2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Rafael Devers 6 HRs · 2 Max Muncy 6 HRs · 3 Mickey Gasper 5 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 6 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 7 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 8 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 9 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 10 Daylen Lile 4 HRs · 11 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 12 Brooks Lee 4 HRs 1 Rafael Devers 6 HRs · 2 Max Muncy 6 HRs · 3 Mickey Gasper 5 HRs · 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 5 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 6 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 7 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 8 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 9 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 10 Daylen Lile 4 HRs · 11 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 12 Brooks Lee 4 HRs
Taylor Clarke

Taylor Clarke

RHP
0 matchups scored · 0 game days · 8 listed today
0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
14.1%
Overall HR/FB
3.98
FIP
4.26
xFIP
#27
Leakiest SP today (of 30, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 60
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
60
no model flags today
Vulnerability 60th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
5 of 8 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
Fly-ball rate
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
PHI @ AZ 3:40p · Chase Field Park 0.92 Wind 5.0 SSW out Roof retractable · 93°F BP FIP 4.37 BP HR 12.0% 5L / 3R listed · lineup: proxy_pa_leaders
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
cell = batter Barrel% vs that pitch family — higher runs hotter cold hot
Overall Score
Neutral · 2
7 Kyle Schwarber L Edge
17.2% C+ 65
34 Bryce Harper L Edge
11.4% C 55
Long shots · 6 — below the fade line
134 Brandon Marsh L Edge
8.3% D 40
161 Trea Turner R
6.2% D 37
162 Bryson Stott L Edge
5.9% D 37
168 Alec Bohm R
5.5% D 36
4.8% D 33
212 Justin Crawford L Edge
1.3% D 25
5 of 8 listed bats hold the platoon edge. Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB14.1% 60
HR/9
FIP3.98 47
xFIP4.26
FIP − xFIP
Barrel% allowed
Hard-Hit% allowed
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-09-02
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
Kyle Schwarber L 3 0 0 0 .000
Bryce Harper L 0 never faced
Brandon Marsh L 3 1 1 1 .668
Trea Turner R 3 3 0 0 .883
Bryson Stott L 1 1 1 0 2.004
Alec Bohm R 0 never faced
J.T. Realmuto R 0 never faced
Justin Crawford L 3 0 0 0 .000
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Taylor Clarke.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Chase Field
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor 0.918 Wind 5 mph from SSW Temp 93°F Roof Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
12:40p 5 93° +4
1:40p 5 98° +4
2:40p 7 100° +5
3:40p 9 100° +6
4:40p 12 100° +6
+5
Slight green alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 7 mph from SW
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
LF
330ft
avg
CF
407ft
avg
RF
335ft
avg
vs LHH → RF
356ft
0 HRs allowed
vs RHH → LF
355ft
0 HRs allowed
Shortest: LF 330 ft
Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
No scored matchups by venue yet for Taylor Clarke.
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Taylor Clarke

Is Taylor Clarke likely to give up a home run tonight?

Taylor Clarke pitches tonight (PHI @ AZ at Chase Field). This season he has allowed 0 home runs across 0 scored game days. TheHomeRuns model scores every batter he faces; see the matchup table on this page for tonight's most dangerous bats. Model output, not a guarantee. Not gambling advice.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.169 · build 673

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