LAA Bullpen Proxy
LAA
3
HRs Allowed
18.8%
HR Rate (Pool)
12.8%
Overall HR/FB
4.48
FIP
4.48
xFIP
+0.00
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
12.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
53th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
83.3%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.48
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
66th pctile
4.48
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.00
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
50th pctile
18.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
16
Pool Matchups
3
HRs Allowed (Pool)
6
Top-15 Matchups
2
HRs to Top-15
18.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25.0% | 2.0 | 99.1mph | 103.1mph | 30.0° | 416ft | Up +6.2pp |
| Last 15 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 18.8% | 1.5 | 98.8mph | 104.0mph | 32.7° | 412ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 18.8% | 1.5 | 98.8mph | 104.0mph | 32.7° | 412ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.8
Avg Max EV
106.2
Max EV Allowed
10
Hard-Hit Proxy · 83.3%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.0
Avg HR EV
32.7°
Avg HR Launch
412
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Nick Kurtz | 106.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Zack Gelof | 104.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Shea Langeliers | 103.8mph | 103.8mph | 30° | 430ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-18 | Tyler Soderstrom | 103.6mph | 102.4mph | 30° | 402ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-05 | Freddie Freeman | 105.8mph | 105.8mph | 38° | 404ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-05 | Mookie Betts | 104.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Shohei Ohtani | 102.2mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Shea Langeliers | #6 | 78 | Sutter Health Park | 103.8mph | 30.0° | 430ft |
| 2026-06-18 | Tyler Soderstrom | #10 | 72 | Sutter Health Park | 102.4mph | 30.0° | 402ft |
| 2026-06-05 | Freddie Freeman | #35 | 62 | Dodger Stadium | 105.8mph | 38.0° | 404ft |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
83.3%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Jacob Wilson | #127 | 25 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Jeff Mcneil | #122 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Lawrence Butler | #86 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Carlos Cortes | #58 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Zack Gelof | #16 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-18 | Tyler Soderstrom | #10 | 72 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-18 | Shea Langeliers | #6 | 78 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-18 | Nick Kurtz | #1 | 90 | 🔥 A+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Kyle Tucker | #130 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Mookie Betts | #100 | 46 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Alex Freeland | #91 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Will Smith | #43 | 59 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Freddie Freeman | #35 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-05 | Shohei Ohtani | #13 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Andy Pages | #12 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Max Muncy | #5 | 78 | 🟡 B | ❄ COLD | · |