Slate · 2026-06-16

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2026-06-16

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 5 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Hunter Goodman vs Edward Cabrera FIP 5.65 HR/FB 40.0% #4 Jj Bleday vs Kodai Senga FIP 6.25 HR/FB 30.0% #5 Matt Olson vs Adrian Houser FIP 5.18 HR/FB 22.9% #7 Juan Soto vs Brady Singer FIP 6.38 HR/FB 27.9% #9 Brett Sullivan vs Edward Cabrera FIP 5.65 HR/FB 27.6%

📦 STACK Edward Cabrera FIP 5.65 HR/FB 40.0% → #1 Hunter Goodman, #9 Brett Sullivan

📦 STACK Slade Cecconi FIP 4.31 HR/FB 10.3% → #2 Jake Bauers, #15 Jackson Chourio

📦 STACK Mitch Keller FIP 3.82 HR/FB 15.6% → #6 Nick Kurtz, #12 Shea Langeliers

📦 STACK Drew Rasmussen FIP 3.08 HR/FB 27.3% → #8 Shohei Ohtani, #14 Max Muncy

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	·Hunter Goodman (R) ⁵	83	+0.3	Edward Cabrera (RHP) COL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	8:05p	🟢 A	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%14.9% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.7% HR/91.50 FIP4.64 IP652.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+56 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp76.0°F Wind15.0 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+56 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 15 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3
2	·Juan Soto (L) ⁵	80	+7.2	Brady Singer (RHP) NYM @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.42 FIP5.09 IP627.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.6°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +1
3	·Matt Olson (L) ⁴	76	-5.2	Adrian Houser (RHP) SF @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.05 FIP4.29 IP627.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+39 Weather · Truist Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69.0°F Wind5.3 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0
4	·Nick Kurtz (L) ³	75	-14.2	Mitch Keller (RHP) PIT @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.3% HR/90.89 FIP3.87 IP655.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
5	·James Wood (L) ³	75	·	Michael Wacha (RHP) KC @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV95.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.26 FIP4.50 IP637.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Nationals Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.0°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note80°F, wind 4 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
6	·Jake Bauers (L) ⁴	74	·	Slade Cecconi (RHP) CLE @ MIL · American Family Field	7:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.5×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.19 FIP3.99 IP664.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-35 Weather · American Family Field mild air · strong wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp68.5°F Wind17.2 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-35 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 17 mph W (in) — modifier: -2
7	·Byron Buxton (R) ⁴	74	-2.7	Kumar Rocker (RHP) MIN @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.17 FIP4.17 IP637.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-3 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp90.9°F Wind3 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note91°F, wind 3 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +3
8	·Ian Happ (S) ²	73	+2.6	Ryan Feltner (RHP) COL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	8:05p	🟡 B	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.81 IP635.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+52 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp76.0°F Wind15.0 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+52 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 15 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3
9	Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	73	·	Tyler Phillips (RHP) MIA @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.3% HR/90.93 FIP3.89 IP659.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+20 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.2°F Wind4 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 4 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0	Kyle Schwarber — Home Run OffTyler Phillips Exit Velo96.6 mph Angle23.0° Distance352 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park
10	·Nathaniel Lowe (L) ³	73	·	Kodai Senga (RHP) NYM @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	9	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4.0×	NYM Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/90.95 FIP3.81 IP608.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-11 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.6°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +1
11	Mike Trout (R) ³	72	-7.6	Merrill Kelly (RHP) LAA @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%17.9% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.29 FIP4.55 IP635.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp108.8°F Wind9.0 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note109°F, wind 9 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +4	Mike Trout — Home Run OffMerrill Kelly Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle29.0° Distance436 ft StadiumChase Field
12	·Shea Langeliers (R) ³	72	-12.7	Mitch Keller (RHP) PIT @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.3% HR/90.89 FIP3.87 IP655.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
13	·Jj Bleday (L) ³	71	+6.3	Kodai Senga (RHP) NYM @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	NYM Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/90.95 FIP3.81 IP608.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-11 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.6°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +1
14	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁴	71	-11.4	Drew Rasmussen (RHP) TB @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	TB Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.10 FIP4.08 IP637.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+29 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.3°F Wind9.9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2	Shohei Ohtani — Home Run OffDrew Rasmussen Exit Velo106.9 mph Angle27.0° Distance427 ft StadiumDodger Stadium
15	·Max Muncy (S) ²	71	-7.0	Drew Rasmussen (RHP) TB @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟡 B	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls49 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	TB Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.10 FIP4.08 IP637.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+30 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.3°F Wind9.9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 10 mph SW (out) — modifier: +2
16	·Jackson Chourio (R) ³	71	+7.3	Slade Cecconi (RHP) CLE @ MIL · American Family Field	7:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.19 FIP3.99 IP664.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-35 Weather · American Family Field mild air · strong wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp68.5°F Wind17.2 mph W Characterin HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind-35 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 17 mph W (in) — modifier: -2
