Today · 2026-07-05

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

#5 Hunter Goodman vs Tyler Mahle FIP 5.03 HR/FB 28.6%

📦 STACK Luinder Avila FIP 3.56 HR/FB 11.5% → #1 Kyle Schwarber, #13 Bryce Harper

📦 STACK Tyler Mahle FIP 5.03 HR/FB 28.6% → #5 Hunter Goodman, #8 Mickey Moniak

📦 STACK Eury Pérez FIP 4.84 HR/FB 13.3% → #7 Nick Kurtz, #9 Shea Langeliers

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-04. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁴	79	-9.8	●	Luinder Avila (RHP) PHI @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	3:00p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%19.4% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-28 OffKodai Senga Exit Velo108.3 mph Angle37.0° Distance408 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○○○○	1.7×	·	KC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.18 FIP4.62 IP130.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-20 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.5°F Wind1.0 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 1 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0
2	James Wood (L) ³	77	-8.7	●	Bubba Chandler (RHP) PIT @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:00p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	23	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%22.9% Avg EV95.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffBraxton Ashcraft Exit Velo113.1 mph Angle31.0° Distance428 ft StadiumNationals Park	●○●○●	0.0×	·	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/90.73 FIP3.89 IP159.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+5 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85.7°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 2 mph NNW (slight_out) — modifier: +2
3	Byron Buxton (R) ³	77	-12.5	●	Ryan Weathers (LHP) MIN @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%18.8% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	13d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffWill Klein Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance394 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○○	3.0×	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/90.84 FIP3.55 IP139.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.0°F Wind8.0 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
4	Yordan Alvarez (L)	80	·	●	TB Bullpen Proxy TB @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	3:30p	🟢 A	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	29	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%19.4% Avg EV94.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffCasey Legumina Exit Velo108.3 mph Angle23.0° Distance424 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○●○●●	0.0×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/90.98 FIP4.05 IP137.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-15 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp84.7°F Wind4 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +1
5	Hunter Goodman (R)	76	-12.4	●	Tyler Mahle (RHP) SF @ COL · Coors Field	4:00p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	27	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%17.2% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffMax Meyer Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle45.0° Distance403 ft StadiumCoors Field	●○●○○	0.7×	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-23 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.6°F Wind1.0 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-23 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 1 mph N (in) — modifier: +0
6	Ben Rice (L) ²	75	-11.7	●	Joe Ryan (RHP) MIN @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	24	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%14.2% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffMike Paredes Exit Velo101.7 mph Angle26.0° Distance357 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○●○●○	0.5×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.3% HR/90.77 FIP4.30 IP140.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+42 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.0°F Wind8.0 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 8 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
7	Nick Kurtz (L) ⁴	75	-14.7	●	Eury Pérez (RHP) MIA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:30p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%18.9% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffTyler Phillips Exit Velo112.9 mph Angle28.0° Distance457 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○●○	0.5×	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB8.0% HR/90.57 FIP3.51 IP142.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
8	Mickey Moniak (L) ³	74	-10.6	●	Tyler Mahle (RHP) SF @ COL · Coors Field	4:00p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-02 OffRyan Gusto Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle25.0° Distance407 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○●●○	0.2×	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-21 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.6°F Wind1.0 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-21 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 1 mph N (in) — modifier: +0
9	Shea Langeliers (R) ²	72	·	●	Eury Pérez (RHP) MIA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:30p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%14.5% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffCharlie Barnes Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle27.0° Distance433 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○●○○	0.5×	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB8.0% HR/90.57 FIP3.51 IP142.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
10	Junior Caminero (R) ²	68	·	●	Peter Lambert (RHP) TB @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	3:30p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	26	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%13.4% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffHunter Brown Exit Velo107.5 mph Angle26.0° Distance437 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	●●○●●	0.0×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.73 IP149.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-19 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp84.7°F Wind4 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +1
