Morning Wizard

2026-07-05 · 231 matchups scored

Step 1 of 9

Park + Weather

Today's most HR-friendly environments — parks and weather conditions that favor the long ball.

MIN

NYY

MIN @ NYY Wind out 1.373

Yankee Stadium Park × 1.25 warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open

1.25× 77.0°F 8.0 mph open

· #4 Ben Rice ·

STL

CHC

STL @ CHC Wind out 1.284

Wrigley Field Park × 1.07 mild air · light wind out · roof open

1.07× 67.7°F 7 mph open

· · #26 Dansby Swanson

MIA

ATH

MIA @ ATH Neutral 1.237

Sutter Health Park Park × 1.24 Unknown stadium

1.24×

#3 Nick Kurtz · ·

LAD

SD @ LAD Wind out 1.210

Dodger Stadium Park × 1.21 cool air · light wind out · roof open

1.21× 64.8°F 3.4 mph open

· #8 Max Muncy ·

PIT

WSH

PIT @ WSH Wind out 1.182

Nationals Park Park × 0.98 hot air · light partial wind out · roof open

0.98× 85.7°F 2.0 mph open

· · #61 Curtis Mead

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Step 2 of 9

🎯

Susceptible Pitchers

Pitchers on today's slate with the highest HR-susceptibility scores — they give up dingers at elevated rates.

JP Sears ⚠️ High

4 HRs · 0.388 HR/IP · 23.5% HR/FB · 7.91 ERA

FIP 7.91 · xFIP 5.43 · Gap +2.48

View full report →

🧙‍♂️

The Wizard has more to show you

Steps 3–9 include FIP-xFIP gap risk, splits edges, arsenal matchups, hot/cold streaks, unlucky barrels, and your final picks summary.

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Morning Wizard

Park + Weather

Susceptible Pitchers

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