2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
Griffin Canning

Griffin Canning

RHP SD
85 matchups scored · 10 game days
9
HRs allowed
10.6%
HR rate (pool)
24.3%
Overall HR/FB
5.11
FIP
4.0
xFIP
+1.11
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 93
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
93
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 93th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
63.7%
63.7%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 105.2 EV · 391 ft max EV allowed 113.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-05-19 · 1 HR 2026-05-25 · 2 HR 2026-05-31 · 2 HR 2026-06-06 · 1 HR 2026-06-12 · 2 HR 2026-07-09 · 1 HR
7D · 1 HR ↑ 15D · 1 HR 30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Griffin Canning.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 25.8% 85.3 32.1° 3 +0.3
Slider Breaking 24.9% 86.3 9.9° 1 +0.4
Changeup Offspeed 23.0% 86.1 1.3° 2 +2.4
Sinker Hard 10.8% 84.4 11.6° 1 +1.7
Cutter Hard 5.8% 87.8 22.9° 1 +2.2
Knuckle Curve Breaking 5.8% 74.0 10.2° 0 -2.3
Sweeper Breaking 4.0% 71.7 11.7° 0 -1.8
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups85
HRs allowed (pool)9
Pool HR rate10.6%
Pool HR/game day0.9
Top-15 matchups6
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB24.3% 93
HR/9
FIP5.11 83
xFIP4.0
FIP − xFIP+1.11 92
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed63.7%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 25.8% usage
+0.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.3 mph
Avg launch angle32.1°
HRs allowed3
Pitches254
Slider
Breaking · 24.9% usage
+0.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.3 mph
Avg launch angle9.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches245
Changeup
Offspeed · 23.0% usage
+2.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.1 mph
Avg launch angle1.3°
HRs allowed2
Pitches226
Sinker
Hard · 10.8% usage
+1.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.4 mph
Avg launch angle11.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches106
Cutter
Hard · 5.8% usage
+2.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.8 mph
Avg launch angle22.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches57
Knuckle Curve
Breaking · 5.8% usage
-2.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against74.0 mph
Avg launch angle10.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches57
Sweeper
Breaking · 4.0% usage
-1.8 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against71.7 mph
Avg launch angle11.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches39
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Griffin Canning.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
9 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.2 EV · 391 ft 3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-09 Nolan Arenado #117 40 Petco Park 101.1 26.0° 387
2026-06-12 Samuel Basallo #39 61 Camden Yards 99.7 31.0° 389
2026-06-12 Gunnar Henderson #67 54 Camden Yards 108.8 24.0° 386
2026-06-06 Marcus Semien #97 48 Petco Park 101.5 32.0° 394
2026-05-31 James Wood #4 83 Nationals Park 113.8 21.0° 417
2026-05-31 Luis García Jr. #118 47 Nationals Park 111.2 20.0° 402
2026-05-25 Kyle Schwarber #2 80 Petco Park 106.8 20.0° 374.0
2026-05-25 Brandon Marsh #195 28 Petco Park 102.0 25.0° 368.0
2026-05-19 Freddie Freeman #145 38 Petco Park 101.6 33.0° 399.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 10 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-09 Petco Park 6 1 104.0
2026-06-29 Wrigley Field 9 0 102.2
2026-06-12 Camden Yards 9 2 108.8
2026-06-06 Petco Park 7 1 102.2
2026-05-31 Nationals Park 9 2 113.8
2026-05-25 Petco Park 9 2 108.6
2026-05-19 Petco Park 9 1 106.4
2026-05-14 American Family Field 9 0 108.2
2026-05-08 Petco Park 9 0 105.4
2026-05-03 Petco Park 9 0 105.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Griffin Canning isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Griffin Canning's full pitcher profile is waiting

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