11	Jordan Walker (R) ⁴	66	-2.5	●	Javier Assad (RHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:30p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-02 OffHurston Waldrep Exit Velo104.4 mph Angle35.0° Distance396 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○●○○	0.7×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB18.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.28 IP118.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+27 Weather · Wrigley Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.7°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 7 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +2
12	Matt Olson (L) ⁴	65	-7.0	●	Nolan McLean (RHP) NYM @ ATL · Truist Park	12:30p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffKodai Senga Exit Velo105.9 mph Angle28.0° Distance411 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○●○	0.2×	1	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/90.98 FIP3.61 IP156.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-1 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82.6°F Wind1.0 mph S Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note83°F, wind 1 mph S (out) — modifier: +1
13	Bryce Harper (L) ³	64	-4.0	●	Luinder Avila (RHP) PHI @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	3:00p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffBraxton Ashcraft Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle26.0° Distance405 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●○○○○	1.0×	·	KC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.18 FIP4.62 IP130.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-20 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.5°F Wind1.0 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 1 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0
14	Sal Stewart (R) ²	63	-4.7	●	Kyle Bradish (RHP) BAL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%14.5% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-02 OffJacob Misiorowski Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle27.0° Distance402 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	●○●○○	0.2×	·	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/90.87 FIP3.49 IP144.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-39 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.1°F Wind2.0 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-39 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 2 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1
15	Ian Happ (S) ³	63	+0.9	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:30p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffChad Patrick Exit Velo106.4 mph Angle26.0° Distance381 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	1.5×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/90.95 FIP4.30 IP152.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Wrigley Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.7°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 7 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +2
16	Miguel Vargas (R) ⁴	62	-4.6	●	Tanner Bibee (RHP) CWS @ CLE · Progressive Field	2:00p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%15.2% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffGavin Williams Exit Velo106.3 mph Angle29.0° Distance374 ft StadiumProgressive Field	○○○●○	0.2×	·	CLE Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.17 FIP3.83 IP146.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+29 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.2°F Wind6.0 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 6 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
17	Colson Montgomery (L) ²	61	-8.1	●	Tanner Bibee (RHP) CWS @ CLE · Progressive Field	2:00p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffTim Herrin Exit Velo104.1 mph Angle29.0° Distance402 ft StadiumProgressive Field	○●○○●	0.0×	·	CLE Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.17 FIP3.83 IP146.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+39 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.2°F Wind6.0 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 6 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
18	Heliot Ramos (R) ³	61	-11.2	●	Tanner Gordon (RHP) SF @ COL · Coors Field	4:00p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	6	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%15.1% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffZac Gallen Exit Velo110.7 mph Angle22.0° Distance427 ft StadiumChase Field	●○●○○	0.3×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP167.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-23 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.6°F Wind1.0 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-23 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 1 mph N (in) — modifier: +0
19	Max Muncy (S) ³	61	-15.7	●	Eury Pérez (RHP) MIA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:30p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls58 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffGage Jump Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle30.0° Distance422 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	1.7×	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB8.0% HR/90.57 FIP3.51 IP142.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
20	Elly De La Cruz (S) ³	60	-7.4	●	Kyle Bradish (RHP) BAL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:05p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%14.3% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffRobert Gasser Exit Velo102.5 mph Angle34.0° Distance412 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	1.0×	·	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/90.87 FIP3.49 IP144.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-35 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.1°F Wind2.0 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-35 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 2 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1
21	Rafael Devers (L) ²	59	-19.0	●	Tanner Gordon (RHP) SF @ COL · Coors Field	4:00p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffRyan Feltner Exit Velo104.1 mph Angle31.0° Distance432 ft StadiumCoors Field	○●○●○	0.2×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP167.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-21 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.6°F Wind1.0 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-21 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 1 mph N (in) — modifier: +0
