Today · 2026-07-04

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-03. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.9% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁴	83	-10.3	●	Michael Wacha (RHP) PHI @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	8:10p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%19.7% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-28 OffKodai Senga Exit Velo108.3 mph Angle37.0° Distance408 ft StadiumCiti Field	●○○○○	1.3×	·	KC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.18 FIP4.62 IP130.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+30 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.4°F Wind3 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 3 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
2	Yordan Alvarez (L) ³	77	-6.1	●	Drew Rasmussen (RHP) TB @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	27	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%19.0% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffNick Martinez Exit Velo106.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance427 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○○●○●	0.0×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/90.98 FIP4.05 IP137.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-16 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp84.6°F Wind4 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +1
3	Hunter Goodman (R)	76	-12.4	●	Robbie Ray (LHP) SF @ COL · Coors Field	8:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	27	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%17.3% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffMax Meyer Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle45.0° Distance403 ft StadiumCoors Field	○●○●○	0.3×	1	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+42 Weather · Coors Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.5°F Wind0.5 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 0 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0
4	Ben Rice (L)	78	-14.3	●	MIN Bullpen Proxy MIN @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	24	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%14.3% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffMike Paredes Exit Velo101.7 mph Angle26.0° Distance357 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○●○●	0.0×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.3% HR/90.77 FIP4.30 IP140.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-19 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp88.4°F Wind3 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 3 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +2
5	Byron Buxton (R)	78	·	●	NYY Bullpen Proxy MIN @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🟡 B	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%18.5% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffWill Klein Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance394 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○○	2.5×	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/90.84 FIP3.55 IP139.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-26 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp88.4°F Wind3 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-26 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 3 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +2
6	Mickey Moniak (L) ²	74	·	●	Robbie Ray (LHP) SF @ COL · Coors Field	8:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	15	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-02 OffRyan Gusto Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle25.0° Distance407 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○●●○	0.2×	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.4% HR/90.60 FIP3.89 IP135.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+42 Weather · Coors Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.5°F Wind0.5 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 0 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0
7	Nick Kurtz (L) ⁴	73	-18.3	●	Sandy Alcantara (RHP) MIA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%19.0% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffTyler Phillips Exit Velo112.9 mph Angle28.0° Distance457 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB8.0% HR/90.57 FIP3.51 IP142.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
8	James Wood (L) ²	73	-11.0	●	Braxton Ashcraft (RHP) PIT @ WSH · Nationals Park	11:05a	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%22.6% Avg EV95.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffAlec Gamboa Exit Velo104.2 mph Angle26.0° Distance393 ft StadiumFenway Park	○●○●○	0.3×	·	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/90.73 FIP3.89 IP159.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-35 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92.1°F Wind6.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-35 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note92°F, wind 6 mph W (in) — modifier: +3
9	Bryce Harper (L) ⁴	68	-4.1	●	Michael Wacha (RHP) PHI @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffBraxton Ashcraft Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle26.0° Distance405 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○●○○○	0.8×	·	KC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.18 FIP4.62 IP130.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+30 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.4°F Wind3 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 3 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
10	Shea Langeliers (R) ²	68	·	●	Sandy Alcantara (RHP) MIA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%14.5% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffCharlie Barnes Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle27.0° Distance433 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○●○	0.2×	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB8.0% HR/90.57 FIP3.51 IP142.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
11	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁴	67	·	●	Griffin Canning (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%15.9% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffMatt Krook Exit Velo112.3 mph Angle25.0° Distance432 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	●○○○○	1.0×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/90.60 FIP3.09 IP166.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp62.8°F Wind3.6 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 4 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +0
12	Matt Olson (L) ³	67	-3.5	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) NYM @ ATL · Truist Park	8:08p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffKodai Senga Exit Velo105.9 mph Angle28.0° Distance411 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/90.98 FIP3.61 IP156.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.0°F Wind1.0 mph S Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 1 mph S (out) — modifier: +1
13	Junior Caminero (R) ³	65	-5.9	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) TB @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffSteven Okert Exit Velo96.8 mph Angle33.0° Distance374 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	●●●○●	0.0×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.09 FIP4.73 IP149.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp84.6°F Wind4 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph W (in) — modifier: +1
14	Jordan Walker (R) ³	64	-7.8	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	8:08p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-02 OffHurston Waldrep Exit Velo104.4 mph Angle35.0° Distance396 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○●○	0.3×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB18.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.28 IP118.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+12 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.7°F Wind2.0 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 2 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
15	Sal Stewart (R)	64	-8.7	●	Brandon Young (RHP) BAL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%14.7% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-02 OffJacob Misiorowski Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle27.0° Distance402 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○●○●○	0.1×	·	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/90.87 FIP3.49 IP144.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-20 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.4°F Wind3 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 3 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
16	Ian Happ (S) ²	64	-0.7	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) STL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	8:08p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffChad Patrick Exit Velo106.4 mph Angle26.0° Distance381 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	1.2×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/90.95 FIP4.30 IP152.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+15 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.7°F Wind2.0 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 2 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
