2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Matt Olson 9 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 3 Wilyer Abreu 5 HRs · 4 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 5 Jackson Chourio 4 HRs · 6 Jackson Merrill 4 HRs · 7 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs · 8 Lawrence Butler 4 HRs · 9 Ceddanne Rafaela 4 HRs · 10 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 11 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 3 HRs 1 Matt Olson 9 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 3 Wilyer Abreu 5 HRs · 4 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 5 Jackson Chourio 4 HRs · 6 Jackson Merrill 4 HRs · 7 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs · 8 Lawrence Butler 4 HRs · 9 Ceddanne Rafaela 4 HRs · 10 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 11 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 3 HRs
CB

CIN Bullpen Proxy

BAL
9 matchups scored · 1 game days
1
HRs allowed
11.1%
HR rate (pool)
15.1%
Overall HR/FB
5.05
FIP
5.05
xFIP
+0.00
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 68
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
68
no model flags today
Vulnerability 68th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
11.1%
11.1%
Hard-Hit% allowed
77.8%
77.8%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 105.7 EV · 406 ft max EV allowed 108.5
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
7D · 1 HR 15D · 1 HR 30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against CIN Bullpen Proxy.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups9
HRs allowed (pool)1
Pool HR rate11.1%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB15.1% 68
HR/9
FIP5.05 82
xFIP5.05
FIP − xFIP+0.00 46
Barrel% allowed11.1%
Hard-Hit% allowed77.8%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-13
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against CIN Bullpen Proxy.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
1 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.7 EV · 406 ft 1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-04 Samuel Basallo #46 60 Great American Ball Park 105.7 27.0° 406
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 1 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-04 Great American Ball Park 9 1 108.5
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — CIN Bullpen Proxy isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
CIN Bullpen Proxy isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
Great American Ball Park 9 1 11%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Six home runs to freedom

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9 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Common questions about CIN Bullpen Proxy

How many home runs has CIN Bullpen Proxy allowed this season?

CIN Bullpen Proxy has allowed 1 home run across 1 scored game day in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.

Which batters have homered off CIN Bullpen Proxy?

In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against CIN Bullpen Proxy include Samuel Basallo (1).

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.158 · build 664

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