22	Casey Schmitt (R) ²	59	-14.4	●	Tanner Gordon (RHP) SF @ COL · Coors Field	4:00p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	15d Last HR · 2026-06-20 OffMax Meyer Exit Velo104.1 mph Angle30.0° Distance414 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	○○○○○	2.8×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP167.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-23 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.6°F Wind1.0 mph N Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-23 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 1 mph N (in) — modifier: +0
23	Willson Contreras (R)	62	-7.9	●	LAA Bullpen Proxy BOS @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:30p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffSam Aldegheri Exit Velo108.9 mph Angle28.0° Distance421 ft StadiumAngel Stadium	●○○○●	0.0×	·	LAA Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB19.2% HR/91.16 FIP4.63 IP155.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-46 Weather · Angel Stadium mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66.5°F Wind3 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-46 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note67°F, wind 3 mph SW (in) — modifier: +0
24	Pete Alonso (R)	62	-10.9	●	CIN Bullpen Proxy BAL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-28 OffZack Littell Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle27.0° Distance437 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○○○	1.2×	·	CIN Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.6% HR/91.13 FIP4.87 IP167.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-39 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.1°F Wind2.0 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-39 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 2 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1
25	Shohei Ohtani (L)	62	-13.6	●	SD Bullpen Proxy SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	7:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%15.9% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffMatt Krook Exit Velo112.3 mph Angle25.0° Distance432 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	1.2×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/90.60 FIP3.09 IP166.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+48 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.8°F Wind3.4 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+48 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 3 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0
26	Seiya Suzuki (R) ⁵	58	-2.4	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:30p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffWalker Buehler Exit Velo102.8 mph Angle33.0° Distance426 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○●○○	0.5×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/90.95 FIP4.30 IP152.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Wrigley Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.7°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 7 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +2
27	Manny Machado (R) ²	58	-9.5	●	Emmet Sheehan (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	7:20p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-02 OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo103.2 mph Angle31.0° Distance408 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	●○●○○	0.4×	2	LAD Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB8.9% HR/90.57 FIP2.87 IP110.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+47 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.8°F Wind3.4 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 3 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0
28	Jac Caglianone (L) ³	58	-9.0	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) PHI @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	3:00p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%15.8% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffShane McClanahan Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle22.0° Distance416 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○○○○○	1.6×	1	PHI Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/90.79 FIP3.32 IP137.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-20 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.5°F Wind1.0 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 1 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0
29	Samuel Basallo (L)	61	·	●	CIN Bullpen Proxy BAL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffHunter Greene Exit Velo105.7 mph Angle27.0° Distance406 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○○●●	0.0×	1	CIN Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.6% HR/91.13 FIP4.87 IP167.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-30 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.1°F Wind2.0 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-30 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 2 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1
30	Gavin Sheets (L) ³	57	-3.4	●	Emmet Sheehan (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	7:20p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffYoshinobu Yamamoto Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle26.0° Distance414 ft StadiumPetco Park	○○○○○	0.8×	·	LAD Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB8.9% HR/90.57 FIP2.87 IP110.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+48 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.8°F Wind3.4 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+48 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note65°F, wind 3 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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209 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.4%

▲ +4.0 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.4% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-04

35 HRs

28%

10 caught / 35 HRs

in top 50

#7 Dominic Canzone

32.0%

🔵

#11 Yordan Alvarez

32.2%

🔵

#14 Kody Clemens

28.4%

🔵

#20 Junior Caminero

31.2%

🔵

#21 Kyle Stowers

29.5%

🔵

#24 Jackson Chourio

16.6%

🔵

#33 Max Schuemann

25.5%

🟠

#45 Willson Contreras

17.5%

🟠

#46 Samuel Basallo

24.6%

🔵

#47 James Wood

21.8%

🟠

Missed

Bryce Eldridge Freddie Freeman Jasson Domínguez Otto Lopez Riley Greene +20 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Junior Caminero ×5 Kody Clemens ×4 Yordan Alvarez ×3 Ben Rice ×2 Dominic Canzone ×2

❄️ Cold

Ian Happ 0 of 6d Dillon Dingler 0 of 6d Ty France 0 of 6d Brandon Lowe 0 of 5d Matt Olson 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.0%

B 19.9%

C+ 16.3%

C 13.4%

D 8.6%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-05

You saw the full board yesterday

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.