MIN
@
8:05p
TEX
Stadium Conditions
Globe Life Field
First pitch 8:05p
· roof retractable
Park 0.93×
Wind 3 mph cross
91°F
retractable
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
8:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
9:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
10:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
11:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · slight_out
93°F
12:05a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.21
91°F, wind 3 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 74 | 🟡 B | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 7 | 0.341 | 90.9 | 12.0% | 37.2% vs RHP | 402 | 35.0% | 54.5% | 29.1% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Kody Clemens | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | · | 41 | 0.245 | 92.5 | 9.9% | 19.1% vs RHP | 390 | 12.9% | 27.3% | 24.9% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Royce Lewis | 53 | 🟠 C | +750 | · | 76 | 0.169 | 88.6 | 9.7% | 20.0% vs RHP | 392 | 18.8% | 33.3% | 16.9% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Brooks Lee | 46 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 111 | 0.183 | 87.7 | 6.0% | 20.5% vs RHP | 371 | 15.6% | 25.0% | 15.5% | 44 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Bell | 43 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 136 | 0.132 | 89.5 | 8.8% | 20.0% vs RHP | 398 | 8.0% | 27.3% | 13.6% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Tristan Gray | 35 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 176 | 0.123 | 89.6 | 7.2% | 16.7% vs RHP | 389 | 9.5% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 192 | 0.129 | 86.3 | 6.7% | 9.7% vs RHP | 395 | 3.5% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 20 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 209 | 0.086 | 84.6 | 4.7% | 5.4% vs RHP | 369 | 3.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Alex Jackson | 14 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 225 | 0.057 | 89.9 | · | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 16 |
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Joc Pederson | 58 | 🟠 C | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 52 | 0.209 | 91.7 | 11.4% | 23.1% vs RHP | 387 | 14.9% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Burger | 57 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 60 | 0.197 | 90.1 | 11.1% | 25.0% vs RHP | 396 | 14.1% | 9.1% | 20.8% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Kyle Higashioka | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.153 | 88.0 | 11.9% | 16.7% vs RHP | 397 | 11.5% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 21 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 48 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 107 | 0.152 | 92.1 | 11.7% | 14.0% vs RHP | 411 | 9.2% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Jung | 45 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 120 | 0.155 | 89.6 | 8.1% | 16.7% vs RHP | 387 | 12.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Ezequiel Duran | 43 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 137 | 0.152 | 89.8 | 8.6% | 12.0% vs RHP | 370 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 27 |