17	Heliot Ramos (R) ⁴	63	-6.5	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) SF @ COL · Coors Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	6	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%14.8% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffZac Gallen Exit Velo110.7 mph Angle22.0° Distance427 ft StadiumChase Field	○●○●○	0.2×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP167.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Coors Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.5°F Wind0.5 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 0 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0
18	Rafael Devers (L) ⁴	62	-15.4	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) SF @ COL · Coors Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffRyan Feltner Exit Velo104.1 mph Angle31.0° Distance432 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○●○●	0.0×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP167.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Coors Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.5°F Wind0.5 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 0 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0
19	Casey Schmitt (R) ³	62	-10.9	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) SF @ COL · Coors Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	14d Last HR · 2026-06-20 OffMax Meyer Exit Velo104.1 mph Angle30.0° Distance414 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	○○○○○	2.5×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.18 FIP4.24 IP167.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Coors Field mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.5°F Wind0.5 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note70°F, wind 0 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0
20	Elly De La Cruz (S) ³	62	-12.0	●	Brandon Young (RHP) BAL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%14.5% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffRobert Gasser Exit Velo102.5 mph Angle34.0° Distance412 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	●○○○○	0.8×	·	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/90.87 FIP3.49 IP144.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.4°F Wind3 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 3 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
21	Owen Caissie (L) ³	61	-8.7	●	Aaron Civale (RHP) MIA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%15.7% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffMason Barnett Exit Velo101.2 mph Angle24.0° Distance390 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○●○○●	0.0×	·	ATH Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/90.79 FIP3.87 IP136.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
22	Jac Caglianone (L) ²	60	-1.2	●	Jesús Luzardo (LHP) PHI @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%16.0% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffShane McClanahan Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle22.0° Distance416 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○○○○○	1.4×	·	PHI Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/90.79 FIP3.32 IP137.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+30 Weather · Kauffman Stadium warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp76.4°F Wind3 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 3 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
23	Drake Baldwin (L) ³	60	-2.6	●	Sean Manaea (LHP) NYM @ ATL · Truist Park	8:08p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	14	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%15.6% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	49d Last HR · 2026-05-16 OffPayton Tolle Exit Velo106.2 mph Angle22.0° Distance421 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○○	11.0×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/90.98 FIP3.61 IP156.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Truist Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.0°F Wind1.0 mph S Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 1 mph S (out) — modifier: +1
24	Max Muncy (S) ⁷	60	-6.4	●	Griffin Canning (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls56 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffGage Jump Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle30.0° Distance422 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	●○○○○	1.3×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/90.60 FIP3.09 IP166.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp62.8°F Wind3.6 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 4 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +0
25	Pete Alonso (R)	63	-11.7	●	CIN Bullpen Proxy BAL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-28 OffZack Littell Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle27.0° Distance437 ft StadiumCamden Yards	●○○○○	1.0×	·	CIN Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.6% HR/91.13 FIP4.87 IP167.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-20 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.4°F Wind3 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-20 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 3 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
26	Miguel Vargas (R) ³	59	-5.9	●	Parker Messick (LHP) CWS @ CLE · Progressive Field	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%15.0% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffGavin Williams Exit Velo106.3 mph Angle29.0° Distance374 ft StadiumProgressive Field	○○○○●	0.0×	1	CLE Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.2% HR/91.17 FIP3.83 IP146.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+6 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79.6°F Wind6.8 mph WSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note80°F, wind 7 mph WSW (cross) — modifier: +1
27	Manny Machado (R) ²	59	-5.9	●	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) SD @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-02 OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo103.2 mph Angle31.0° Distance408 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○●○●○	0.2×	·	LAD Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB8.9% HR/90.57 FIP2.87 IP110.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+24 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp62.8°F Wind3.6 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note63°F, wind 4 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +0
28	Dillon Dingler (R) ³	59	-4.5	●	Kumar Rocker (RHP) DET @ TEX · Globe Life Field	4:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffEnyel De Los Santos Exit Velo103.3 mph Angle31.0° Distance432 ft StadiumComerica Park	○○○○○	1.5×	1	TEX Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.1% HR/90.70 FIP3.86 IP154.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+20 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp84.6°F Wind3 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 3 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1
29	Max Muncy (S) ⁷	59	-6.7	●	Sandy Alcantara (RHP) MIA @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls56 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffGage Jump Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle30.0° Distance422 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	●○○○○	1.3×	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB8.0% HR/90.57 FIP3.51 IP142.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
30	Brandon Lowe (L)	62	-17.4	●	WSH Bullpen Proxy PIT @ WSH · Nationals Park	11:05a	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffChase Burns Exit Velo107.4 mph Angle34.0° Distance396 ft StadiumPNC Park	○○○○○	1.0×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.7% HR/91.24 FIP4.59 IP152.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-35 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp92.1°F Wind6.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-35 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note92°F, wind 6 mph W (in) — modifier: +3

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.3%

▲ +2.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 16.0% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-03

28 HRs

35%

10 caught / 28 HRs

in top 50

#1 Ben Rice

35.2%

🟡

#3 Junior Caminero

32.7%

🔵

#6 Kody Clemens

34.7%

🔵

#7 Nick Kurtz

22.7%

🔵

#8 Yordan Alvarez

22.7%

🔵

#13 Rafael Devers

29.0%

🔵

#18 Samuel Basallo

25.8%

🔵

#20 Owen Caissie

28.1%

🟠

#26 Miguel Vargas

25.1%

🟠

#29 Juan Soto

18.2%

🟠

Missed

Matt Olson Trent Grisham Teoscar Hernández Kyle Stowers Garrett Mitchell +13 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Junior Caminero ×5 Hunter Goodman ×3 Kody Clemens ×3 Bryce Harper ×2 Jackson Chourio ×2

❄️ Cold

Ty France 0 of 6d Gunnar Henderson 0 of 6d Dillon Dingler 0 of 5d JJ Bleday 0 of 4d Matt Olson 0 of 4d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.1%

B 20.0%

C+ 16.1%

C 13.4%

D 8.6%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-04

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.