Today · 2026-09-02

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-01. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.3% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Pete Alonso (R)	70	-12.7	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) BAL @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	32	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%13.0% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffMichael McGreevy Exit Velo102.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance369 ft StadiumBusch Stadium	○○○○○	2.0×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.36 FIP4.83 IP1220.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind8 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note83°F, wind 8 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Matt Olson (L)	68	-8.7	●	Brad Lord (RHP) ATL @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	37	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo110.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance400 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○○	2.0×	1	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.42 FIP4.84 IP1231.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-9 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind4 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note80°F, wind 4 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Hunter Goodman (R)	66	-11.0	●	Trevor Rogers (LHP) BAL @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	36	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffOrlando Ribalta Exit Velo108.8 mph Angle25.0° Distance435 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	1.7×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.08 FIP4.13 IP1244.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+10 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind8 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note83°F, wind 8 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	66	-8.6	●	Jacob Misiorowski (RHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	38	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%7.4% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-30 OffEmilio Pagán Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle33.0° Distance431 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○●●○○	0.7×	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.08 FIP3.70 IP1186.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Munetaka Murakami (L)	66	-8.6	●	Hayden Wesneski (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	15d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle39.0° Distance406 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○○	4.3×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.32 FIP4.68 IP1238.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+22 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind10 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note85°F, wind 10 mph SE (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L)	65	-4.6	●	Griffin Jax (RHP) NYM @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls6 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.20 FIP4.01 IP1190.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
7	Pro pick (L)	65	·	●	Taylor Clarke (RHP) PHI @ AZ · Chase Field	3:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.37 IP1195.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Chase Field hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind5 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 39 HR Note93°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L)	68	·	●	STL Bullpen Proxy STL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP4.10 IP1217.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R)	68	-10.4	●	NYM Bullpen Proxy NYM @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.11 FIP4.13 IP1337.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
10	Pro pick (R)	64	-13.3	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) BAL @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.36 FIP4.83 IP1220.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind8 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note83°F, wind 8 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L)	67	·	●	STL Bullpen Proxy STL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%15.8% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP4.10 IP1217.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L)	63	-5.9	●	Hayden Wesneski (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.32 FIP4.68 IP1238.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+18 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind10 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note85°F, wind 10 mph SE (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L)	62	-11.9	●	Davis Martin (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.23 IP1182.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind10 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note85°F, wind 10 mph SE (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (R)	62	-9.8	●	Casey Mize (RHP) SD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.08 FIP4.16 IP1175.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+22 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+22 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note89°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L)	62	-3.3	●	David Peterson (LHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.7% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP1039.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+30 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L)	62	-4.6	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.19 IP1169.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind4 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note80°F, wind 4 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) ATH @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.51 FIP4.93 IP1244.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-21 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp97°F Wind6 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-21 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note97°F, wind 6 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R)	61	·	●	Hayden Wesneski (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls10 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.32 FIP4.68 IP1238.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind10 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note85°F, wind 10 mph SE (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R)	61	-6.3	●	Hayden Wesneski (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.32 FIP4.68 IP1238.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind10 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note85°F, wind 10 mph SE (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L)	60	-3.9	●	Jared Jones (RHP) SF @ PIT · PNC Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.03 FIP3.97 IP1153.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · PNC Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp88°F Wind5 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note88°F, wind 5 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R)	60	-6.2	●	Brandon Williamson (LHP) SD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.31 FIP4.76 IP1191.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note89°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R)	59	-5.5	●	David Peterson (LHP) MIL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.7% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP1039.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+32 Weather · Wrigley Field hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind7 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L)	59	-8.1	●	Brandon Williamson (LHP) SD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.31 FIP4.76 IP1191.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note89°F, wind 6 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L)	59	-3.1	●	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.19 IP1169.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-10 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind4 mph ENE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note80°F, wind 4 mph ENE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) STL @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.19 FIP4.04 IP1201.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note74°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L)	57	-8.7	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) BAL @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.36 FIP4.83 IP1220.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-27 Weather · Coors Field hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind8 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note83°F, wind 8 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (R)	56	-2.5	●	Davis Martin (RHP) CWS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%6.6% Avg EV88.3 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.23 IP1182.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind10 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note85°F, wind 10 mph SE (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R)	56	-7.3	●	Joey Cantillo (LHP) TOR @ CLE · Progressive Field	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.14 FIP3.93 IP1181.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+44 Weather · Progressive Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88°F Wind11 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier6 Spray/Wind+44 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note88°F, wind 11 mph SW (out) — modifier: +6 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L)	56	-10.8	●	Eury Pérez (RHP) MIA @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/91.03 FIP4.09 IP1221.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+39 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp96°F Wind10 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier7 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note96°F, wind 10 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +7 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L)	56	-7.3	●	Drew Anderson (RHP) DET @ MIN · Target Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.06 FIP4.04 IP1253.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-4 Weather · Target Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind3 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note79°F, wind 3 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.1%

▲ +1.5 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.4% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-01

26 HRs

15%

4 caught / 26 HRs

in top 50

#9 Jordan Walker

30.0%

🔵

#22 Michael Harris II

17.3%

🔵

#37 Fernando Tatis Jr.

26.3%

🟠

#45 Rafael Devers

25.5%

🟠

Missed

Francisco Lindor Brandon Lowe Kody Clemens Yandy Díaz Christian Yelich +17 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Sal Stewart ×3 Rafael Devers ×3 Michael Harris II ×3 Daylen Lile ×2 Colson Montgomery ×2

❄️ Cold

CJ Abrams 0 of 7d Mickey Moniak 0 of 6d Miguel Vargas 0 of 6d Munetaka Murakami 0 of 6d Shohei Ohtani 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 19.9%

C+ 17.0%

C 13.7%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-02

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.