17	·Dillon Dingler (R) ³	70	+4.0	Hunter Brown (RHP) DET @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	8:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%13.0% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.27 FIP4.92 IP638.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-2 Weather · Minute Maid Park warm air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp79.6°F Wind1.0 mph N Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-2 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note80°F, wind 1 mph N (out) — modifier: +1
18	·Dominic Canzone (L) ⁵	70	-4.8	Brandon Young (RHP) BAL @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.11 FIP4.25 IP642.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+10 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74.7°F Wind5.0 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 5 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
19	·Colson Montgomery (L) ⁴	69	-0.2	Gerrit Cole (RHP) CWS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.8% HR/90.87 FIP3.62 IP629.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+45 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.3°F Wind12.0 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+45 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 12 mph W (cross) — modifier: +0
20	·Jared Young (L) ³	69	+6.7	Brady Singer (RHP) NYM @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.42 FIP5.09 IP627.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.6°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +1
21	Ben Rice (L) ³	69	+7.1	Davis Martin (RHP) CWS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.11 FIP4.41 IP622.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+45 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.3°F Wind12.0 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+45 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 12 mph W (cross) — modifier: +0	Ben Rice — Home Run OffDavis Martin Exit Velo96.9 mph Angle36.0° Distance371 ft StadiumYankee Stadium
22	Brandon Lowe (L) ²	68	-10.4	Jack Perkins (RHP) PIT @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.40 FIP4.78 IP618.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Brandon Lowe — Home Run OffElvis Alvarado Exit Velo104.6 mph Angle24.0° Distance371 ft StadiumSutter Health Park
23	·Bryce Eldridge (L) ²	67	+2.3	Grant Holmes (RHP) SF @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	6	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	ATL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.00 FIP3.85 IP674.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+39 Weather · Truist Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69.0°F Wind5.3 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0
24	·Tyler Soderstrom (L) ³	66	-6.9	Mitch Keller (RHP) PIT @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	PIT Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.3% HR/90.89 FIP3.87 IP655.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Sutter Health Park Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
25	·Pete Alonso (R)	66	-8.4	Logan Gilbert (RHP) BAL @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV95.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.98 FIP3.68 IP644.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+4 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp74.7°F Wind5.0 mph ENE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 5 mph ENE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
26	·Jordan Walker (R)	66	+5.8	Michael King (RHP) SD @ STL · Busch Stadium	7:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.7×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.14 FIP4.19 IP633.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+2 Weather · Busch Stadium warm air · strong wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80.5°F Wind14.3 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind+2 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note80°F, wind 14 mph WNW (in) — modifier: -2
27	·Drake Baldwin ⁵	66	-3.5	Adrian Houser (RHP) SF @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	?HH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	— Form · — SignalUNKNOWN Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%13.4% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6.5×	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.05 FIP4.29 IP627.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · Truist Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69.0°F Wind5.3 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note69°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0
28	Spencer Steer (R) ³	66	+5.4	Kodai Senga (RHP) NYM @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	12	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	NYM Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/90.95 FIP3.81 IP608.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-13 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.6°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +1	Spencer Steer — Home Run OffKodai Senga Exit Velo102.9 mph Angle35.0° Distance392 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park
29	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ⁴	65	-6.6	Ryan Feltner (RHP) COL @ CHC · Wrigley Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.81 IP635.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+46 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp76.0°F Wind15.0 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+46 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 15 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3	Pete Crow-Armstrong — Home Run OffRyan Feltner Exit Velo97.7 mph Angle33.0° Distance386 ft StadiumWrigley Field
30	Zach Neto (R) ³	65	-4.0	Merrill Kelly (RHP) LAA @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.29 FIP4.55 IP635.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp108.8°F Wind9.0 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note109°F, wind 9 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +4	Zach Neto — Home Run OffMerrill Kelly Exit Velo108.0 mph Angle27.0° Distance421 ft StadiumChase Field

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

You saw the full board yesterday

Tonight's 226 ranked batters are behind the wall - see them all. Six home runs to freedom.

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221 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.7%

▼ -6.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 22.4% prior 15d

Results · 2026-06-16

29 HRs

41%

12 caught / 29 HRs

in top 50

#8 Shohei Ohtani

41.6%

🟡

#10 Mike Trout

21.1%

🟡

#17 Kyle Schwarber

25.3%

🟡

#20 Pete Crow-Armstrong

21.1%

🔵

#29 Brandon Lowe

24.9%

🔵

#30 Zach Neto

21.8%

🔵

#31 Sal Stewart

16.8%

🔵

#35 Ben Rice

24.5%

🔵

#36 Spencer Steer

24.6%

🔵

#39 Esteury Ruiz

30.4%

🔵

#40 Kody Clemens

24.9%

🔵

#50 Spencer Jones

27.2%

🟠

Missed

Zack Gelof Andrew Benintendi Paul Goldschmidt Curtis Mead Bryan Reynolds +12 more

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.6%

B 20.1%

C+ 16.2%

C 12.9%

D 8.4%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Slate · 2026-06-16

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.