Today · 2026-08-02

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-01. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	James Wood (L)	82	·	●	ATL Bullpen Proxy WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	1:35p	🟢 A	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	30	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%21.1% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffKevin Ginkel Exit Velo109.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance418 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	3.0×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.23 FIP4.27 IP959.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind7 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Hunter Goodman (R) ⁵	75	-13.4	●	Seth Lugo (RHP) KC @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	33	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-08-01 OffAlex Lange Exit Velo100.9 mph Angle34.0° Distance424 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○○●	0.0×	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.34 FIP4.76 IP949.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp98°F Wind4 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note98°F, wind 4 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Ben Rice (L) ²	72	-2.3	●	Colin Rea (RHP) NYY @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	31	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffTim Mayza Exit Velo102.5 mph Angle26.0° Distance417 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	3.0×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.9% HR/91.49 FIP4.67 IP898.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-56 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · strong wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind15 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-5 Spray/Wind-56 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note77°F, wind 15 mph N (in) — modifier: -5 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Willson Contreras (R) ³	70	-6.4	●	Emmet Sheehan (RHP) BOS @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	7:20p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	23	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-30 OffLuis Medina Exit Velo104.8 mph Angle33.0° Distance414 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○●○○	0.5×	1	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.22 FIP4.07 IP992.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note92°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Munetaka Murakami (L) ⁴	70	-5.5	●	Griffin Jax (RHP) CWS @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	24	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-31 OffNick Martinez Exit Velo100.3 mph Angle29.0° Distance389 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○●○●○	0.3×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.21 FIP4.12 IP965.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
6	Pro pick (L) ²	70	-16.5	●	Kyle Bradish (RHP) PHI @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.07 FIP4.12 IP957.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+13 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note83°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ²	69	-2.4	●	Cade Cavalli (RHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.41 FIP4.80 IP964.3000000000001 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-6 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind7 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ²	72	·	●	ATL Bullpen Proxy WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.23 FIP4.27 IP959.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind7 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ²	67	-15.3	●	Kumar Rocker (RHP) TEX @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.28 FIP4.17 IP951.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-19 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note93°F, wind 7 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ²	67	-11.7	●	Kyle Freeland (LHP) KC @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.44 FIP4.88 IP935.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+6 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp98°F Wind4 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note98°F, wind 4 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ²	66	-12.0	●	Seth Lugo (RHP) KC @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.34 FIP4.76 IP949.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp98°F Wind4 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note98°F, wind 4 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ²	65	-3.7	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) TEX @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.38 FIP4.83 IP979.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note93°F, wind 7 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ²	64	-5.0	●	Taj Bradley (RHP) MIN @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.16 FIP4.33 IP978.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+2 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp72°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note72°F, wind 4 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (R) ²	64	-8.4	●	Gage Jump (LHP) DET @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.6% HR/91.58 FIP5.05 IP986.2 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+28 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp97°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note97°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ²	64	-2.7	●	Gerrit Cole (RHP) NYY @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/90.99 FIP3.72 IP968.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-44 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · strong wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind15 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-5 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note77°F, wind 15 mph N (in) — modifier: -5 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ²	64	-5.6	●	Kyle Bradish (RHP) PHI @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.07 FIP4.12 IP957.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+26 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note83°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ²	64	-21.9	●	Keider Montero (RHP) DET @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls7 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/90.99 FIP3.87 IP969.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+26 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp97°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note97°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (R) ²	64	-7.5	●	Mitch Keller (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.07 FIP4.02 IP978.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind3 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note78°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R) ²	64	-11.7	●	Anthony Kay (LHP) CWS @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.05 FIP4.13 IP952.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
20	Pro pick (L) ²	64	-15.7	●	Jake Bennett (LHP) BOS @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	7:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.00 FIP3.73 IP956.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+41 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note92°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ²	63	·	●	Jake Bennett (LHP) BOS @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	7:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.00 FIP3.73 IP956.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+40 Weather · Dodger Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note92°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ²	62	-11.5	●	Chase Burns (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.32 FIP4.83 IP937.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind3 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note78°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (S) ²	62	-13.3	●	Mitch Keller (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.07 FIP4.02 IP978.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind3 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note78°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-14.2	●	Mitch Keller (RHP) PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.07 FIP4.02 IP978.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+6 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind3 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note78°F, wind 3 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R) ²	61	-7.5	●	Kumar Rocker (RHP) TEX @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.28 FIP4.17 IP951.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note93°F, wind 7 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-6.2	●	Griffin Jax (RHP) CWS @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.21 FIP4.12 IP965.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
27	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-2.4	●	Cade Cavalli (RHP) WSH @ ATL · Truist Park	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.41 FIP4.80 IP964.3000000000001 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+4 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind7 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R) ²	60	-6.2	●	Griffin Jax (RHP) CWS @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.21 FIP4.12 IP965.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
29	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-8.8	●	Kyle Freeland (LHP) KC @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.44 FIP4.88 IP935.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp98°F Wind4 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note98°F, wind 4 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-7.8	●	George Kirby (RHP) MIN @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.06 FIP3.70 IP956.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp72°F Wind4 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note72°F, wind 4 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

15.3%

▲ +2.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 14.0% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-01

27 HRs

25%

7 caught / 27 HRs

in top 50

#2 Matt Olson

39.3%

🟡

#6 Hunter Goodman

42.4%

🟡

#12 Jac Caglianone

24.4%

🔵

#16 Wyatt Langford

31.4%

🔵

#27 Salvador Perez

23.0%

🔵

#47 Tyrone Taylor

24.4%

🟠

#50 Griffin Conine

30.4%

🟠

Missed

Jake Bauers Rhys Hoskins Elias Díaz Ceddanne Rafaela Willi Castro +15 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Matt Olson ×4 Munetaka Murakami ×3 Sal Stewart ×3 CJ Abrams ×2 Dominic Canzone ×2

❄️ Cold

Drake Baldwin 0 of 8d Nathaniel Lowe 0 of 7d Pete Crow-Armstrong 0 of 6d Luke Raley 0 of 6d Eugenio Suárez 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.5%

B 20.0%

C+ 17.0%

C 13.5%

D 8.8%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-02

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.