Nolan Arenado (R)	56	-5.3	●	Emmet Sheehan (RHP) AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	12	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV85.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-11 OffLandon Knack Exit Velo98.9 mph Angle28.0° Distance356 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○○●○●	0.0×	1	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.07 FIP3.78 IP817.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Dodger Stadium mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66.9°F Wind1.2 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note67°F, wind 1 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
30	Colson Montgomery (L) ³	55	-7.8	●	J.T. Ginn (RHP) ATH @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	23	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-07-05 OffTanner Bibee Exit Velo109.7 mph Angle20.0° Distance390 ft StadiumProgressive Field	○○○○○	1.7×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.9% HR/91.59 FIP5.07 IP876.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR NoteUnknown stadium

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.9%

▼ -1.1 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 19.4% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-11

31 HRs

25%

8 caught / 31 HRs

in top 50

#5 James Wood

31.3%

🔵

#6 Yordan Alvarez

29.0%

🔵

#13 Pete Alonso

20.7%

🔵

#29 JJ Bleday

21.7%

🟠

#32 Esmerlyn Valdez

29.4%

🟠

#35 Jake Bauers

26.9%

🟠

#37 Coby Mayo

27.7%

🟠

#43 Paul Goldschmidt

16.9%

🟠

Missed

Esmerlyn Valdez Gunnar Henderson Jake Bauers Nathaniel Lowe Royce Lewis +18 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Ben Rice ×4 James Wood ×4 Jordan Walker ×3 Juan Soto ×3 Shohei Ohtani ×3

❄️ Cold

Hunter Goodman 0 of 7d Dansby Swanson 0 of 6d Bryce Harper 0 of 6d Freddie Freeman 0 of 6d Ian Happ 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.8%

B 19.6%

C+ 16.8%

C 13.6%

D 8.8%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-12

You saw the full board yesterday

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.