9
HRs allowed
10.6%
HR rate (pool)
24.3%
Overall HR/FB
5.11
FIP
4.0
xFIP
+1.11
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
93
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 93th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
63.7%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.2 EV · 391 ft
max EV allowed 113.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR ↑
15D · 1 HR
30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Griffin Canning.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
25.8%
85.3
32.1°
3
+0.3
Slider Breaking
24.9%
86.3
9.9°
1
+0.4
Changeup Offspeed
23.0%
86.1
1.3°
2
+2.4
Sinker Hard
10.8%
84.4
11.6°
1
+1.7
Cutter Hard
5.8%
87.8
22.9°
1
+2.2
Knuckle Curve Breaking
5.8%
74.0
10.2°
0
-2.3
Sweeper Breaking
4.0%
71.7
11.7°
0
-1.8
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups85
HRs allowed (pool)9
Pool HR rate10.6%
Pool HR/game day0.9
Top-15 matchups6
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB24.3% 93
HR/9—
FIP5.11 83
xFIP4.0
FIP − xFIP+1.11 92
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed63.7%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 25.8% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.3 mph
Avg launch angle32.1°
HRs allowed3
Pitches254
Slider
Breaking · 24.9% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.3 mph
Avg launch angle9.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches245
Changeup
Offspeed · 23.0% usage
+2.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.1 mph
Avg launch angle1.3°
HRs allowed2
Pitches226
Sinker
Hard · 10.8% usage
+1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.4 mph
Avg launch angle11.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches106
Cutter
Hard · 5.8% usage
+2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.8 mph
Avg launch angle22.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches57
Knuckle Curve
Breaking · 5.8% usage
-2.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against74.0 mph
Avg launch angle10.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches57
Sweeper
Breaking · 4.0% usage
-1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against71.7 mph
Avg launch angle11.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches39
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Griffin Canning.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
9 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.2 EV · 391 ft
3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 10 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-09
6
1
104.0
2026-06-29
9
0
102.2
2026-06-12
9
2
108.8
2026-06-06
7
1
102.2
2026-05-31
9
2
113.8
2026-05-25
9
2
108.6
2026-05-19
9
1
106.4
2026-05-14
9
0
108.2
2026-05-08
9
0
105.4
2026-05-03
9
0
105.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Griffin Canning isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.