11
HRs allowed
11.8%
HR rate (pool)
24.1%
Overall HR/FB
5.08
FIP
4.02
xFIP
+1.06
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
93
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 93th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
17.2%
Hard-Hit% allowed
65.9%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.0 EV · 398 ft
max EV allowed 113.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR ↑
15D · 3 HR ↑
30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Griffin Canning.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
24.7%
85.4
33.5°
5
+0.8
Changeup Offspeed
24.1%
85.3
1.2°
3
+1.8
Slider Breaking
23.8%
85.2
10.2°
1
+0.5
Sinker Hard
9.7%
84.7
10.8°
2
+1.5
Knuckle Curve Breaking
8.2%
76.2
6.8°
1
-0.4
Cutter Hard
6.2%
86.0
26.0°
1
+3.0
Sweeper Breaking
3.3%
69.0
9.1°
0
-1.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups93
HRs allowed (pool)11
Pool HR rate11.8%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups6
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB24.1% 93
HR/9—
FIP5.08 83
xFIP4.02
FIP − xFIP+1.06 92
Barrel% allowed17.2%
Hard-Hit% allowed65.9%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-31
Fastball
Hard · 24.7% usage
+0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.4 mph
Avg launch angle33.5°
HRs allowed5
Pitches332
Changeup
Offspeed · 24.1% usage
+1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.3 mph
Avg launch angle1.2°
HRs allowed3
Pitches325
Slider
Breaking · 23.8% usage
+0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.2 mph
Avg launch angle10.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches321
Sinker
Hard · 9.7% usage
+1.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.7 mph
Avg launch angle10.8°
HRs allowed2
Pitches130
Knuckle Curve
Breaking · 8.2% usage
-0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.2 mph
Avg launch angle6.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches110
Cutter
Hard · 6.2% usage
+3.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.0 mph
Avg launch angle26.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches84
Sweeper
Breaking · 3.3% usage
-1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against69.0 mph
Avg launch angle9.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches44
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Griffin Canning.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
11 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.0 EV · 398 ft
3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 11 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-18
8
2
109.8
2026-07-09
6
1
104.0
2026-06-29
9
0
102.2
2026-06-12
9
2
108.8
2026-06-06
7
1
102.2
2026-05-31
9
2
113.8
2026-05-25
9
2
108.6
2026-05-19
9
1
106.4
2026-05-14
9
0
108.2
2026-05-08
9
0
105.4
2026-05-03
9
0
105.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Griffin Canning isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Griffin Canning isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
49
5
10%
9
2
22%
9
2
22%
8
2
25%
9
0
0%
9
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Griffin Canning
How many home runs has Griffin Canning allowed this season?
Griffin Canning has allowed 11 home runs across 11 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Griffin Canning?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Griffin Canning include Andy Pages (1), Brandon Marsh (1), Cody Bellinger (1) and 13 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.